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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    06z GFS runs a solid 1" - 2.5" for everyone east of I-81. Maybe a few 3" spots NW of Baltimore?
  2. Eskimo Joe
    That's good. I love agriculture and April is such a sensitive time of the year for our fruit crops in Maryland.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Parkton mesonet site got down to 23! Very similar conditions, cool! Ug, did your trees already blossom?
  4. Eskimo Joe
    18z GFS had a legit 1" - 2.5" of rain from I-81 to I-95. That would be perfect.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    A new Maryland Mesonet location in Frederick County (Thurmont) is now live. This is the first station for Frederick County, MD. Despite the wind, it was a great day to deploy this with @wxmeddler. Station webpage: https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-25 MADIS ID [not sure when it will populate]: 025MD
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Really hope the Euro D3 wet bias isn't kicking in here.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. Total qpf bust.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    What a surprise, the forecast rainfall amounts have evaporated.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Already spiking south of US 50 it seems.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. You can see the cumulus field developing.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    The wedge appears to be entrenched north of I-66, but visible satellite is showing some decent breaks west of I-81.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    HRRR was right. Never discount an impulse riding along a front.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Holy elevated convection batman.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Classic mid range Euro wet bias.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Bring it
  16. Eskimo Joe
    22z special sounding from Millersville University shows a stout cap at around 700mb
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yes it did
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Latest SPC mesoanalysis has ~50kt jet aloft and we're sitting on a CAPE tongue. Might be enough to get some cluster moving through this afternoon. I'd like to see us tack on another 3 to 5 degrees to be safe though.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Now we can cook with no pressure.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Correct. We're more than ten degrees below the convective temp. That isn't a good sign for robust convection.
  21. Eskimo Joe
  22. Eskimo Joe
  23. Eskimo Joe
    St. Philip, IN has taken a direct hit from a significant nocturnal tornado.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    TDS in Pike Co near Spurgeon
  25. Eskimo Joe
    NWS Paducah WFO came within yards of getting hit by a tornado. Looks like the City of Paducah is taking a direct hit.
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