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Eskimo Joe

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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
  2. Eskimo Joe
    HR84 on the 06z GFS is nice.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Here's ur answer from an SPC met:
  4. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC, CIPS is weighted towards GEFS from HR 72 and out which is a good.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    All good points, none of which will likely be resolved until about <12 hours out. We're just going to have to look for trends, timing, etc an monitor upstream conditions. If we see an overperforming event in Dixie Alley with discrete action ahead of the main line, all bets are off and it could be the event of the spring. If it's QLCS mess behind stratiform rain then we fail.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Flip side....it rains a lot and we get a QLCS that wrecks the trees because of saturated soil. Either way, the Sunday PM to Monday midday is looking busy in these parts.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Monday is starting to look interesting up even towards Baltimore and Frederick. It's going to be interesting to see how Sunday plays out down south...if things go as planned down there then we probably stand a good chance of seeing a decent line move through.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Posted by a met who I believe works for Mt Holly WFO
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Bring us home
  10. Eskimo Joe
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Some beefy winds have taken down some healthy, large trees in far NW Montgomery and portions of Frederick County. Not your typical rotted root bal, healthy hardwood oaks and such.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    That cell approaching Kent Island is trying to wrap up and has a bit of a flying eagle look to it. Wouldn't shock me if PHI put a TOR possible SVR out with it. LWX has waterspouts mentioned in the SMW.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Couple of 52 kt pixels with the activity over Laurel and DC proper. Really isn't going to take much convection to bring any severe level winds down to the surface.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Per GOES16, decent uptick in lightning with the activity from Walkersville on north into Carroll County.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=44300457
  16. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issued Blue Box until 20:00 UTC. WCN going out shortly.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0324.html Baltimore and points NE are primed.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    LWX issued SVR #32 at 4:22 am to 5:00 am and this occurred around 4:35 am based off radar.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    The temperature inversion acts to dampen sound and is more common during nocturnal convection.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Sounds like elevated convection. You see all the lightning but don't hear the thunder. It's like sitting on the bottom of a pool and looking up and everything moving but not hearing the sound.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Bethesda, MD from this AM round of storms:
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