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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Some beefy winds have taken down some healthy, large trees in far NW Montgomery and portions of Frederick County. Not your typical rotted root bal, healthy hardwood oaks and such.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    That cell approaching Kent Island is trying to wrap up and has a bit of a flying eagle look to it. Wouldn't shock me if PHI put a TOR possible SVR out with it. LWX has waterspouts mentioned in the SMW.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Couple of 52 kt pixels with the activity over Laurel and DC proper. Really isn't going to take much convection to bring any severe level winds down to the surface.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Per GOES16, decent uptick in lightning with the activity from Walkersville on north into Carroll County.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    https://inws.ncep.noaa.gov/a/a.php?i=44300457
  6. Eskimo Joe
    SPC issued Blue Box until 20:00 UTC. WCN going out shortly.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0324.html Baltimore and points NE are primed.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. I've learned to always bet on a fail and be happy with anything you get.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    Strengthening or mature sub 1000 mb lows running CLE -> BUF don't go quietly into the night here. If this continues, especially with the little secondary low running close to us, we could certinaly get a sneaky event with a big storm or two embedded.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Gotta watch those. Sneaky secondary max that can surprise a few areas real quick.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    DMV was under multiple tornado watches for almost 20 consecutive hours. What an event that was.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    LWX issued SVR #32 at 4:22 am to 5:00 am and this occurred around 4:35 am based off radar.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    The temperature inversion acts to dampen sound and is more common during nocturnal convection.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Sounds like elevated convection. You see all the lightning but don't hear the thunder. It's like sitting on the bottom of a pool and looking up and everything moving but not hearing the sound.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    Bethesda, MD from this AM round of storms:
  16. Eskimo Joe
    40% chance of a WW: https://www.spc.noaa.gov/products/md/2020/md0294.html
  17. Eskimo Joe
    CAMS FTW...looks like that cluster near Haymarket may get warned here shortly. Nice velocities on the 0.5° BV.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Part of me was hoping for an 18z RAOB out of IAD or PITT given the setup for potentially large hailers, but that doesn't appear to be the case.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Thick cloud cover and this crapvection rolling into the I-81 corridor has probably nixed the afternoon risk of storms north of I-66. The 12z sounding out of IAD has a ConvT of 68° and the only place that really is exceeding that is from Warrenton south. Everywhere else is struggling to heat.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yes. Several jurisdictions have county-run operations and some hospitals have them as well so this it's a consideration for us as well.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Right after we opened COVID testing sites. At least it's the HRRR so it'll probably end up verifying in the ocean or over Luray.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Can we all make a pact to not look at or share the HRR or NAM past 24 hours? The MOD Risk bust in IL the other day should be a reinforcer to not trust meso models past HR 24.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    We're the Mid Atlantic, that's what went wrong.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Sun peeking out in Gaithersburg...hope se get a nice line or something this evening.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    Given the dense cloud cover, safe to say today will be a classic Mid Atlantic Nothingburger™ unless things clear out fast.
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