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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Mesonet data shows eastern Montgomery County, western Howard, and northern Harford/Cecil with wet soils. If something fires in these spots, I could see a rogue flash flood warning or two this evening. In this storm term, impressive cell near Federalsburg, MD
  2. Welcome to summer convection!
  3. We've been clouded over so hard today. It seems like the PA activity is getting some enhancement from the terrain up there to offset the marginal surface instability.
  4. Yes. Est based El Ninos are not favorable for snow in these parts. Prove me wrong atmosphere! Never let Ji start a winter thread again.
  5. Cold all winter. Bury us in snow. Let us sweat to the 90s in summer.
  6. JFC that's terrible. Wish it was just hot in the summer.
  7. TVS on the stafford county cell. Likely TOR coming.
  8. I've always cut those hail estimates in half and it works well for me.
  9. What time will the Category 5 Giga Chad El Nino kill my puppy?
  10. The poorly written, clickbait articles with dopey catch phrases are inbound.
  11. You should! Virginia Tech does have a small assemblance of a meaonet, but you have a much bigger state, so they could always use the public's support. You can DM and/or @wxmeddler for some ideas or talking points if you wish.
  12. Hey Frederick County folks (especially @Mrs.J), we got another mesonet station online in Frederick County at the community college! https://mesonet.umd.edu/station?stid=MDMSNT-45
  13. That seems to be the story of the next few days. Efficient, but hit or miss rainfall.
  14. Got to see the Big Boy come through Lebanon today. Incredible event for all the senses.
  15. We got a special sounding! https://www.spc.noaa.gov/exper/soundings/26070520_OBS/
  16. This evening has all the hallmarks of an overperformer for a select few: Less of a cap at 700 mb Multiple remnant boundaries Pooling of low level moisture (dews have come back up a few degrees) Slightly better shear aloft per SPC meso analysis
  17. Mesonet shows a nice convergence zone running north/south through Howard and Carroll County. Maybe that's the focus for later?
  18. Legit rain event for the northern DC suburbs up into Baltimore metro.
  19. Frostburg mesonet site up to 1.64" of rain since midnight. More storms trying to crawl over the Allegheny Front.
  20. Honestly amazed at how poorly BGE has performed at power restoration with yesterday's storm. Very slow to give any kind of estimate and now it's been bouncing back and forth between later today and Tuesday night. thankfully we have the generator going for the refrigerator.
  21. 12z HREF has a 10% chance of 8"+ rainfall just to our north in PA. Yikes. That's how you flood out a mountain town.
  22. Flood Watch for Baltimore / Annapolis and points north and east from 5 pm this evening to 1am tomorrow. Looks like a couple of remnant boundaries floating around.
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