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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    Same. Hope 00z is better for all. Mix events are exasperating to work.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    Well said. A big weekend for the mesonet though. Its first widespread winter storm.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    One thing for sure, the rest of this month is cold.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    GFS just locks that high in over the St. Lawrence Valley every run.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    In GFS we trust. Heavens yes. All snow with no precip issues.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Oh man that would be a disaster. Thank the gods it's the RGEM.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Looks like a consensus for 6" - 10" from I-70 to I-66 with some sleet. 10"+ up into PA. The biggest storm in over a decade for many. Sold.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    IIRC don Sutherland posted in here in that past that 4 out of the 5 tops five La Nina snowfalls at BWI were in January, and were all under 10" of snow. The lone exception was the Blizzard of 1996.
  9. Eskimo Joe
    That would be a disaster
  10. Eskimo Joe
    I know it's the NAM, but it's scored last minute events like this in previous times. There were several events in the 2013 - 2015 time frame where it picked up on some mid level warmth of subsidence that even the Euro didn't detect. To see the NAM and some other meso guidance trend lower/more disjointed is a bit of a red flag.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    that's aggressive
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Never dance on the grave of a snow lover. It invites back luck for you. Really impressive temp drop over the next 24 hours. It's amazing to realize that today might be the warmest day for the rest of the month.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Hey could be worse. We could be North Carolina. They're getting a major rug pull on this one.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    I'm coping hard too.
  15. Eskimo Joe
    That was an epic storm. 24" of snow in Damascus, 5" in Takoma Park. We had nearly dry roads in southern Montgomery County, while upcounty it was snowing hard.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    Euro shows the transfer nearly on top of our region. You don't want that because it causes a precip minimum. You want the transfer to your south.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    You must be new here. It's La Nina in DC.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Classic La Nina roulette. You play against the warm nose, primary low, late transfer to the coastal, or drier overall.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    We get screwed by the transfer from the primary to the coastal. It causes a lull/minimum in precip. We've seen this happen many times in the past.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Some are well insulated, others are just glorified quonset huts.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    E/E rule
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Watches from Arizona to New York. Awesome sauce.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Clear increase in CAD on the 06z Euro. Would *significantly* limit ZR risk in Maryland, and favor sleet.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    It also drove the primary further south into Alabama. Good things for snow lovers.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    A historic snowfall for many.
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