Eskimo Joe
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe
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Well said Bob. Good luck to your backyard this winter.
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I'd take a continuous series of light to moderate events that don't erode a block, vs one "big dog" storm that melts off in 4 days. Snow-on-snow is the best!
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Yes that's definitely occurring. Hopefully we can get the PDO to return to a more neutral if not slightly positive state in the long term.
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To be clear, I'm not debbing on this winter. We have several favorable factors working in our favor thus far, and as @WxUSAF has noted these torches advertised in the medium to long range have been muted as we close on the date.
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While I hope to be wrong, I agree. We're investing a lot of hope in an early SSWE and the past 10 years have largely been putrid for snow lovers in this subforum.
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Oof, not good to see.
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With our climate becoming increasingly hostile to snow each winter, we need as many things to go right as possible.
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18z GFS/GEFS shows a legitimate fail mode for us, and one that I'm always concerned about happening. The trough dumps out west, flexes the southeast ridge, and we just torch while the central and western US score. Hope this is just a fluke.
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My goals before Christmas: Outstanding: multiple snow events, whether all advisory/warning/combination of these Great: One warning level snowfall event. Good: One advisory level snowfall event Bad: No snow Shut the Blinds: patterns fails and we get back to zonal puke
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Hey maybe the PDO is tilting towards our favor?
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The fly in the ointment right now for the holidays is a lack of a -NAO. It's tough to get a big snowstorm without that feature to hold a storm closer to the coast. I'm not unhappy by any stretch of the imagination though...it beats Pacific Puke with 580dm heights across the entire CONUS!
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Bro we are the same.
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ALEET
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Congrats to @wxmeddlerfor his work on the statewide mesonet, and his first TV appearance! https://video.mpt.tv/video/tracking-local-weather-a-hidden-whale-highway-maryland-big-tree-program-zhvzir/
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We need these every winter TBH. That's what made 2009-2010 so special. We had cold, big events, and little events.
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As @WxUSAF said, we seem to be consistently trending cooler as we close on events.
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For RSTM2 COOP site, really impressed to see the warm start to November. We're running right at average now only because the past couple of days have been so abnormally cool.
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Do I dare give myself hope for snow?
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M0.14" oy vey
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Mid level dry air for the win. If this were winter, people would be screaming.
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12z Euro seems to try and tee something up for the mountain folks Thanksgiving weekend?
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https://twitter.com/IsaacWxObserver/status/1990846704552153573?s=20 EDIT: for some reason link isn't embedding
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I'm fine with saving our best pattern for after Dec 15th. A regionwide, 1" - 3" Dec 5th cartopper would be sweet, but I'm all about Christmas snow, ESPECIALLY if it falls Christmas Day and then we just go vodka cold through January.
