If the Euro AI wins then it would really boost my confidence in it going into winter, for better or worse. Seems like the Europeans are really upping their NWP -> AI game.
Berlin mesonet site had a peak gust of 36 mph earlier today. Will be interesting to see how this storm plays out this weekend. Hope it's a sign of a decent winter incoming.
While a strong, east-based El Nino is probably hostile for snow chances I wonder what, if any role the Atlantic may play since it's not been turned over with any meaningful tropical cyclone activity.
Yes it does indeed feel like late September. My high temperature for yesterday was only 59°. I hit 94°earlier this month, amazing how much variability can occur in September.
I love my Tempest. Compact and works well. I get push notifications about lightning within 20 miles which is helpful in the summertime when I'm outside.
Let's see how we're looking by Friday. If it's a bust then we might be having a problem. You're starting to see a few of the mets in the main ENSO threads ponder if this El Nino isn't fully coupling with the atmosphere.
I was hopeful that you would do well with this system. The morning visible satellite imagery along with mesonet data showed northeast winds ahead of the approaching system. That setup usually helps with locations in the lee of the Appalachian and Blue Ridge Mts.