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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    We want that coastal cranking and a quick handoff.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    18z GFS is record snowfall for @Bob Chill
  3. Eskimo Joe
    18z GFS crushes central and southern Virginia with sleet and ZR overnight. Legitimate ice storm.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    18z GFS kills the primary off and pops a coastal quicker. It's all snow. She's a beaut, Clark!
  5. Eskimo Joe
    I mean. . .he wrote the book on snow in these parts.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    18z ICON appears to get the sleet/snow line up the PA Turnpike. Keeps totals below 10" along the Mason-Dixon counties.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    Welp, that's a definitely changeover on the 18z ICON. Looks like a lot of sleet that cuts totals down.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    From @griteater
  9. Eskimo Joe
    A nice, easy warm advection snow event would be the best. No mixing, just cold powder.
  10. Eskimo Joe
    RE: watches. @stormtracker was right to call me out on my hours being off. My brain had a major hiccup. Might see watches late tonight or tomorrow. Would wonder if LWX/CTP wait to see the 00z suite before pulling the trigger.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Correct. It's an insane run temp wise.
  12. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. He's been very vocal about the primary low running too far north and ruining things for Baltimore and points south. I hope he's wrong.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    Thank you. Seems like 6" - 10" from the bay to I-95, 8" - 12" west of there.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Anybody got the 10:1 Euro output?
  15. Eskimo Joe
    8" - 12" of snow for everyone seems reasonable.
  16. Eskimo Joe
    He seems to love dunking on snow chances. I can understand his reticence on not seeing some sleet nose into the Lower Susquehanna Valley, but he consistently seems to be the first person to rain on the parage of snow lovers.
  17. Eskimo Joe
    No watches in our neck of the woods until Friday PM. We're 72+ hours out, and watches don't get issued until we're ~48 hours out.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    Watches now stretch from New Mexico to West Virginia. It's truly a thing of beauty.
  19. Eskimo Joe
    No pressure, just the hopes and dreams of every Delaware Valley snow weenie resting on your shoulders.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Yes that is a possibility in a setup like this at our latitude.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Agreed. From a winter weather perspective, there is nothing better than a sizeable snowstorm on the front side of a good pattern.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    I'm having a hard time believing the CMC/UKMET where the primary low just runs into this dome of high pressure with ease.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    Now THAT is a legitimate blizzard.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    @paweather - any chance you can post the "traditional" 10:1 maps for the 12z GFS?
  25. Eskimo Joe
    To my eye a key difference is the 12z GFS pops the coastal low quicker and slightly further south. That stops any intrusion of mid level warming and maintains precipitation as all snow. It's a wonderful run for just about everyone. Even the folks in far southern Maryland and the tidewater of VA that mix get a solid event, then appear to flip back to several hours of accumulating snow.
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