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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Eskimo Joe
    As many other respected ENSO folks on here have said, we need to wait until we get deeper into autumn to see if and how this El Nino would couple with the atmosphere. Some early signs suggest this has already starter, brand it would be great to see this thing lead to a wet autumn. A couple decent regionwide shakers would end this persistent drought.
  2. Eskimo Joe
    The end of August is always a rough time for my brain. On one hand, I love the warm days and promises of football to come. On the other hand, my snow addiction starts to rear its ugly head and I find myself reading past snow event thread. Send help.
  3. Eskimo Joe
    Ooof, that was a horrid winter for snow lovers.
  4. Eskimo Joe
    Yup. Both the Euro and GFS, heck even the GEFS, try to pop a 594dm ridge from Tennessee to North Carolina next week. The upside of this is that it opens the door to some NW flow potential in these parts.
  5. Eskimo Joe
    Latest HRRR is actually decent for aerial coverage of storms, though not anything overly robust. At least it would help chip away at the dry conditions.
  6. Eskimo Joe
    Could be a decent day north of I-70 into PA. More scattered than isolated wind damage.
  7. Eskimo Joe
    ^I love my Tempest. Easy set up and hasn't let me down in almost a decade.
  8. Eskimo Joe
    For the uninitiated ENSO folks like myself, that's not a favorable pattern for east coast snow, correct? That puts a trough near the Inside Passage which floods us with Pacific Puke?
  9. Eskimo Joe
    I would imagine that is not good for east cost snow lovers?
  10. Eskimo Joe
    Not a good sign when everyone is punting 30% - 50% of winter in, checks notes, August.
  11. Eskimo Joe
    Didn't the CFS forecast the El Nino to collapse as we enter winter?
  12. Eskimo Joe
    I'm at the Jersey shore from Sept 6 - 12. After the 12th it can get cool. Just give me one decent warm week at the beach.
  13. Eskimo Joe
    You definitely could. Adding @wxmeddlerin case he's got some other discussion points.
  14. Eskimo Joe
    Hey Frederick County folks! @catoctin wx @Mrs.J
  15. Eskimo Joe
    58 for a low
  16. Eskimo Joe
    This was.an interesting read and brings two questions to my mind. First, what AI are you using and did you air gap it? Have you found it difficult to maintain? Second, have you found anything significant with respect to short term snowfall forecasting?
  17. Eskimo Joe
    Yes they're out in force in my neighborhood.
  18. Eskimo Joe
    That would be hellacious. Heat Advisories for Christmas!
  19. Eskimo Joe
    Ran outside to take down the deck umbrella and it's just a total stillness. Not even the frogs and insects are making noise.
  20. Eskimo Joe
    Solid line segment near the Mason-Dixon Line. M0.5" Hancock mesonet site in the past hour.
  21. Eskimo Joe
    Solid cell just NW of Hancock, MD. Even a bit of a notch on it.
  22. Eskimo Joe
    Definitely some kind of boundary hanging on there around I-64 / CHO. Storms just colliding and tops trying to refire.
  23. Eskimo Joe
    CHO is the new El Reno. Just a thunderstorm magnet.
  24. Eskimo Joe
    Windows open in August in Baltimore for the third straight day. Incredible.
  25. Eskimo Joe
    As a pure snow and cold weenie, what benchmarks should we be looking for and when should they start to emerge that would indicate this could be a legit winter?
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