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Eskimo Joe

Professional Forecaster
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Everything posted by Eskimo Joe

  1. Yea it's been janky as heck for several days. Wonder if Stormtracker spilled a mint julep or something in the rack?
  2. From what I can see now, if we're going to make a run at scattered or event widespread 100s, Thursday is the best day to do it.
  3. Widespread triple digits are rare in these parts. Generally we need: Full sun 850 temps at or above +25°, and 925 temps at or above +27° The previous nighttime low to be at least 80° Have locations be at least 90° - 93° by 11:00 am the day of
  4. My goal is to never have to use our damage assessment or debris management plan, so no.
  5. Let's go for broke. 75 dews and a stout temp inversion. Like heat wave 1993.
  6. Honestly, I wouldn't mind a few days near 100°. Even though I work outside it's nice to feel the heat for a few days. It lets you know you're alive, and this airmass seems to be more NW flow than some soupy tropical cluster. Those days are miserable.
  7. Yes more details on this please so I can replicate!
  8. Not sold on widespread 100s. It's several days out, some models like the Euro have a known mid range heat bias, and it's rare to get an airmass that supports many 100+ degree air temperatures readings. We probably won't know until next Tuesday if we're going to have a legit heat wave on our hands, or if this is just going to be a few hot days.
  9. Yup. 18z NAM is rather dry. A narrow stripe of 1" - 2" along I-66, while just about everyone else gets less than half an inch.
  10. We don't do complex well in these parts. Safer to take the under on this event.
  11. Almost an inch of rain and we got concrete poured with some creative tenting. Double win.
  12. Hope you get a soaking rain. Everyone needs it.
  13. Maryland airmass isn't overturned yet. Might be some decent elevated convection?
  14. The rainfall across Southern MD is great. Some of the mesonet sites down there are essentially hard pan.
  15. Finally get field work, including concrete and trench digging schedule for tomorrow and it decides to rain.
  16. Not to be a deb, but this doesn't look as impressive on the severe side as it did a few days ago. Definitely a chance for multiple rounds of thunderstorms today, but the overall spatial coverage and helicity seem to have backed off.
  17. Doesn't seem like a real favorable environment for tornadoes tomorrow. Recent HRRR and 00z NAM trying for more low end straight line risk.
  18. 00z HRRR is wetter for many, but no severe. I'll take it.
  19. Just give me until Tuesday evening. Got field work on Monday and pouring concrete on Tuesday.
  20. 12z and 18z NAM looked decent but the 00z NAM is dry and boring as burnt toast.
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