Sciascia

7pm Tuesday, per RAP.

That’s a sizeable lake-enhanced area. Damn near the entire county of Cook (minus N/S fringes) and some counties SW.

It’s got 13.2 inches of snow down by midnight tomorrow. Oh my goodness, oh my damn.

LOT’s most recent images highlighting the storm: It won’t happen, but it would be insane to have an 18hr period of 1-2 inches-per-hour as somewhat depicted on that pictograph.

Nearly half of the total pages of this thread have come over the last 17 hours. Shows you how fast things can change.

First & final predictions: ORD: 10.4” Lake Shore Drive: 19.7” Go big or stay home.

WeenieBell map, but nevertheless: Inject this into my veins & call it a vaccine.

Dumb question(s): Is ORD looking to be too far NW to get in on the LES? If it is, and ORD is the standard for reporting “Chicago” snow, does the downtown snow get counted separately?

15z RAP with 14-18” around Chicago metro by 12pm Tuesday (with LES still falling at IL lakeshore at 51hrs)

15z RAP going hard on LES

I do not support defunding the agency that has to try forecasting something as variable as the weather. Weather is fickle, weather is emotionless. Weather does whatever it wants to do, and that can change on a dime. As a general point: I couldn’t do the job that RC & Purdue do; and we should be even more thankful to have them around to give their expertise. It’s like if you were on the Reddit page for Game of Thrones/your favorite TV show & one of the actors was a regular contributor. Can’t take it for granted.

I thought that 10.8” storm counted for February. My mistake on that.

You are a gentleman and a scholar. Much appreciated.

What’s a good site, if any, that keeps track of seasonal/monthly snowfall totals at airports? I’d rather be able to track things myself than have to ask everyone here all the time.

STAT TIME: Chicago’s snowiest month on record is January 1918 with 42.5”. If this storm/lake effect pans out, February 2021 is gonna be hot on its heels.

Euro with a wide swath of 6”+ from Chicago & points SE (majority 10 inch totals in Indiana). Oddly enough, is the first 0z run I’ve seen tonight without a strong western LM lake signal. Or, I should say, no wacky weenie results.

GFS-V16 continues 0z trend of strong lake-influenced NE IL high snow totals.

Almost all 0z models so far highlighting a strong LE signal for western Lake Michigan. Not all heaviest amounts are onshore, though. So like all lake effect scenarios, a wait & see approach.

Navy Pier buried? EDIT: WRF-ARW also painting a 24”+ spot just offshore in IL, with the lake plume still present at 48hrs.

Wrigleyville cam is also nice right now.

So what you’re saying is I’ll likely have to prepare for Metra delays coming from Boone County to Jefferson Park on Saturday evening? The snow loving part of me is all reading those thoughts, though.

Nice to read (and hear from family) about the good snows around the city of Chicago. I’m home on vacation in Poplar Grove, where it’s been mostly smaller type flakes off & on. Anyone know the current ORD snow total for Feb? Gotta already be one of the snowiest months in a few seasons, I would think.

HRRR Martin chimes in with the 13z:

That burst was awesome. @Hoosier tells no lies.

I look forward to it! Still dancing between a light & a moderate. But winds have kicked up a lot. Edit: Getting heavier. Visibility down Harlem Ave is dropping.