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Sciascia

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  1. Sciascia
    The P&C for Elmwood Park is 6-10” for Saturday alone, with 90% snow listed for Sunday & 50% Sunday night. So 8-12” seems with what they’re kinda leaning towards outside of the warning text. I agree it is a bit of an oversight to be pushing two separate low-max levels.
  2. Sciascia
    P&C in for Elmwood Park where I will be over the weekend. Interesting they haven’t thrown any numbers onto the Sunday snow yet.
  3. Sciascia
    I’m supposed to work until 7pm Saturday. May be a tricky ride home if it’s going to be a wall of snow at onset.
  4. Sciascia
    12z HRRR likely doing it’s thing of overdoing lake-adjacent amounts. But would be incredible to see downtown Chicago rack up a foot of snow by 6am.
  5. Sciascia
    6z HRRR has this happening between 6pm Sat & Midnight Sat night/Sun:
  6. Sciascia
    06z NAM kinda drier in terms of snowfall amounts over N IL. It backed off 1 inch 18z to 00z, and now another inch or so from 00z to 6z. Here’s Chicago’s Kuchera (Pivotal) NAM snow amounts since 12z yesterday: 12z: 12.8 18z: 11.5 0z: 10.4 6z: 9.6
  7. Sciascia
    6pm seems to be locked as the start time in N/NE Illinois.
  8. Sciascia
  9. Sciascia
    All this snow in only 6 hours!
  10. Sciascia
    Nearly 2 inch per hr rates at 51hrs
  11. Sciascia
    00z NAM seems to be similar to 18z at Hr51
  12. Sciascia
    I’ll call 9.9” at O’Hare. Missing double digits by the slimmest of margins.
  13. Sciascia
    The GFS-Elect (V16) showing a more similar solution & proving it’s in favor of a peaceful transfer of (model) power from the current GFS.
  14. Sciascia
    $$$
  15. Sciascia
    NAM run was colder, as the Kuchera numbers are higher than 10:1, where it’s been the reverse on most runs up until this one.
  16. Sciascia
    Euro Kuchera:
  17. Sciascia
    Snow seems to stop at HR96. Amazing totals for under 10:1 ratios.
  18. Sciascia
  19. Sciascia
    Is there a mobile friendly version of Pivotal that I’m missing? Or is it part of a paid subscription?
  20. Sciascia
    GFS seems to be a touch wetter in terms of total precip, but thermals still not great. How long after the “base” GFS runs does the V16 run? Pivotal has it at 0hrs right now.
  21. Sciascia
    Wetter is such a linguistically more enjoyable word to say than drier.
  22. Sciascia
    A 10:1 map painting over a foot for Chicago? Normally need the Kuchera powers to do that the past 2 years.
  23. Sciascia
    WWA is a more eye-catching disclaimer (both for online & local news media), but if low confidence & it doesn’t pan out, would that put low faith in future WWA postings from the public? If in your shoes, I would probably lean SPS with the option to upgrade to an advisory if LES is shown to materialize.
  24. Sciascia
    Three days from now...
  25. Sciascia
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