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Sciascia

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Everything posted by Sciascia

  1. This run puts 2 feet(!) of snow at my house at 10:1 ratios. Holy smokes. This cannot go any further west. (Narrator, later: It went further west.)
  2. You know there’s something good being tracked when you can basically feel the nervous tension before 0z (and 12z) models start releasing. It’s glorious!
  3. My job added two non-production days to our schedule this week, so I’m off until Jan. 3rd starting Wednesday instead of Friday. Turning out to be a major blessing in disguise with the timing of the storm, although it sucks massive jingle bells that they won’t be paid off days.
  4. Thursday AM is the start of things around the Chicago area, but I think there should be some flights allowed to be done; but don’t quote me. Friday would likely be cancel heavy if this verifies. You did the right thing, imo.
  5. I’m going to suggest to my wife asking/begging for a work-from-home setup for Friday. Thursday would be a *long* commute but it seems the absolute worst of the storm will kick in after 10pm Thursday.
  6. My wife drives an hour into Itasca every day for work. Idk if she’ll be able to come home on Thursday night; and based on those winds, Friday night seems questionable as well. Luckily there’s a hotel 3 minutes away from her job if that should happen.
  7. I didn’t think it was possible to experience something worse than GHD I. I remember those winds vividly, so violent.
  8. Here’s the more realistic 10:1 gif animation: And the awesome but unlikely Kuchera for the eye candy:
  9. I too would love to see this occur, even if it would make traveling to see my family in Chicago more treacherous.
  10. Midnight 12/22 - Midnight Christmas Eve, 12z GFS Even at 10:1 ratios, a great white Christmas for a good chunk of the subforum.
  11. If only the Kuchera method could apply here, this run would be fridge posting material for ALEK
  12. A 987mb Low going through Indy is a near perfect track for N IL
  13. If this storm pushes ORD past 5.3 inches of snow for December, it’ll be the snowiest December in Chicago since 2016 when 17.7” fell. The last 5 Decembers have been: 1.9”, 2.8”, 2.0”, 1.4”, and 5.3”.
  14. Low seems more E than SE at 120hrs compared to 0z last night (Pivotal free only goes in 24hr increments so I can’t compare to 12z yet).
  15. 12am 12/22 - 12am Christmas Day, 18z GFS Higher totals SE of the 12z run.
  16. Two questions: 1. Is it necessary that the lead front push that hard in order for a good storm to occur? 2. If not, was the 00z EURO an example of what could occur if the system has some gulf moisture?
  17. Some women pray for 6-10 inches every day… …of snow. Come on, now.
  18. Let’s hope for a three-peat with the 12z 12/17 EURO!
  19. Midnight Thursday - Midnight Christmas Day, 12z GFS Another step in the direction of a EURO-like outcome.
  20. 12am Thursday - 12am Christmas Day, 00z EURO This would be crippling. Fun to watch, but crippling for travel. A Buried Christmas, if you will.
  21. I thank you & appreciate your detailed answer. I’m about 15 minutes south of the IL/WI border in Poplar Grove, so I always have to keep an eye on the state line events.
  22. GFS has been showing a flash mob of snow around midnight Thursday dropping 3-4 inches in just a few hours around Boone/other IL/WI border counties. Is that a realistic scenario?
  23. It would also be perfectly timed if it played out like it did on the GFS. Basically starts between midnight & 3am Thursday, ends around 10pm Thursday. Probably would be tricky for those traveling on the 23rd, but not as bad for the 24th/25th.
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