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Itstrainingtime

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Posts posted by Itstrainingtime

    Central PA Summer 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    2 hours ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Sounds like The Beard is ready to step up and be a main cog in the team this year!  LOL

    There's a reason why my wife and I are former 76ers season ticket holders. 

    The entire organization is a mess...top down. The NBA as a whole has major issues that are quickly alienating the fan base. Aside from that, the product on the floor is laughable. I can go to my local high school and watch the game played better, at least the technical aspects of it. 

    I'll be watching far more hockey this winter and far less of the Association. 

    • Like 2

    Central PA Summer 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    3 hours ago, mahantango#1 said:

    What are your thoughts on severe weather later today?

    MU is Meh-U for severe:

    Today will generally be mostly cloudy across most of PA in advance of an approaching warm front, but it’s not until 4-8 PM that showers and storms should arrive. Due to a major lack of instability, I’m still skeptical of the #SevereWeather threat..

    • Thanks 1

    Central PA Summer 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    7 minutes ago, canderson said:

    CTP’s radar is up. Good timing-will get very busy later today. Parameters look good for some pretty strong storms that can mix down strong gusts and hail   

     

    Skies here went from totally clear to cloudy in a matter of 30 minutes. Cumulus deck is exploding.

    • Like 1

    Central PA Summer 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    As for this coming Monday, perhaps the timing of the front will help mitigate the severe threat somewhat: 

    Day 4-8 Convective Outlook  
   NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK
   0344 AM CDT Thu Aug 10 2023

   Valid 131200Z - 181200Z

   ...DISCUSSION...
   Upper ridging is forecast to remain in place over the southern
   Plains and Southeast States through the weekend and into the middle
   of next week. A belt of enhanced, broadly cyclonic mid-level flow is
   expected north of this upper ridging from the northern Plains
   through the Mid-Atlantic and Northeast. A shortwave trough is
   forecast to drop southeastward into the northern/central Plains on
   D4/Sunday before continuing eastward across the Mid/Upper MS Valley
   and Upper Great Lakes on D5/Monday. Strong mid-level flow will
   accompany this system, spreading into the central Plains on
   D4/Sunday and across much of the OH Valley on D5/Monday. 

   This strong mid-level flow is still expected to support severe
   thunderstorms as the shortwave trough and associated surface low and
   cold front interact with moist and unstable airmass across the Mid
   MO and Mid MS Valleys on D4/Sunday. Mid-level flow is forecast to
   strengthen on D5/Monday as the shortwave matures and develops a
   closed circulation. The severe thunderstorm risk will persist
   eastward into the OH Valley on D5/Monday amid this strengthen upper
   flow. Best overlap between this strong flow and airmass
   destabilization is current expected to occur from southern OH into
   KY and WV. 

   Depending on the overall evolution of this shortwave, and its
   attendant surface low and cold front, some severe risk may continue
   into D6/Tuesday as the strong mid-level flow associated with the
   shortwave expands into the northern Mid-Atlantic and Northeast.
   However, current expectation is for the front to be offshore early
   D6/Tuesday morning.

   The belt of enhanced, broadly cyclonic flow across the northern tier
   of the CONUS will likely persist into D7/Wednesday and D8/Thursday.
   There is at least some potential for another shortwave trough to
   progress through the northern Plains and into the Mid/Upper MS
   Valley but inconsistency within the guidance leads to low forecast
   confidence.

   ..Mosier.. 08/10/2023
    • Thanks 1

    Central PA Summer 2023

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    6 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    MDT is touting a fresh, hot .01 for the AM so far.  LOL.  Definitely delayed compared to yesterday's progs.   Just started dripping here. 

    CTP's forecast for here from yesterday indicated rain would fall mainly after 11am, and that looks spot on now. That was my forecast and not what models were showing.

    • Like 1
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