Itstrainingtime

13 minutes ago, canderson said:

Finally issued wind advisories. Might as well just keep posted through Wednesday. 
 

URGENT - WEATHER MESSAGE
National Weather Service State College PA
228 PM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

PAZ012-019-026>028-035>037-041-042-045-046-049>053-056>059-063-
140630-
/O.CON.KCTP.WI.Y.0004.000000T0000Z-260314T1500Z/
Northern Clinton-Southern Centre-Huntingdon-Mifflin-Juniata-
Fulton-Franklin-Tioga-Northern Lycoming-Sullivan-Southern Clinton-
Southern Lycoming-Union-Snyder-Montour-Northumberland-Columbia-
Perry-Dauphin-Schuylkill-Lebanon-Cumberland-
Including the cities of Renovo, State College, Huntingdon,
Mount Union, Lewistown, Mifflintown, McConnellsburg,
Chambersburg, Mansfield, Wellsboro, Trout Run, Laporte,
Lock Haven, Williamsport, Lewisburg, Selinsgrove, Danville,
Sunbury, Shamokin, Bloomsburg, Berwick, Newport, Harrisburg,
Hershey, Pottsville, Lebanon, and Carlisle
228 PM EDT Fri Mar 13 2026

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 11 AM EDT SATURDAY...

* WHAT...Southwest winds 15 to 25 mph with gusts up to 50 mph
  expected.

* WHERE...Clinton, Southern Centre, Huntingdon, Mifflin, Juniata,
  Fulton, Franklin, Tioga, Lycoming, Sullivan, Union, Snyder,
  Montour, Northumberland, Columbia, Perry, Dauphin, Schuylkill,
  Lebanon, and Cumberland Counties.

* WHEN...Until 11 AM EDT Saturday.

* IMPACTS...Gusty winds will blow around unsecured objects. Tree
  limbs could be blown down and a few power outages may result.

 

CTP says winds go calm tomorrow evening and overnight.

Low of 28 this morning in Maytown. Family down outside of Lewes DE recorded 1.4" of snow yesterday after reaching 87 on Wednesday. 

Edit: I had to follow up, at my nephew's house about 3 miles west of Lewes, 33.8" of snow has fallen this winter. 

35 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

I wonder if this will expand a little more north in the coming days?

Pretty good chance I'd think. It already moved appreciably north since yesterday's outlook. 

1 minute ago, Voyager said:

Hey, I was just in Etown a couple hours ago. We drop/hook dirty for sanitized tankers at Quala on Industrial Rd.

Ah yes, right across from the Conewago Trail where my wife and I often walk. I know exactly where you were. 

Can you imagine leaving for work in the morning with temps in the mid 70s and then driving home in full-on winter driving conditions 8 hours later? 

58 minutes ago, Superstorm said:

That is awesome


.

Yesterday in Richmond, the high was 88 degrees. At 6am this morning it was 74. They are currently reporting Heavy Snow and 32 degrees. Roads are covered. Already up to 2" on grassy surfaces. Yesterday it was legit hot. 

Incredible. 

52 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Yeah.  as you suggested fringe folks dont have the rates for flippage.  I expected nothing as I shared yesterday, but some mood flakes always make me smile...no matter when I see em.  

Save a snowball for me down on Turk hill

 

14 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

Yeah I made sure to time my trip to Ironville Park atop the hill earlier so that it coincided with a nice band moving through, so that I got the benefit of rates and elevation.  Here at my house, just a few scattered flakes or flurries throughout the late morning.  

Pictures being posted in the MA thread are something else - a lot of white landscapes in areas that were around 70 degrees at 6am this morning. 

6 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

Not sure if Etown has seen a flake yet.  

Well there is one here everyday but I do not count. 

Crazy how just W and S of here is getting in on it, and nada here...so far.

Not enough intensity up that way. I noticed it on the drive to work...the precip is heavier south of Rt. 30 and it's been just enough to flip it over from time to time. 

Pouring snow down in parts of Maryland and Virginia under the most intense bands. 

Snow falling and beginning to accumulate in parts of MD and VA now, pretty much spot on where it was modeled. You can even see that heavier band congealing in that area on this radar loop:

 https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

Hills in southern York and Lancaster counties are going to turn white if they haven't already. 

3 hours ago, anotherman said:

Just the fact that we may see snow is unbelievable after the last three days.  Feels so much better out there today.

I was literally dancing in the office this morning much to the chagrin of everyone else. I feel like a new lease on life with how it feels outside right now. 

44 minutes ago, Mount Joy Snowman said:

So, I just went to the highest point close to my house (Ironville Park at ~700') and sure enough got to see the transition from sleet to big wet snowflakes.  Was snowing pretty good up there when I left, with still some sleet mixing in and obviously not laying, but cool nonetheless.  Figured it may be the last time for the season (although also maybe not be ha) so wanted to find some elevation.  Earlier when I took the kids to school there was just some sleet mixing in as I drove over the ridge towards Mountville.  Cold air really advecting in well.   

Since midnight my high was 63 with a low of 38 occurring right now.  I'll get a gauge reading on total liquid later when things wrap up.  Not much activity around here last evening as most of the good stuff scooted by me but nice to see the discussion on that impressive cell north of Harrisburg yesterday.  Onward.

I had slush on my car at home this morning. On my drive to work it was snowing on Chickies and it's snowing here on top of Turkey Hill right now. 

.82" of rain since yesterday. 

13 minutes ago, Blizzard of 93 said:

Thanks for thinking of me! We had indoor softball practice for my daughter’s team in the middle of nowhere Perry county with no cell service. The tornado warning was issued right before we started practice. Luckily where we were, there was no bad storm!

Everything was good when we got back to Marysville Borough. I’m not sure what part of Marysville that it specifically hit.

Thanks for the update. Truly glad all is well and you and your family are safe. I've been anxiously waiting and hoping to hear this. 

Just now, HBGCPA10 said:

Blue skies to the south and west. Is it too little too late?

Let's hope so. 

6 minutes ago, pasnownut said:

beer bet says no.  Still gonna be a rude awakening....

THIS is why I try to suppress the early chatter of the "its over" crowd.  This happens almost every stinkin year. 

Wishing for sustained warmth in early March, is like wishing for 4 weeks of nice snow cover.  It can happen, and just did, but a rarity, and not something worth complaining over when it doesnt happen.  

Thing is, I don't recall anyone saying winter was over? I made a post about what other mets were saying from other subs but I certainly never said it was finished. Is the fat lading warming up? Absolutely she is. But while warming up, the game continues on.

24 minutes ago, canderson said:

CTP hadn’t updated their discussion since 7 am. Hmmm. 

Updated:

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service State College PA
337 PM EDT Tue Mar 10 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
* Near-term temperature and dew point adjustments
* Conditional threat for tornadoes expanded to cover all of
  south-central Pennsylvania.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
1) Spring-like conditions continues through Wednesday.

2) Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms tomorrow. Some
storms may be severe with damaging winds along with the
possibility of a few tornadoes.

3) Settling into a cooler and windy pattern for the end of the
week and weekend.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1: Spring-like conditions continues through
Wednesday.

As heights continue to build over the eastern US into Wednesday,
temps in central PA may challenge daily records as they surge
+20-30 degrees above the historical average. With highs in the
upper 60s-70s and lows in the 50s (Tue night), it will feel more
like an average day in mid-May than mid-March. Record-breaking
temperatures on Tuesday have already been observed as of 3PM
across the region, with more information on those records coming
with the 5PM evening climate report. Recent forecast continues
to outline record-breaking warmth potential tonight and for high
temperatures on Wednesday. See the climate section for more
information on possible records.

Isolated to scattered showers/thundershowers are possible this
afternoon and evening during the peak of diurnal heating, with
increased sfc moisture and modest lapse rates aloft creating
just enough instability for convection. Showers across NW PA
have already been observed with better instability/shear
slightly north of the border; however, cannot rule out
showers/thunderstorms in the near-term across Warren/McKean
counties. Focus for shower activity this evening shifts closer
to the central-third of the forecast area, based on recent HREF
model guidance.

KEY MESSAGE 2: Numerous showers and scattered thunderstorms
tomorrow. Some storms may be severe with damaging winds along
with the possibility of a few tornadoes.

A cold front will sweep through Wednesday night into Thursday,
as an upper trough approaches the region. Ahead of the front,
numerous showers and some thunderstorms are anticipated during
the daytime and evening on Wednesday. The SPC Day 2 (Wednesday)
Slight Risk area continues to include practically all of central
PA with minor changes to the afternoon update today, with
changes limited to expanding the CIG1 hatching across the
southern tier of Pennsylvania (see more below). The main
uncertainty with respect to this threat continues to be
instability with recent HREF model guidance indicating
considerable cloudiness across much of the area (maybe SE PA
sneaks out a couple breaks early) by sunrise Wednesday. Recent
model guidance does continue to like the idea of some shower
activity in the morning hours, which could further limit
instability for the afternoon/evening hours. Probabilities of
SBCAPE exceeding 500 J/kg in the most recent HREF have decreased
some with recent guidance indicating a second corridor along
I-81 and extending closer to the Harrisburg area; however,
probabilities have even dropped in this corridor as well.

With winds of 40-50 kts in the lowest 3km of the atmosphere, it
wouldn`t take much to bring some damaging winds down the
ground. In contrast with the system over this past weekend,
there will be more shower activity during the day on Wednesday
but also a more moist airmass in place before storms arrive, and
no cool air damming signal over east central PA. Given the very
strong low-level winds and Gulf moisture connection, the
resultant 850 mb moisture flux is progged to be about as strong
as it can be this time of year across western PA.

While damaging straight line winds will be the primary threat
with Wednesday`s convection, the SPC D2 outlook also includes
CIG1 hatching over much of southern Pennsylvania, meaning the
conditional probability of an EF2 tornado is greater than the
climatological average. In other words, if tornadoes do develop
in that area on Wed, they could be strong.

KEY MESSAGE 3: Settling into a cooler and windy pattern for the
end of the week and weekend.

As the base of the trough and associated surface cold front
cross PA, a sharp temperature drop in the wake of the cold front
may result in any lingering postfrontal precip changing over to
snow Wed night into Thu. Gusty winds will also accompany the
system, with gusts of 30-40 kts behind the front early Thursday.

Trending toward the longwave pattern that we saw most of the
winter, with cooler conditions on the east coast. Weather
systems will be moving fast so a lot of day to day variation
likely.

Periodic shortwaves in the prevailing upper level pattern will
lead to chances for precipitation as well as strong winds every
few days from this weekend into early next week. At this point,
the storm track favors the primary corridor of precipitation
passing north of the area. With overnight lows within a few
degrees of the freezing mark forecasted, precipitation type will
be largely dependent on what time of day it moves through. But
as of this time, no significant systems or appreciable
precipitation are expected.

&&

Earliest it's hit 82 in Lancaster in 112 years. 

These are days that fascinate me as an all-weather enthusiast - your basic 33 degree disparity between the coast and 10 short miles inland this afternoon: (Rehoboth vs. Georgetown DE)

17 minutes ago, MAG5035 said:

Here’s the follow up on all this haha

 

I wonder if/when MU will claim another victory? He's on South Beach right now...

Officially, Lancaster (MU station) is now at 82 and climbing! 

This is ramping up pretty quickly:

58 minutes ago, canderson said:

PA tornado outbreak seems possible to somewhat probable tomorrow.  

More than that, straight lines winds of 70 mph seems highly likely for some. Hail too 

Yeah the timing of the front sped up enough that it'll impact us during prime hours now. Yesterday it looked like it wouldn't arrive here until early Thursday which would have greatly mitigated our chances. 

4 hours ago, Yardstickgozinya said:

Why did , your map chang?  This isn't the one that you posted.

Image updates automatically once SPC releases a new update. The map I posted yesterday was their day #3 map for Wednesday. Today's day #3 map (the one that you posted) is for Thursday. 

2nd severe threat of the very young season already:

2 minutes ago, mahantango#1 said:

Even though there's still opportunities for snow still to come for the next 40 days or so, Winter is basically on life support now. Spring is trying to takeover. And we should all welcome it after those brutal temps we all experienced for 3 months. 

I admit that yesterday was exceptionally nice to be outdoors. And it was obvious judging by the throngs of people on local trails that many, many people were feeling the same way.

Having said that, I'm sorry but I found nothing brutal about this winter. I enjoyed every single bitterly cold day we had and I won't apologize for it.