Itstrainingtime

Question that maybe no one can really answer - how is the expected crest forecast? If we "only" get an inch or two of rain for the remainder of the event, will the crest be lower, and conversely, if we get 5" will the crest end up higher? I view the hydrology page several times daily and the expected crest seems to fluctuate each time i check. Just wondering how the crest is determined. I'm sure it is highly variable given how many waterways empty into the main stem.

Susquehanna is currently forecast to crest at 18.4' on Thursday...flood stage is 17'. Looks to crest at about 2' above flood stage down this way at Marietta.

Meanwhile, just under .5" fell here overnight. No flooding in my immediate area and streams have actually receded a bit. Radar looks ominous to the south, however... Edit to say that I'm at 6.3" for the entire event.

Looks like the next batch is destined for York, Adams, and Cumberland counties. Maybe a quieter night for those of us east of the river? We'll see...

Just had a near zero visibility gully washer roll through. Picked up another .25" quick.

Very...quite a large area had 10"-15" amounts, and if memory serves me correctly the ground was already saturated.

Hersheypark closes for the entire day during midsummer...don't see that happen often.

5" of rain and I'm not even close to having the highest totals in our area. Someone is getting double digit totals before this all moves out. It will be interesting to see what happens with the Susquehanna...it was at an extremely low level before Saturday. I cannot ever recall the river reaching flood stage during the summer months without a tropical storm. Not saying by any means it will reach flood stage but the latest forecast has it at the caution stage in Marietta by late Wednesday/Thursday and still on the rise...

Next round is rapidly advancing northward through the BWI/DC corridor...this batch has a laser beam pointing at the south central mountains west of my location.

Yesterday and last night delivered the goods. Nearly 3" fell since 4:00pm yesterday, now at 4.8" for the "event." Rain woke me up around 2:00am...checked radar and my first thought was that it looked eerily similar to Lee.

Was just gonna post...it's headed right at me. Just finished the 2nd cell of the day and that next cluster looks to deliver the goods.

Shower produced just shy of a quarter inch about an hour ago, full sun now.

Finished with 1.8" yesterday. As I said early yesterday...congrats South Mountain.

Yep, big doughnut hole over Lanco. Glad it isn't January!

Interesting...rain has stopped here. Not slowed...stopped.

I'm dreaming of reading 5 days of posts from you about it, too.

YES!!! It really does. I was going to say that in my response to Voyager but I didn't want to bring up old wounds.

Eh...I'm not losing a whole lot of sleep if I get 2" of rain while someone else gets 6". I don't need or want water problems in my basement. On the other hand, i agree with what you're saying completely. No matter the season it seems, "big" weather events have eluded the coal region for quite a few years.

Yeah, we'll see what happens. I'm sure there will be surprises over the next week.

Short-term models focusing the heaviest rains over South Mountain and areas along the 81 corridor west of Harrisburg. Some areas approach a half foot of rain...and that is just for today into tomorrow morning.

This front can't get here soon enough. Dear god is it a steam bath today.

I must really be getting soft. I left work yesterday and my first thought was "this isn't too bad." I got in my car and discovered it was 95 out. It's funny how last week conditioned me to the heat. At least it seems like it.

Well...I don't have any information to support this, but I think some of our hot summers have been followed by a snowy winter. Someone can correct me on that if I'm off my rocker again.

.4" here. Amazing...

Haven't had a drop...