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Itstrainingtime

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    Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    1 minute ago, canderson said:

    I took astronomy my sophomore year in college. I went the first day, got the syllabus, then went for the midterm and final. Never bought the book - a friend took it the semester before so I just read hers and took the exams and aced it.

    .... I know nothing about astronomy. Good credit usage there huh lol. 

    You must have been a Longhorn to pull something like that off. :P

    • Haha 1

    Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    On 3/16/2019 at 4:29 PM, psuhoffman said:

    I should post here more.  I like the mid Atlantic forum but it’s in full meltdown right now.  Way to any people on edge and whiny about everything. 

    The clipper looks to have such a narrow precipitation band associated with it that it’s kind of going to be a nowcast thing. 

    The coastal is highly unlikely but not 100% dead. There is some fairly potent upper level energy diving through but the flow over the top is pretty progressive. 

    If we could get the NS to dig in further west and allow more ridging in front maybe. Some runs are still close enough and lead times long enough that I’ll casually watch it but I don’t expect anything. 

    This is my first chance to respond to this as I was busy over the weekend, but I'd like to share a few thoughts...

    Personally, your analysis and knowledge would be a nice asset to this sub forum. My biggest takeaway from reading your thoughts for many years is that you excel in detailing how things could go right AND wrong with any potential winter event. I for one want to hear the "realistic" thoughts as time often proves that it's best to temper expectations and shed the rose-colored glasses. Fact is, how many dozens of feet of snow did models depict this winter for what ended up being about 3' - 4' of ground truth? Additionally, your climate fits in much better with our sub than it does for the vast majority of the mid-Atlantic, even if by definition of established boundaries you belong posting there. 

    I have a lot of mixed emotions about your home sub. Because a lot of our potential winter weather enters our area from the south and southwest most of us read your sub regularly to get information that will be helpful to us. Yet trying to get the vast majority of people down there to understand that is impossible. I've never seen a group of people that are so obsessive about keeping others out. Yes, there have been a couple of knuckleheads like snowstorm5921 or whatever his name is/was go down there and muck things up...fact is, he was never one of "us" as to my knowledge he NEVER posted in his own sub. Anyway, it's kind of sad to see the number of really, really good posters down there who seldom post anymore. Matt, (Deck Pic) Ian, Mitch, Wes, and I guess Bob have all grown tired of the endless nonsense and moved on. I counted on their insight to help me get a better idea on what WE could expect up here. Shame what has happened. At least you still have Ji. :) 

    I wish both you and @showmethesnow would consider sharing thoughts with us a little more often. You both are very good posters and you both have climate that fits our sub better than where you normally post. Something I hope you both at least consider going into winter 2019-20. 

    By the way, I completely, 100% resonate with some of your snow "criteria". Like you, a 2-4" snowfall in January is not the same to me as it is in March. Once we get past the first few days of March I'm switching my focus on big game hunting. 2" of snow that falls on 3/18 just doesn't do anything for me at all. It's not that i don't want it, but it doesn't have the same curb appeal as it does in the dead of winter. Really, anything less than 4" is most likely history within the first few hours of sun. My bar for snow by this point of the season is enough that a full day of March sun does not torch the entire pack. From reading your posts I think that generally, you feel the same way as I do. It's go big or go home time now. 

    Thank you for your contributions...

    • Like 3

    Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    Where did this come from?!?!? Easily the worst storm here in recent memory...hail bigger than pea size along with blinding wind and rain. Literally could not see more than 50'. This was NOT forecast that I saw. Lightning and thunder but nothing super close. Winds were probably 30-40mph so sub-severe but still a very impressive event.

    Edit: Picked up nearly .5" of rain in 12 minutes. 

    Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    3 hours ago, sauss06 said:

    who runs that forum? He got pissed here and left several years ago. He is a good dude.

    It's Tombo's forum. He still posts occasionally in the mid-Atlantic sub, but he started Phillywx and has several good mets from the Philly area that contribute a lot over there. Not as much activity as these boards but it is a very good forum in that it has good posters posting good information with little to no outright weenie junk.  

    I was posting there regularly during my hiatus from on here. There are 2 or 3 other posters from Lancaster that contribute as well. 

     

    • Like 1

    Central PA Feb/March 2019 Disco: More Snow In Our Future?

    in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania

    Posted

    12 minutes ago, Bubbler86 said:

    Yea, it is brutal to drive especially if during a holiday.  I lived near Tampa for a year so familar with Port Richey. Surely you have been to Honeymoon Island then?  Funny but that part of Florida is where it snows 2 out of 4 years on average.  No accums in quite a bit but the Fake/Ocean Effect type snows.  

     

    We have driven 4-5 times in the last decade and always took 95 to 83 but this last time we took the Virginia route that keeps you on 81 a long time (and through Charlotte). I really, really do not like 81 through the southern half of VA. Too hilly and too many rolling road blocks with trucks.

     

     

    I travel to Florida at least once a year and always drive. I don't care for the 81/77/26 route, did that once and that was once too many. I actually like 95...once I'm past Richmond :)

    • Like 1
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