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MattPetrulli

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Everything posted by MattPetrulli

  1. This would be 4th system in 8 years that goes up the Florida coast and threatens some of the core coming ashore, (Dorian, Matthew, Isaias). Just funny because I don't recall that in 2000s/90s, could be wrong though
  2. Just parks over Tampa through 00z Friday lmao
  3. Also gives tropical storm conditions to most of the Florida West Coast which I was skeptical of, even though there's warnings and watches out.
  4. 12z GFS maybe a tad east, but stronger and bigger
  5. Recon a decent ways away from the center and still getting TS force SFMRs
  6. Ian is GOING TO WORK, this is not a 60 MPH tropical storm anymore
  7. May be there sooner than later. Satellite also looks increasingly better
  8. https://www.weather.gov.ky/radar Radar from Grand Cayman to use has Ian's center in range
  9. Recon found the center again, along with a temperature spike indicating core formation in progress
  10. More ensembles on 18z going towards peninsula + showing the stall along with more W Florida landfalls. Just off the pure eye. The mean itself may be deviated by the members which go in west of PC, which probably won't happen.
  11. 18z Euro a little west, but stronger
  12. I think they may have missed the true center due to the hot tower to the north of it. Could be incorrect though
  13. Curious to see how NHC treats new data. 990 MB is a large drop with a 55 knot SFMR recorded. Wonder if they'll put out an update statement or wait until 8 PM.
  14. Surge will be bad, but lets not under estimate the potential for a Cat 2-3 eyewall to be going through Tampa. They have great building codes but that would cause significant damage regardless.
  15. Recon already finding a more organized storm than last run
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