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Phelps

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Everything posted by Phelps

  1. Phelps
    Just looking at how this plays out on the hi-res models it looks like all this snow has to fall in about 4 hours. I guess that's the entire point with a system like this. I may need to set an alarm to catch the most impressive rates.
  2. Phelps
    6z gfs casually showing 18’ up and down the TN border…
  3. Phelps
    I don't disagree but the resorts (I can only speak for App, Sugar and Beech) have made remarkable investments in snowmaking capabilities in recent years. It's to the point that they can basically cover the main slopes in a day. It's been one of the warmest decembers ever, no natural snow, it hasn't been below freezing for a week, and the resorts are still open. (barely, i assume) Next week should be great for snowmaking. But it is crazy to think that at the end of the day they are in the hands of mother nature. I would imagine they make most of their money on about 12 weekends and to lose one to warm and rain has to be painful.
  4. Phelps
    Just glancing at the GFS over the last few days there have been several runs that don't bring the humidity back at all for the next couple of weeks. LFG.
  5. Phelps
    We're about to transition from whining about lack of cold, to whining about lack of warmth. (at least until the sticky icky gets here)
  6. Phelps
    LOL. Sugar with 25 more inches than Beech. Looks like Gunther's ruler could be acting up again. Might want to get that thing checked out!
  7. Phelps
    I don't mean to downplay the threat of a significant ice storm but how long is this thing going to last? 12 hours? I was in Raleigh for the early 2000s ice storm and it just would not stop raining with temps in the mid 20s. Again, I do think a high impact ice event is in the making but some of these apocalyptic maps need to be taken with a grain of salt.
  8. Phelps
    Looks like we ended up at the lower end of the range. Couple inches at the house. Probably more at the top. I am certainly not complaining though. There is soooo much snow up here right now. It’s been a fantastic winter for us. And I’ll just say it’s been great for my sanity not to have to hope for snow in Charlotte. It hasn’t really snowed there since January 2018 and honestly feels like it might never snow there again. (I realize it will but boy it’s been bleak)
  9. Phelps
    Yeah 6-8 seems about right. Maybe closer to 6 where I am. It was still going to some degree when I left this afternoon. I was surprised. I also got stuck on the BMP trying to leave as they had to shut it down for 90 minutes to clean up a bad wreck. It was pretty dicey out there today. Thankfully it was a Tuesday.
  10. Phelps
    4-5 inches of snow then .25”(?) of rain, and now it’s in the teens. Things are crunchy up here this morning. If we’re going to get to Ray’s 5-10 it better start snowing harder soon
  11. Phelps
    Appreciate the thoughts on Watauga. I'll be there to see whatever falls.
  12. Phelps
    Are the northern counties not in a good spot for this setup? RNK seems to be talking only a few inches for Beech and the GSP map looks to agree.
  13. Phelps
    Yep. Snow Saturday overnnight isn't as exciting when you wake up Sunday to rain. But a few days of nwf could be nice.
  14. Phelps
    Weekend is looking like it might be sloppy. Hopefully the Euro has the idea. But even if it doesn't work out Saturday and Sunday the NWF looks pretty good.
  15. Phelps
    From this morning up on top of Beech. Now 33 degrees (huh?) at the house (4500’)
  16. Phelps
    Yeah where the heck did that come from? A little frustrating as I was up there for 4 days to celebrate New Years and it never got below freezing. Then as I'm packing up it starts to snow unexpectedly. Certainly eyeing a quick return trip Thursday evening. Side note; I know many on this forum are well aware but man it was bustling up in the high country. I think you had almost everything booked up with folks on vacation then on top of that a lot of day trippers had the mountains on their minds as they heard about the White Christmas. The ski resort looked like chaos. I'm happy for the local businesses but also won't mind seeing things get back to "normal".
  17. Phelps
    Not to skip over today's event but any chance the Wednesday storm could be snow for the highest elevations? We've got a gulf low tracking up the coast and some cold air nearby. Just glancing at the global though and it doesn't look cold enough. Can't tell how close we are to something good.
  18. Phelps
    Flakes are flying up on Beech (via the webcams). Weather.com has them with 8-12. Blacksburg office going 2-4. We'll see. Hate this couldn't line up better with Thanksgiving. I'll be watching this one from afar.
  19. Phelps
    Not saying the setup is the same here (maybe it is I don't know) but this feels a bit like last year right after Thanksgiving. That event underperformed and set the tone for the season. Maybe this year will be different!
  20. Phelps
    Agree. Anecdotally it felt like it warmed up during the week with rain Friday turning to snow overnight ushering in a colder weekend with an inch or 2 of snow at the high elevations. Never really got a storm of any substance.
  21. Phelps
    Compared to the mets and others on this board i don't know anything about the weather. But here in Charlotte this feels like deja vu. Sitting here waiting for the rain to change over to snow. Watching a stronger than expected warm nose give us sleet. Wondering why the radar returns don't look good any more (maybe not an issue with this particular storm). It just seems like no matter how good things look leading up to the event we revert to climo. It's snowing in the mountains. It's snowing north of 85. 85 (maybe 40 to the east) is the rain/snow line. We can watch models for days but is all seems to always come back to this.
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