Several models predicting near or tying the all time record low of -24°F at GRR Saturday morning. It will be interesting to see how cold it really gets.
HRRR
RAP
Euro
ICON
Yes, I am not thinking they will break the record but it will certainly get cold. The Euro has backed down a little as of 0Z bue most models seem to be thinking -15°F to -18°F which would for sure set some records. The morning AFD said at least one model gave a 40% chance of -20°F.
I know. I grew up in SE Ohio and watched Cheat Mountain, Snowshoe, Spruce Knob, the Maryland panhandle, all of those places get some crazy totals, but this is almost too over the top even for WV.
A good aerial view of it here - Roughly 100 vehicles involved in winter storm pileup on Interstate 196 in Michigan | Fox Weather
It is going to be a while before they get everyone out of that mess.
When it gets very cold, lake effect goes from dendrites to tiny ice crystals and doesn't stack up very fast. Makes for very poor visibility but not great accumulations.
The monthly departures at GRR are fairly significant at -4.3°F so far. Here is a monthly chart that would make even @beavis1729 happy. It has sure been a cold month in Fairbanks. They are averaging about 17.6°F below normal for the month.
With Friday's 1.7" of snow, GRR has passed 1905-1906 ending any talk of futility before winter officially started. While this last week has been a dud it has been a pretty good start to winter so far and looking forward to hopefully much more snow to come this winter.
Snowing sideways and blowing pretty good on my way in to work at 6:30 this morning. Too bad we lost nearly all of our snow yesterday. Drifting, even with just a little snow, was pretty obvious especially around the old snow banks that did not melt off.