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dwagner88

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Everything posted by dwagner88

  1. dwagner88
    Clown maps divided by two is my modus operandi for winter events. That’s still a good snow for most at this rate. Huge bust potential in either direction.
  2. dwagner88
    Worth mentioning that dendrite growth is just as important as temperatures. This could be a situation where we get those monster palm diameter clumps of snow falling. Those accumulate quickly even in warmer temps.
  3. dwagner88
    Rates are going to be key. I’ve had 3 inches of wet snow accumulate at 34 degrees. It melted from the bottom up, but it made a quick mess of the roads.
  4. dwagner88
    Western parts of middle TN have been hit with catastrophic flash flooding this morning. Dual pol estimates max out at over 17” of rain near McEwen TN.
  5. dwagner88
    Looking at our area, we have had a couple of minor mud slides in Polk and eastern McMinn counties. Eastern McMinn in particular seems to have been hit pretty hard. I can believe that 10” total from Monroe.
  6. dwagner88
    That’s a big miss by the globals on the precip shield. They had it more correct 48 hours ago.
  7. dwagner88
    Looks like the GFS was correct with the rain amounts. The precip shield is more displaced to the NW from the LLC than on the other globals. MRX said 025"-0.50" today. Already over 1" and it's pouring down.
  8. dwagner88
    I had very little snow and 4-6” of sleet from this one. Best sledding in my entire life. It also took forever to melt.
  9. dwagner88
    I got over 4" just last night with the stalled boundary over the area. I really don't need any more from Fred. The Euro is lighter than the GFS (under 2" additional), but ALL of the models blew the heavy rain last night.
  10. dwagner88
    Beautiful sunset right now. Kinda surreal.
  11. dwagner88
    I always look forward to the frontal based storms forming in events like this. It makes the end of the tornado risk easy to decipher on radar. We still have a long way to go.
  12. dwagner88
    After the Easter EF3 last year, I do. I have one for every family member ready to go.
  13. dwagner88
    Nasty hail core heading straight for downtown Nashville.
  14. dwagner88
    I smell a large amount of incoming hail damage claims in Nashville. Looks nasty.
  15. dwagner88
    Is. . . is that crayon?
  16. dwagner88
    5.25" storm total for me. Biggest rain event since I moved into this house in 2019.
  17. dwagner88
    I wonder if they experience higher than normal rates for home insurance. Seems like they are always under the gun.
  18. dwagner88
    So far the name of the game with this event has been heavy freaking rain. MRX pulled the trigger for a FFW for the southern valley. It was needed. After our bout of heavy rain yesterday morning, there were bound to be problems with this much convection interacting with a stalled warm front.
  19. dwagner88
    Appears to be just NE of Birmingham. It has been stalled in that location for about 3 hours. Hope it stays there.
  20. dwagner88
    DP shot up to 59 here around 30 minutes ago, but has now fallen back to 57. Might be a good omen.
  21. dwagner88
    I don't like the storm motion. They are all aimed straight up I-59 directly at SE TN. We really need that warm front to remain where it is.
  22. dwagner88
    The Euro and the GFS are not at all in the same camp this weekend. The Euro says bust out the life rafts with 6-8" widespread over my corner of the state. The GFS has less than 1" qpf with the heavier totals along I-40. Either way, I'm expecting to see a hydro outlook from MRX any time now.
  23. dwagner88
    Temp has dropped to 33 and sleet has changed to pure rain. I’m going to bed. I’ll think about getting a new hobby tonight. This winter has really taken it out of me.
  24. dwagner88
    There are 60 dbz returns on HTX radar approaching Lynchburg. Marked as snow on precipitation depiction. That would be incredible if true. I have to imagine there is some sleet in it though.
  25. dwagner88
    Northern Alabama is getting absolutely pasted right now.
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