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EastonSN+

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Everything posted by EastonSN+

  1. EastonSN+
    Ugh ugly runs overnight. Starting to look beyond. Not much past this storm on the models BUT we are heading into the good pattern depicted on the ensembles. We wait.
  2. EastonSN+
    Extremely nice! Hope that look does not break down for weeks.
  3. EastonSN+
    If I could lock that in. Approx. 5 here on that map which is close to what I had March 1994 system (had 5.5).
  4. EastonSN+
    At least EURO doubled snowfall amounts. Went from two to four here.
  5. EastonSN+
    Ha I provided same exact one!
  6. EastonSN+
    Ugly. Hope the LR still looks great on the EPS and GEFS with no signs of breaking down! If so then plenty more opportunities after this one.
  7. EastonSN+
    EURO looks like this storm from the past. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1994/03-Mar-94.html
  8. EastonSN+
    For some reason this storm keeps popping up in my mind while watching the EURO op track. http://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/1994/03-Mar-94.html
  9. EastonSN+
    Gets washed away, but what falls before getting washed still counts against season totals.
  10. EastonSN+
    This is a GREAT point. Models almost always under model CAD. So the models that show a coating to 1 inch before pure rain are likely incorrect. Even with a coastal runner we will see more snow and SLEET. Of course rain too.
  11. EastonSN+
    Great run for Pittsburgh. When's the last time they jacked.
  12. EastonSN+
    Primary in central PA instead of NYC.
  13. EastonSN+
    Even further west than 12 Z. Ugly.
  14. EastonSN+
    That's more coastal/inland runners than I was expecting
  15. EastonSN+
    Great storm. Had 9.5 inches of snow sleet mix before the rain! Glacier.
  16. EastonSN+
    What does Forky think? He got the last one right.
  17. EastonSN+
    Lol that would be a kick in the #-$#- if the EURO is actually correct. Hopefully it's not.
  18. EastonSN+
    This can definitely be a coastal or inland runner, but there WILL be some snow before any changeover. 2 to 4? 3 to 6? Heck in 2014 had 12 before 2 inches of rain then back to 1.5 more
  19. EastonSN+
    Perhaps a massive thump first like 2014? Had 12 then 2 inches of rain then 1.5 on the back end.
  20. EastonSN+
    Does GEFS have it as tucked?
  21. EastonSN+
    0.5 December 7.5 Jan 8.0 to date
  22. EastonSN+
    Didn't this similar pattern last for 2.5 months in 15/16? Wondering if this can lock in for the remainder on the year? I know the blob was off the west coast, however heard that they still don't know if the blob was caused by the constant ridge or vise versa. Perhaps this year we reverse 89/90
  23. EastonSN+
    Likely the case BUT, 1. If the RNA is say -1 instead of -2 we can snow if Feb. Especially if the -NAO returns as well. 2. Sets up for a potentially great March due to La Nina and progression/loop of MJO would put us back to 8 by March if we follow the same progression from December into Jan. Will be fun to see how it unfolds in any event.
  24. EastonSN+
    Agreed. I do think this favorable period will last longer than expected, so if the next 2 weeks do not pan out there is still time IMO. Also, the old fashioned pattern changing storm (Jan 1996) can occur if we are lucky once the pattern does relax. OT - Marches usually produce in La Ninas, hopefully this does too IF we migrate to an unfavorable pattern in FEB.
  25. EastonSN+
    The GFS now has the CMC Miller B storm as well.
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