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CapturedNature

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Everything posted by CapturedNature

  1. Yeah, I had never seen anything like that before or after. Even the amount of snow in Stafford/Union was something I had never seen before or since. 30"+ snowfalls are pretty rare. That whole day was pretty special.
  2. There's more options than just fusion: https://www.wsj.com/articles/whats-next-for-the-energy-grid-11581645094
  3. If someone has checked out and considers March snow a stat padder, do they get to include that snow in their seasonal totals?
  4. If it's from a lake, I've heard it's fake.
  5. What about the next few frames/periods? How about that trough off the west coast & the one off the east coast? You're calling for an outright torch weeks 2 & 3, right? Hopefully there are no cool downs to interrupt that but your heat doesn't look like it's sustained.
  6. If someone posted a 360hr map of a snowstorm (in any other winter) what are chances of it coming to fruition verbatim? Besides, looks pretty zonal over NE.
  7. It's 2012, it's not 2012 it's the sister of 2012...ok. We say it's going to 2020 and we won;t know the whole story until it is in the books.
  8. Imagine that...didn't know that was still a thing.
  9. lol...yeah, next few days are definitely warm.
  10. What do you mean by "a few folks hang on"? Hang on to what? Observing the weather?
  11. That's a pretty bold call. Even the crappiest of winters have had snow in March here. My worst March only had a trace but then we had measurable in April. Good luck with that call...
  12. Looks like it goes back to 1885: http://bluehill.org/observatory/2020/02/announcing-blue-hill-observatorys-2020-summer-workshop-launch-your-weather-career-2/
  13. Maybe we can have 100+ pages before the month even starts like last month and all of them be non-weather related about a virus? Better than anything I guess...
  14. I think it only goes out 15-16 days so it's at the end of the range and we don't know exactly what lies beyond that. If you look at a meteogram the trend has been for a few days of cool/colder weather, a few days of warmer weather and rinse and repeat. That pattern started last week. For someone who has been touting persistence forecasting (which I don't think is a bad thing), who's to say that warmer period isn't followed by another cooler period after that?
  15. How many days does it have after the 10th? Looks to be part of the yo-yo ride that started this week...up and down, up and down.
  16. I don't think it's that. I know it's shown BN temps and AN precip in the winter and it's not worked out. I think the angst has more to do with being able to predict something so far out. I do agree that there are biased people but that's on both sides of the spectrum. Does anyone have any numbers on accurate the CPC's calls are in different time frames?
  17. Ensembles. And yes, I include the GEFS when I'm looking at guidance. It'll probably wind up about normal but right now it looks like half of the days are BN and half are AN between 3/1 and 3/10. Given that it's 6 days out though, a lot can change either way. Let's just see how it plays out.
  18. If this was April he would be calling it a drought and saying we need the rain. Having spent some time in the woods the past couple of weeks the ground is dry, not muddy.
  19. Right now the first third of the month looks normal to BN so for it to "waaay AN" week 2 and three are going to have to be extreme. Either way, the month is still almost a week out.
  20. Doesn't last long though. I wonder if we yo-yo through the month like that...
  21. Yes! And this crappy winter will be in the books and behind us. I hope next year is a better year and not a three-peat like 89, 90 & 91 were. That three year period was such crap. At least we had that period in early December down here but there's still time for something this spring.
  22. Yeah, I know what you're talking about and know those other posters. While they throw in troll posts and people react to them (myself included) there are enough sound posts to tip the balance to being valuable. It's a different story when 95% of your posts are trolling for reaction and 50%. The 50% makes it more valuable and readable.
  23. Yeah, I have no problem if someone did that and for a while I just mentally ignore his posts because they were almost all troll or bait posts designed to elicit a reaction and not for their objective value. We have plenty of people that prefer warm weather that don't troll and I would do it for someone that prefers cold weather as well. A troll is a troll...
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