CapturedNature
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Everything posted by CapturedNature
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I am who I am. When the bell tolls, I do not seek to find out for whom it tolls - it tolls for me.
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When are we getting 80s? What do you call 50s in the summer? -
When temps are 10 degrees below normal for highs, what do you call it?
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Winter 2020 New England Banter and General Obs
CapturedNature replied to CapturedNature's topic in New England
Just noticed we were still using the winter thread so I create a spring one: -
Just noticed we were still using the winter thread when it's nearly the middle of Spring!
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Virnado? Pouring here...
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If not tomorrow, that forsythia will probably bloom on Tuesday or Wednesday when the skies clear. Mine are slightly behind that but you run warmer than I do on average. 2012 bloomed on March 24th so you're running about a 7-8 days later than 2012. April 18th is the average date since 2002.
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Yeah, my 7th warmest March so far. I'm not sure how the 4 majors are ranking.
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For the majors? I believe so. Most Coops though are 7a-7a.
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Same here...
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Same here...I measured 3.8-4.0 on the snowboard before the change over.
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What's this white stuff floating around? Is that the Korona?
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Glad I don't live there. 61 here.
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56 here...will I make it to 70?
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Looks like a few hours of 2012 and then it's back to March 2020. I saw some 70s south of NYC and 80s south of DC...even an 86 at one spot. Ouch! Glad we don't live there.
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Accumulating snow...whoda thunk it? AEEK?
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My forsythia are certainly not about to pop. The cooler weather the next few days will slow that process. I commented the other day that I saw a single forsythia in full bloom but other forsythia's on the same street didn't even have buds, just like mine. I think those are different cultivars. I'm still planning on going by the same forsythia bushes that I've been using for nearly 20 years to keep things relative and they are not about to pop.
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Kevin considers full leaf out when the tips of the leaf are about 1mm out of it's bud on one tree so that could happen in March!
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Correct, by you did say 7 out of 10 have been in March and my date is well into April which prompted my question wondering if the cultivar that you have is the same one I saw in bloom yesterday. Nothing else is even close here so yeah, just wondering or making an interesting observation.
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It's interesting that your average bloom date is in March. I was driving through one street and I was shocked to see one in the valley that had flowers yesterday. The thing is that none of the others in the area did or even had bud swelling. It's either an outlier or a different cultivar from everything else in the area. My average bloom time since 2002 is 4/18 so I'm wondering if you have the same cultivar. Do other forsythias in the area bloom at the same time?
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Why would you think that they are cumulative? Let's say you have 10 days that are +10 departure. That's an average of +10. If the next 5 are 0, you now have 15 days or 100/15 which is now +6. If you have another 10 days of +10 you now have 25 days or 200/25 which is 8. Add in another 5 days at 0 and you have 30 days or 200/30 and an average temp of +6.6. So even if most of the month is +10 which as Will stated is hard to maintain, you're not averaging +10 for the month to make it warmer than 2012.
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Because it hasn't happened yet?
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I calculate something I call the Departure from Normal Index. It's basically accumulation of the daily departures but it allows you to see how anomalous a month is. The highest or lowest peaks are #1 or 2 in their respective months. You can see that March 2012 was a standout. It should be interesting to see how this month racks up when all is said and done.
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Good luck with hitting 50° at your place on Saturday. My point is that every day is not going to be a massive departure like the past couple of days. As it stands I'm currently at #7 so this month if we're counting our chickens on the 11th needs to go through a lot of cousins to reach sisterhood.
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When I look at my top 10 warmest March's, 2012 is on top of course but the next 4 aren't even 2002. 2010, 2000, 2016 and 1991 all come next. This week has had a few warm days but things look more normal by this weekend.
