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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    So of course people on Facebook are shitting on the forecasters. Whats crazy is the rain/snow line is almost to the top of New York state. Thursday deal still looks good on guidance. A general 3-6 on most guidance.
  2. Rd9108
    I won't trust any forecast until the snow is on the ground. Fool me once.
  3. Rd9108
    Yep ill take my chances with the Polar Vortex.
  4. Rd9108
    Just tried to walk down to my garbage cans and immediately slid the whole down to the top of the steps. Its pretty icy out there.
  5. Rd9108
    So looks like I'm not going anywhere later.
  6. Rd9108
    You're in a tough position. If this stays mixed and doesn't go to rain then this is gonna be a nightmare. I find it hard to believe that this doesn't turn to rain at some point. That low looks like it wants to visit Eastern Ohio, but what do I know im just a dumbass weenie.
  7. Rd9108
    Yikes hoping we dry slot in that scenario.
  8. Rd9108
    Yep Thursday needs to be watched after this clears out. Still could get a thump before we switch tonight.
  9. Rd9108
    The front is definitely east of the model guidance. Still a chance this busts high. We have seen it before.
  10. Rd9108
    Lol I'm not starting anything I know we aren't gonna get all snow but this error could be the difference between me leaving the house later and me hunkering down because of sleet/icy mix.
  11. Rd9108
    Yeah they can't have a knee jerk reaction with every model run. Just yesterday my neighbor tells me we are getting 10-12. I wasn't gonna argue but I said I wouldn't be surprised if we got a lot less. The general public is clueless when it comes to the intricacies of forecasting.
  12. Rd9108
    Looks like the NAM has the snow/sleet line wrong. Stolen from LakeEffectKing in the Upstate thread.
  13. Rd9108
    Jesus NAM looks pretty icy for the next wave. Very weird how it jumps the low west once it gets to around W PA.
  14. Rd9108
    NAM at 84 hrs good luck
  15. Rd9108
    At this point wouldn't it be better for this to cut further west to push the boundary down for the next wave? The low almost goes to Erie on the NAM.
  16. Rd9108
    Should have known as soon we see serious NW adjustments. Once it starts it usually doesn't stop. Luckily we've done well this year or this would have been a morale destroyer.
  17. Rd9108
    Sorry guys. This one is looking like a whiff
  18. Rd9108
    Don't look at the 18z euro yikes its a complete miss. Basically maybe an inch or two of snow.
  19. Rd9108
    A storm like 1950 probably would be a headache to predict and forecast.
  20. Rd9108
    Yep basically no snow even for the first overrunning. Do I believe it? No. If the 18z euro and 0z nam bump back southeast then ill feel better about the 4-6 call.
  21. Rd9108
    Granted its almost game time. If the 0z makes a similar shift then its game on.
  22. Rd9108
    NAM came east like 20 miles. Baby steps.
  23. Rd9108
    Also euro still looks like a 3-6 type thump for Thursday.
  24. Rd9108
    25-50 miles could be the difference. Let's see what happens.
  25. Rd9108
    Euro does the same thing. This might end up being our bigger snow threat than tomorrow.
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