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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. wow two runs in a row and the icon even shows a big hit. If the ensembles move west again then it's game on.
  2. For sure it moved west and that's all you need to look at I think. I'd actually be concerned if the mean was crushing us.
  3. Great chart. Shows how much we do not know. All I know is we need an earlier phase and closed off low. There could be wild swings depending on the speed of the vorts, the high, and how close they are to one another.
  4. Right now the gfs is west of its ensembles a lot of time and moving pieces.
  5. This looks very 94ish just from low placement and upper levels. How often does that track even happen though. Long way to go and I'm sure we are gonna see some wild run to run swings.
  6. Well I doubt that will happen but atleast there is potential. I just have a feeling this will be a coastal scraper.
  7. Something big is gonna pop now whether we get in on the good stuff or not is a whole different story. Atleast we are gonna have sustained cold and some positive teleconnections for a change.
  8. looks like maybe next week we finally may get under 20 for the high.
  9. What a shit show. The roads are straight ice, firetruck wrecked, bus wrecks, cars sliding. Wow.
  10. NWS does bust so maybe this busts high. The problem is its fast moving and little precip. If we get 3 I'd be happy. Although I have to drive tonight and never drove in the snow before.
  11. If it means we get a Blizzard next week I think we can sacrifice this one.
  12. I gotta drive at work tonight so I know that this will overperform.
  13. It just doesn't look like that's gonna happen. That vort just doesn't want to come north.
  14. 6z euro snow map has 3-4 for AGH so maybe you get your wish.
  15. Looks like nws is calling for 1-2. Atleast it will fall mostly during daylight hours. The good news as Wilson mentioned is the pattern seems to be changing to something more favorable.
  16. Most of us would be happy with the Rgems solution https://imgur.com/a/ZS2Z2kK
  17. I'm throwing in the towel on anything more than minor accumulations. Most likely will be 1-3.
  18. Bernie Rayno fwiw thinks the storm comes up the coast and not out to sea. There's a lot moving pieces these models are figuring out including what boundary the storm forms on.
  19. Yeah not over yet but still haven't seen any positive trends. This is fast moving and isn't amping fast enough to cut north.
  20. Nope not looking good at all. We need these trends to reverse and fast. If we don't see any correction back NW by 0z then I'm afraid that will miss again.
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