Rd9108

I don't like that we keep pushing back the good pattern every run. Eventually we need to get to the point where we can say it looks good <7 days away.

And now it's 500 miles west of the 18z. Wow these models are rough. I'm gonna say give it a few days and see what happens. Hopefully we see some sustained cold the week of Christmas.

New run new outcome.

Lmao we never learn our lesson. Not saying it will change for the better but we are almost a week out. We've seen major shifts 2 or so days out. Honestly if we sacrifice the 9th for better wintry weather around Christmas then I'd say let it happen. Of course the trends are not good but still have to monitor it.

Granted it's a sloppy mess but it's light years different from 18z

Ehh give me the cold and pattern first and then we can worry about suppression and storm tracks. We've all seem how these things change days out.

I am member on usawx forum and they post them on there. Once something pops up worth tracking i can post them.

The ensembles look 10000 times better. Honestly the EPS shows a possible historic December for the east coast. Doesn't mean we get snow but the pattern may shape up for the possibility of snow.

Pittsburgh the cut off zone yep this map looks correct even 10+ days out.

Well gfs is finally showing hints of winter weather in the coming days. Also looks like the EPS is on board with multiple waves. I think we would want to take our chance with multiple waves over trying to get a phased up bomb to track perfectly.

I will say that I wouldn't get too wound up if the costal guys are freaking out about the pattern. If the current NAO and depiction on the GFS plays out we should see enough cold air in our area for snow. I'll be curious is we start seeing good snow storms start showing up.

I don't really go to church anymore but he used to be an usher at the church I belong to. He may still go, I'd have to ask my parents.

Looks like a relaxation of the pattern and then there are signs of a return to winter in early December. Idk about anybody else but I enjoy the early winters especially around the Holidays.

I guess it's time to show my face. Solid start to the season. Looks like some more tracking next week but still a long way off.

I more can't wait for all the people on Facebook posting and freaking out about the snow falling.

Looks like its gonna be a wet weekend with possible 1-2 inches of rain. Still raining pretty decently at this point too.

Fringed

Maybe some rains from the remnants over the weekend. Be curious to see how this tracks.

So where I was up in Butler County just north of Mars we got hammered for like 30 minutes. We were standing on the 9th tee about to tee off and all of the sudden it dropped 20 degrees and the wind started gusting hard. We didn't finish the hole and waited in the cart barn until it blew over. There was a lot of lightning and our dumbasses figured that since the rain slowed down we should finish the hole. As I hit my 3rd shot 50 yards out on to the green a huge lightning bolt easily 100 yards in front of us. My butt puckered and I refused to go back out there for atleast 30 minutes.

Well reading NWS Facebook page and the weenies in the comments sound just like us. Why do storms always miss us... etc.

We have a weird bubble around us.

Ping pong sized hail reported just west of Pgh in Mercer County

This is awful. I would never root for weather like this.

enhanced getting closer with each update. It's honestly worst case middle of the night and temps about to sore. As long as I don't lose power I won't be upset.