Mean for the Euro ensembles. The signal for a storm is there for the 18th. Long way to go and it could look like a cutter to the Dakotas by the same time next week.
That total map was put out around mid event and It snowed another 2 or 3 inches into the afternoon. It wasn't a bust but I guess you could call it a disappointment since warm and dry air may have cost us another 2 or 4 inches.
Oh I understand what he is saying but a majority of the county after it was all said and done got 7 or 8 inches. That's a warning event every time. I get the frustration since the models started throwing big numbers out but dry air and mixing knocked the totals down a few inches. It's over and let's move onto the next threat.
I mean we can argue about this all day but after the storm was all said and done a general 6-9 fell across the county. They adjusted their forecast last minute to account for dry air.
Yeah I mean that's the problem with our area such little changes make huge shifts to the forecast. I think the bigger problem is how slow they are to adjust the totals. Often times we see the model runs first and we know before the public that we aren't gonna get 8-12.
Yeah that would have been hard to track nowadays seeing 3ft so close. Imagine 3 almost 2 ft storms within almost a year apart dec 1992, March 93, jan94. Insane
Ehh last year was an A. This year is still in C+ territory unless we get some more snows. December was winterless which brings it down. I'd rather have a snowy December/January/ February than a late winter.
I think he's more frustrated with the models showing the usual last minute hope at some big totals and then faded away. I can only imagine how intense tracking 2010s storm must have been for you guys.
If you look at some of the ensemble members there are some with some big snow totals on them. So yes I agree with you but there is some big totals to really back this map up.
Yea I don't think we are done yet this year. My hope is 5 or 6 more weeks of winter and then on to spring. March snow maybe not the same but when we've seen some quick hitting moderate events in March.