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Rd9108

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Everything posted by Rd9108

  1. Rd9108
    Something maybe to pay attention to if this happens to trend south. Never know this far out
  2. Rd9108
    Seems as though this is literally an exact repeat of last year. Still a chance that mid December changes if the pacific improves. Who knows maybe a Christmas miracle.
  3. Rd9108
    Yep until the Pacific starts to improve it won't matter how much blocking the NAO and AO gives us.
  4. Rd9108
    Honestly this is looking like more and more of a bust. The pacific is just not cooperating and flooding the area with warm air. Any cold air that comes in isn't even arctic in nature. Still time so who knows.
  5. Rd9108
    Well the surface depiction is obviously a miss but the 18z gfs is showing two snow storms now. So it looks like the pattern is finally developing.
  6. Rd9108
    See I'm the opposite. If it's not gonna snow might as well torch. I can atleast golf when it's in the 50s. Taking my dogs to the park is more enjoyable. If it's 30s and either rain or dry I just don't see the point.
  7. Rd9108
    H5 actually improved, gotta wait and see if it holds and if the surface responds.
  8. Rd9108
    I don't like that we keep pushing back the good pattern every run. Eventually we need to get to the point where we can say it looks good <7 days away.
  9. Rd9108
    And now it's 500 miles west of the 18z. Wow these models are rough. I'm gonna say give it a few days and see what happens. Hopefully we see some sustained cold the week of Christmas.
  10. Rd9108
    New run new outcome.
  11. Rd9108
    Lmao we never learn our lesson. Not saying it will change for the better but we are almost a week out. We've seen major shifts 2 or so days out. Honestly if we sacrifice the 9th for better wintry weather around Christmas then I'd say let it happen. Of course the trends are not good but still have to monitor it.
  12. Rd9108
    Granted it's a sloppy mess but it's light years different from 18z
  13. Rd9108
    Ehh give me the cold and pattern first and then we can worry about suppression and storm tracks. We've all seem how these things change days out.
  14. Rd9108
    I am member on usawx forum and they post them on there. Once something pops up worth tracking i can post them.
  15. Rd9108
    The ensembles look 10000 times better. Honestly the EPS shows a possible historic December for the east coast. Doesn't mean we get snow but the pattern may shape up for the possibility of snow.
  16. Rd9108
    Pittsburgh the cut off zone yep this map looks correct even 10+ days out.
  17. Rd9108
    Well gfs is finally showing hints of winter weather in the coming days. Also looks like the EPS is on board with multiple waves. I think we would want to take our chance with multiple waves over trying to get a phased up bomb to track perfectly.
  18. Rd9108
    I will say that I wouldn't get too wound up if the costal guys are freaking out about the pattern. If the current NAO and depiction on the GFS plays out we should see enough cold air in our area for snow. I'll be curious is we start seeing good snow storms start showing up.
  19. Rd9108
    I don't really go to church anymore but he used to be an usher at the church I belong to. He may still go, I'd have to ask my parents.
  20. Rd9108
    Looks like a relaxation of the pattern and then there are signs of a return to winter in early December. Idk about anybody else but I enjoy the early winters especially around the Holidays.
  21. Rd9108
    I guess it's time to show my face. Solid start to the season. Looks like some more tracking next week but still a long way off.
  22. Rd9108
    I more can't wait for all the people on Facebook posting and freaking out about the snow falling.
  23. Rd9108
    Looks like its gonna be a wet weekend with possible 1-2 inches of rain. Still raining pretty decently at this point too.
  24. Rd9108
    Fringed
  25. Rd9108
    Maybe some rains from the remnants over the weekend. Be curious to see how this tracks.
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