Rd9108
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Everything posted by Rd9108
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Hmmm idk if this is a sign of what my night is gonna be like but there's accidents all throughout the city right now. -
Sounds like our Ohio neighbors are overperforming slightly which may bode well for Western PA. Enjoy it!
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Our Ohio friends out west are reporting snow at 37 degrees so this might indicate that the cold air is winning. The reverse of the WTOD.
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Hmm everywhere out west is saying the front is faster than modeled so far. Ill be curious to see what happens. Should be a rough morning commute regardless.
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I'm guessing our final snow total will depend on how fast the front comes through? I read out west the front came in earlier than modeled. I don't know if that means anything for us downstream.
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Every model I'm seeing has us at around 1.5 inches on average. I bet we get an inch but it gets blown around. I guess we shall see.
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Looks like the NWS thinks the rain changes to snow between 4-6 AM. Unfortunately I'm working tonight so my drive in the morning might be horrendous.
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Pre-Christmas (Dec 21-23rd) Winter Storm Part 2
Rd9108 replied to Chicago Storm's topic in Lakes/Ohio Valley
The public is gonna talk shit about meteorologists no matter what. They don't understand how difficult forecasting based on their knowledge and not just looking at models really is. For instance my SIL texted me asking me if we are getting a huge storm because everybody at her work is talking about it. Meanwhile we might get an inch but driving when the front comes through is gonna be a nightmare regardless. -
Nws has us about 1-2. Hey maybe we get 3 and everybody is happy!
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This shouldnbe fun to watch roll through and hopefully it overperforms on snow and everybody is happy. If not oh well there will be plenty more.
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If we get more than an inch I promise I'll be nice to KPitt this year.
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Gfs smoking crack again Looks like the low went from west Ohio to Central PA. Idk if that's gonna happen
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Unfortunately bare ground looks highly likely. NAM and HRRR are dry Idk if I would even want to live in Buffalo with that much snow.
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I'm no expert but it would appear so.
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Very interesting how the gfs has totally changed the low pressure track from 12z-18z could be just model noise but weird. 12z 18z Maybe something to watch once the storm develops.
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Let's not get down already. Hopefully we get an inch or two. Seems like a lot of grinchy weenies in our sub forum.
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Maybe it back builds somehow lol. That's usually how we overperform.
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I'd take this and run
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Ehh going to bed now since I gotta be up at 2 but my guess is 1-2 with one more likely. Who knows once the front comes through if we get any Lake effect or a sneaky wave but the storm itself looks like it gets going too late which cuts back the backend snow. Unless this changes I don't see us getting anything more than maybe a coating-inch.
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I'd take this although probably a little over done Realistically do we want this to trend to be stronger or what's our best case here lol.
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Straddling the edge as usual
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Ehhh this kind of just looks like a glorified arctic front now. Idk if I'd expect much from this. Sounds like an inch or two is a safe bet but what a total bust overall not just for us but the Midwest.
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It won't let me post it but the real story will be the winds. Euro is showing our area with up to 60 mph gusts.
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Euro weaker and progressive too, honestly the stronger storm might of helped us but this thing is falling apart for a lot of people. Doesn't mean we can't score 1-3 still.
