caviman2201
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Everything posted by caviman2201
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Look at soundings though... lots of dry air at the BL... makes me wonder how much of that will actually hit the ground.
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I'm having flashbacks to last year when the most amazing, epic pattern was 2 weeks away... until spring came.
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The warm layer is so thin those of us E of 95 might be able to look up and watch our snowflakes melt. Might be snowing at the top of the Legg Mason building in the innner harbor and raining on the street lol. Side note, I wonder if thats ever happened somewhere with really tall buildings like NYC where the warm layer was so thin it was raining on the street but snowing on the tops of the ~1000ft+ buildings.
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There's just no way thats rain... 36F surface with a -3C 925mb? Maybe white rain, but no way thats plain rain. IF (and a big IF) these models have the temp profiles right, I think many of them are missing the mark with p-type.
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Way more worried about the north/warm trend than current temps. 00Z NAM 3K has BWI at 41 at 11p so it's right where it was expected to be. GFS has me way too close to that gradient now
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someone is digging up the Ron Paul gif after that NAM'ing... you just know it
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This is one of those events where MDOT lays down a billion tons of brine unnecessarily to avoid having to cut their budget next year.
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At least the temp drops fairly rapidly in the upper levels. Even 925mb is below freezing all the way down to extreme southern MD. 850mb is frigid.
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considering BL temps... lol be careful what you wish for
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Better across the board... the trend continues...
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Its pretty much all over central/N/NE MD, SE PA... but no it didn't improve for I-81 (didn't really get worse, either). BWI went from 0.2 to 0.4+
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Southern DE jackpot... Lock it up. They have been on an incredible hot steak
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Love that the GFS just put a 6" lolli right on PSU's house. It knows.
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My bar here is white rain up to a trashcan topper. I have yet to see a flake this year, so I'm still happy with this event unless it trends to nothing at all.
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Has anyone else noticed that the NAM has been pretty insistent on a potent little bay effect squall down at the mouth of the bay after the front passes? Will be interesting to see if that pans out.
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12Z Euro says nope.
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Ok, so... Odds of a 6"+ snow is near zero, but what are we thinking about odds of a little snow TV up to a dusting (which is all any of us should realistically be hoping for at this point)? 50/50?
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Be gone with your facts and logic
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blue sky peeking out in Glen Burnie as well...
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Euro is actually calling for quite a bit of lightning with this line... seems hard to believe we'll see a ton of lightning on 10/31, but I guess with a front this strong its possible.
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That is a serious cold front... look at the temp gradient. 70 at Andrews and 49 at College Park?
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We do this in the MIDATL... What's everyone drinking/munching on while binge watching TWC and refreshing sat shots? For me it's Paulaner Oktoberfest and peanut butter filled pretzel bites
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Unfortunately, cloud storage ain't free... but this site is.
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Man this blows... I'm supposed to take the family to Ocean City, MD next week and now i just don't know what to do... early week looks fine but after that it could be nothing, a breezy day or a hurricane sliding up the coast.
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Do the tropical threads ever get the 'storm mode' treatment we get in the MIDATL forum? If not, it needs it...
