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caviman2201

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Everything posted by caviman2201

  1. caviman2201
    Look at soundings though... lots of dry air at the BL... makes me wonder how much of that will actually hit the ground.
  2. caviman2201
    I'm having flashbacks to last year when the most amazing, epic pattern was 2 weeks away... until spring came.
  3. caviman2201
    The warm layer is so thin those of us E of 95 might be able to look up and watch our snowflakes melt. Might be snowing at the top of the Legg Mason building in the innner harbor and raining on the street lol. Side note, I wonder if thats ever happened somewhere with really tall buildings like NYC where the warm layer was so thin it was raining on the street but snowing on the tops of the ~1000ft+ buildings.
  4. caviman2201
    There's just no way thats rain... 36F surface with a -3C 925mb? Maybe white rain, but no way thats plain rain. IF (and a big IF) these models have the temp profiles right, I think many of them are missing the mark with p-type.
  5. caviman2201
    Way more worried about the north/warm trend than current temps. 00Z NAM 3K has BWI at 41 at 11p so it's right where it was expected to be. GFS has me way too close to that gradient now
  6. caviman2201
    someone is digging up the Ron Paul gif after that NAM'ing... you just know it
  7. caviman2201
    This is one of those events where MDOT lays down a billion tons of brine unnecessarily to avoid having to cut their budget next year.
  8. caviman2201
    At least the temp drops fairly rapidly in the upper levels. Even 925mb is below freezing all the way down to extreme southern MD. 850mb is frigid.
  9. caviman2201
    considering BL temps... lol be careful what you wish for
  10. caviman2201
    Better across the board... the trend continues...
  11. caviman2201
    Its pretty much all over central/N/NE MD, SE PA... but no it didn't improve for I-81 (didn't really get worse, either). BWI went from 0.2 to 0.4+
  12. caviman2201
    Southern DE jackpot... Lock it up. They have been on an incredible hot steak
  13. caviman2201
    Love that the GFS just put a 6" lolli right on PSU's house. It knows.
  14. caviman2201
    My bar here is white rain up to a trashcan topper. I have yet to see a flake this year, so I'm still happy with this event unless it trends to nothing at all.
  15. caviman2201
    Has anyone else noticed that the NAM has been pretty insistent on a potent little bay effect squall down at the mouth of the bay after the front passes? Will be interesting to see if that pans out.
  16. caviman2201
    We do this in the MIDATL... What's everyone drinking/munching on while binge watching TWC and refreshing sat shots? For me it's Paulaner Oktoberfest and peanut butter filled pretzel bites
  17. caviman2201
    Unfortunately, cloud storage ain't free... but this site is.
  18. caviman2201
    Man this blows... I'm supposed to take the family to Ocean City, MD next week and now i just don't know what to do... early week looks fine but after that it could be nothing, a breezy day or a hurricane sliding up the coast.
  19. caviman2201
    Do the tropical threads ever get the 'storm mode' treatment we get in the MIDATL forum? If not, it needs it...
  20. caviman2201
    the cell near Perry Hall looks interesting...
  21. caviman2201
    interesting look just south of Glen Burnie on LWX and BWI's TDWR velocity scan...
  22. caviman2201
    Interesting look from KI looking west across the bay at that rotating cell ... looks a bit like a wall cloud
  23. caviman2201
    https://chart.maryland.gov/video/video.php?feed=9201ff5801f700d700437a45351f0214
  24. caviman2201
    the lol was uncalled for... my bad.
  25. caviman2201
    Frederick seems to be the La Plata of the west lol Seriously though seems like I-70 from Frederick to Columbia gets quite a few tornados compared to the rest of the area
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