
North Balti Zen
Members-
Posts
11,479 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by North Balti Zen
-
@MN Transplant GFS still handling that trailing piece currently near Japan very differently from Euro, I take it?
-
Find you someone who loves you like the GFS loves running lows into Ohio.
-
12z Suite scorecard NOW FINAL...(4.5 for 8 as of 2:15 pm) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. GEFS --- not great - in line w/ GFS - area-wide 2" - 5" w/ snow hole concerns floating CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. GEPS -- juiced up compared with 0Z - supports the OP UKIE ---- a decent hit but all front end - the junk in the trunk is reserved for NE - maybe 4-6 inches plus area wide EURO ---- mid and post coital cigs for most everyone. Massive storm unfolding. Euro holds. 1 to 2 feet or more across much of the forum. Need the low to not tuck as tight to the bay as depicted here to bring the CAPE crew into the full fun and chill out osfan24. EPS --- ensembles are flush hit. East of the more tucked in OP - mean snow from just east of 95 back to Winchester from 8 - 10 inches. Great news for all. Editor's Note - It doesn't make the scorecard - but the NAVGEM was a massive hit with plenty of backside PSU in main thread says, in reality, ICON and CMC much like the Euro in evolution - just with crappier thermals - and that you would lean more to Euro for thermals this far out. If so, it is EURO/CMC/ICON vs. GFS/ UKIE heading into the 0z runs tonight. VERDICT ---- a really great set of runs overall, with GFS having its finger up its nose as it tries to look off of the Euro and CMC tests and catch up. Have to like where we sit with the 0Z runs looming tonight and hoping for a hold from the big boys and the GFS to finish getting a clue.
-
If anything, just makes me thing the upside here for the I-95 crew and east remains intact from even the good stuff on that run.
-
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
North Balti Zen replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
It was front end to dry slot. More in line with a better GFS than the others. I have a general model recap in banter thread. -
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
North Balti Zen replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Stop. Just stop. -
12z Suite scorecard...(3.5 for 7 as of 1:30 pm) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. GEFS --- not great - in line w/ GFS - area-wide 2" - 5" w/ snow hole concerns floating CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. GEPS -- juiced up compared with 0Z - supports the OP UKIE ---- a decent hit but all front end - the junk in the trunk is reserved for NE - maybe 4-6 inches plus area wide EURO ---- mid and post coital cigs for most everyone. Massive storm unfolding. Euro holds. 1 to 2 feet or more across much of the forum. Need the low to not tuck as tight to the bay as depicted here to bring the CAPE crew into the full fun and chill out osfan24. Editor's Note - It doesn't make the scorecard - but the NAVGEM was a massive hit with plenty of backside PSU in main thread says, in reality, ICON and CMC much like the Euro in evolution - just with crappier thermals - and that you would lean more to Euro for thermals this far out. If so, it is EURO/CMC/ICON vs. GFS/ UKIE heading into the 0z runs tonight.
-
Waiting on Dr. NYET now... 12z Suite scorecard...(2.5 for 6 as of 12:53 pm) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. GEFS --- not great - in line w/ GFS - area-wide 2" - 5" w/ snow hole concerns floating CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. GEPS -- juiced up compared with 0Z - supports the OP UKIE ---- a decent hit but all front end - the junk in the trunk is reserved for NE - maybe 4-6 inches plus area wide EURO ---- Editor's Note - It doesn't make the scorecard - but the NAVGEM was a massive hit with plenty of backside
-
12z Suite scorecard...(2.5 for 6 as of 12:30 pm) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. GEFS --- not great - in line w/ GFS - area-wide 2" - 5" w/ snow hole concerns floating CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. GEPS -- juiced up compared with 0Z - supports the OP UKIE ---- a decent hit but all front end - the junk in the trunk is reserved for NE - maybe 4-6 inches plus area wide EURO ---- ETA - It doesn't make the scorecard - but the NAVGEM was a massive hit with plenty of backside
-
12z Suite scorecard...(1 for 3 as of 11:30 am am) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. CMC ---a hit! area-wide 6+ inches with upwards to a foot some places but also genuine concern for our friends on the lowlands SE of 95 for mix or rain at the transfer. UKIE ---- EURO ----
-
12z Suite scorecard...(0 for 2 as of 11 am) ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- primary holds on too long aiming for Ohio which, why? I grew up in Ohio and nothing should aim for there. Miller B hell, some snow front end, but meh if you are big game hunting, okay if you want 4+ inches or so.. CMC --- UKIE ---- EURO ----
-
Gonna follow the ups and downs here. The opening bid was...NOT ICONic
-
12z Suite scorecard... ICON --- disaster (w/ bargaining over maybe its thermals are their usual trash) GFS ---- CMC === UKIE ---- EURO ----
-
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
North Balti Zen replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Even while messing the bed it stepped toward the Euro in the previous runs. I will say it continues to step. -
That's the perfect description.
-
He's like the learned Ralph. A chill ran down my spine.
-
oh. GUM
-
guessing the north folks will note that is pretty fringy... eta --- like wentz passive aggressively just did...
-
January Storm Term Threat Discussions (Day 3 - Day 7)
North Balti Zen replied to WxUSAF's topic in Mid Atlantic
Mods have covered this elsewhere. He checks in from time to time. He was not run off nor did he leave because he felt unwelcome. He may be back at some point if he decides to post again. -
I blame ralph for the GFS and Canadian. That was needless negativity from him.
-
Not you obviously . Not even Will. But when Ji gets to the point on these boards where he is affecting my mood with his shtik, he's gotta go. What's really disappointing is he knows better. A few years back he got the highest of compliments you can get around here when Wes noted that Ji has gotten to be really expert in reading and interpreting patterns, upper air maps, etc. He's one of the learned amateurs on here who could be so helpful. Instead, he just craps on everything in those threads. I don't get it anymore.
-
I've finally muted him. At some point it is way too much.
-
The Seasonal Snowfall Futility Markers
North Balti Zen replied to North Balti Zen's topic in Mid Atlantic
Current as of 1/26/21: BWI: 2.1" (Would be new 5th place if no more snow falls) DCA: 0.3" (3rd place worst if no more snow falls) IAD: 2.6" (currently tied for second worst if no more snow falls) The futility list: -
Mid-Atlantic Winter 2020-21 Snow Totals
North Balti Zen replied to George BM's topic in Mid Atlantic
12/16-17: 3.8" 1/26: .2" Season total 4.0" -
Jan 25th Wintry Mix Obs and Nowcasting
North Balti Zen replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
This feels like a BWI and points south max - fingers crossed for you all. Hoping for something to fall in Balt City enough to enjoy walking the pup in later.