North Balti Zen

Thanks for this, Roger. Nice to hear there may be some hope that RGEM/CMC are not completely bonkers...

33/13. snow over-spreading area by 8 am up this way? Later?

So we are roughly 12-14 hours from onset. That's pretty boss.

I see no reason to obsess over the GFS when the RGEM has been a rock. The council has met - unanimously approved that the RGEM is right and the other guidance that isn't showing a BECS is ****ing wrong.

From 41 to 35. I will allow it.

Right. It will literally never be like that again. Was mostly asking to see how much it would walk it back in terms of set-up. Guess we will know soon.

I will always have 1/30/21 at 10:15 am.

Does RGEM run in the off hours too?

Held. 14+ up your way.

Remaining model disco and mesos go in here too right, up to game time? 36 with a dew point of 9 in my part of Balt City.

Too sunny today. Storm cancel.

Gonna need you to take one for the team and head to c’ville lol...

Let’s GOOOOOOOOOO

The council has convened: the RGEM would be acceptable

I don’t like the new NAM setting of “depress everyone at the start of a suite”

That guy has been trolling for days.

They are.

Some of the sat pics from the Dec 2009 storm showed the moisture flow back to Hawaii I think. That one was a QPF monster compared to the Feb ones, I think. Hope the CMC is right on QPF and temps, would benefit most of our forum.

Strong system pumping good QPF and an early stout transfer would be ideal, tucked into the coast. I don't know that it is ALWAYS related, but in this particular set-up, weaker system with less qpf on the front end is resulting in a sloppier later transfer and late CCB. See, the NAMs. But they are mostly on their own on that right now. Just take the CMC somewhere private and be happy for an hour before something else causes worry. I think we can be safe in expecting warning level snow Sunday and Monday. Let's start there for Balt City...

Your wedding weekend dealie was that wet, right? I recall Dec. 2009 storm being more QPF than the Feb. ones. We need to herd some of the Balt worriers out of the disco thread by the way...

It can. And probably you should take this to banter. A weaker front end and a sloppy late transfer is a thing. Then the storm blows up north of our latitude. Cross your fingers, other than the NAM twins, nothing else really showing that.

Not sure why anyone on the board from BWI north isn't smoking a cig and staring dreamily at that. Weird to see complaining/worry from anyone Route 32 and north after a run like that. That's close to max potential for us. Beyond, even. Not gonna happen, obviously, but fun to see a crazy run from one of the models this close in.

WAA too weak and not as robust on early totals and coastal develops too late so no backside. His worry is the fail worry for any of us in a MillerB. Magnified where he is because backside in a Miller B is harder to catch out that way.

You are new, and welcome to the board, but storm mode is really not supposed to be for IMBY questions. Hit banter for that. We in Baltimore always have plenty to worry about, but that CMC run was not one of them. Who cares if southern NJ jacks if we have 15-20. Let's be real.

the CMC is acceptable.