The March 20/21 of 2018? .5 ice from first part and my notes say I slid in at 5" for the second part, which I had totally forgotten about. Course, I hate March snow after the 15th, so that's probably why I memory-holed it.
So looking for the first verified warning level snow in Balt City prior to March 20 since January of 2016 would be more accurate.
It is what it is. We missed the surprise storm in January 2018 up this way for the most part - the foot totals west of DC out to Leesburg were four inches up here as the snow hit a wall at 695 and did not really punch in. I have been hoping/expecting that this would break the no warning level snows drought for Balt City that stretches to January 2016. Having to calibrate to "it really might not do that" is a blow.
I mean, sure? If we get it. Need 5" in Balt City to verify. We have not had that here since January 2016. And MN Transplant just laid down a 2-4 scenario with maybe 1-2 on the backside. That's no sure thing for verified warning criteria. And up this way, the chance of the WAA under-performing is higher than DC and southwest.
Somewhere in the last 12 hours, it was noted that WPC is basically not using it at all -and I forget why -but it was for a particular reason. Hope they are right about that.
@stormtracker wrote
Yeah. This. It feels like this is a powderkeg about to be lit for a good chunk of the area, and that the models are about to start spitting out some crazy solutions now that we are close in. Not saying that's what we will get, but that it is about to show some crazy stuff. Full agreement.