CLE highlights the negatives for the snow this weekend. Early season LES seems to always deliver with such dramatic lake/air temp differentials. Pretty good set-up though for those of us in the southern portion of the snowbelt.
Looking for below freezing temperatures into Sunday Night with H850 temperatures at or below -8C. With the lake still warm (lower
50s) this is a supporting lapse rate for lake enhancement. There are some conditions that don`t favor organizing banding such as
the strong wind speed and shear, short residence time across the lake (1-2hrs), and no notable Huron influence from the fetch.
Despite these limiting factors...the duration of the event along with the continued development will likely produce the seasons
first measurable snowfall in the lake effect region. The strong nw winds will help drive the measurable snowfall further inland
than standard lake effect events. With winds gusting upwards of 40 mph near the lakeshore expect blowing snow conditions. Outside
of the snowbelt the snowfall is not expected to accumulate.