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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. Definitely the jackpot area. The snow has been coming down here in bursts... It adds up quickly though. Good news on the euro.
  2. Had a few good bursts of snow. Huge flakes. The band over the lake looks great. Looks like the rich will get richer as it is headed for the same area as earlier today. Maybe a few scraps for us down this way later on.
  3. Just noticed that CLE had this in the AFD update... At this point, starting to question if the band will reorient itself over downtown Cleveland and points south/west anytime before 00Z. Hi-res guidance more support for snow further southwest as winds back more westerly and upstream Lake Michigan connection coming into play. This could place a dominant band onshore in western Cuyahoga but impacts would mainly be from 00Z to 09Z. Will continue to monitor and update as needed. The meso models agree but have been too far south with the snow.
  4. I just looked at bufkit and it does show winds coming around later tonight... but then again it showed that yesterday as well. The band is currently oriented on a 290 flow over the lake. Snow is starting to form out west over the lake so that's a positive sign. This event is a good reminder that troughs have a tough time pushing this far south.
  5. It is strange... winds are WNW pretty much everywhere but where we need them to be. Thanks for heads-up on what the Euro is showing... what looked to be the start of a very snowy period is fading pretty quickly. Hopefully we will see good model trends but a low going NW of us never bodes well for heavy snow.
  6. Pretty amazing that the band still hasn't budged south. I believe every model had winds coming around WNW. You have to wonder if the trough will ever make it through... by the time it does, the window will be short before ridging pushes in and winds back from the SW. Definitely a high impact event for those under the narrow band. But given the parameters I would have thought the snow would be more widespread. Looking ahead to Sunday/Monday... does the euro flip to rain around here? GFS and NAM are warm solutions.
  7. I didn't go that far north. Went up to Wilson Mills on 306. If Rt 6 was the cut off there was a definitely a sharp gradient.
  8. The trough still hasn't come through? Wow... thought it would do so overnight. Considering the air/water temp differential you would think snow should developing in the western basin. That current band must be locked in on an upstream connection. Took a drive North this morning... didn't see anything significant snowfall wise.
  9. The radar is looking pretty ragged at this point. Really surprised there isn't better banding and more activity over the lake. Great wind direction but poor band placement for mby... Less than an inch so far.
  10. Nice to see the snow flying again. The trough is making good progress south. You can clearly see the lake connections on regional radar.The HRRR solution is an outlier... But the fetch is more NW than I thought it would be. Who knows, maybe it is on to something.
  11. Tough call for Lorain. The very northern section may get in on the action if a connection can be established from lake michigan.
  12. You can see the snow starting to take shape over the western basin as the winds start to come around... should see the snowpush onshore in NE OH in a few hours. Radar looks great over the lake.
  13. Congrats on finishing school! Nice forecast. Hoping for a slight shift south.
  14. Are you done with school? If so, can you go back to get your masters so you have more time to provide us with forecasts . Joking of course. This event has some red flags for those of us on the southern edge.
  15. Pretty big changes to CLE's snowfall map. They expanded snowfall amount south/west, and increased amounts across the board.
  16. Seems like a reasonable map. Although winds coming around WNW'erly (280-290) for good amount of time there should be a decent Lake MI connection... you would think there would be higher snowfall amounts further west. Lake effect is a crap shoot so who knows... but hopefully we can exceed 6-8" around here.
  17. There used to be a reliable spotter in Pepper Pike as well. The 91 corridor between Mayfield Rd. and Chagrin Blvd. usually does very well with snow.
  18. BUF issued LES Warnings already... 2-3 ft. in the most persistent bands. Gotta love WNY... long fetch and a lot elevation. I'd be happy with half of that around here.
  19. C'mon... your killing me! But yeah, we will be riding a fine line as usual. Last year was pretty painful for LES as the heaviest snows were just a few miles north of us. DTA and I are about 3 miles North of 422. 290 is about the ideal direction for this area... anything less and congrats 322.
  20. BUF issued watches already for 1 - 2 feet. I'm sure CLE will issue watches later today or tomorrow. Should be a decent event... we'll probably be on the south side of the heaviest snows but winds turn enough for us to get in the good stuff for awhile.
  21. Looks like the models have the abandoned the big cutter idea thankfully. Otherwise OH Weather's nightmare scenario would probably happen. Let's just get the wind around from 280 or more and we'll be in business. Nice look on the models right now... hopefully it holds.
  22. It has been a crazy warm year. I was near the lake earlier in the week and there were still some leaves on the trees. Pattern finally cools off next week... but it would seem extremely hard for this not to be the warmest on record at CLE.
  23. Right around 2" imby. Looks and feels like Winter out there. Was hoping for more but its a start. The high winds and cold temps have no doubt cooled the western basin. Let's leave some in the tank for the next LES opportunity.
  24. Had a nice coating earlier. Doesn't look like the snow will have much trouble sticking on the grass. The radar is lighting up over the lake. It will be fun to see what happens when that pushes onshore later today.
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