NEOH
-
Posts
3,275 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by NEOH
-
Picked up just a half inch of slop last night. Temps just weren't cold enough. Hopefully the LES delivers tonight/tomorrow.
-
Pretty good set-up indeed. It has the potential to be our largest LES event at least locally in the Chagrin/South Russell area (we were skirted by the others). Relatively short duration but the parameters look good.
-
I couldn't believe how warm it was last night when I went outside. Max temp IMBY was 63. Bare ground a few piles left here. The good news is that any ice on the western basin took a beating as well. We've been in a synoptic snow wasteland for quite some time... hopefully our luck changes with the pattern.
-
It wasn't the most scenic but we had a white Christmas. Hope everyone had a good one. Drove north through Chardon up to Concord last night... lots of snow up that way. Route 6 and Auburn seemed to have the most.
-
CLE is sitting at -4.6 for the month. Pretty large negative departure considering how warm it has been this year. It has been a good December compared to previous years.
-
Down to 33 Imby with light rain. Looks like mix line is just to the southwest. Hopefully we can hang to snow cover. Highest temp today was 36.
-
35/35 Imby. Looked like under an inch of snow last night... But there was a glaze on top. What an awful "storm".
-
Hard to believe the cold air will be scoured out by tomorrow given how cold it is... but we never seem to have a problem warming around here. What a mess it is going to be the next 24 hours or so. 3-5" followed by a mix then rain.
-
The strange thing is that the models all showed slow/little movement with the band, but that didn't happen. Latest model runs have pushed the snowfall further north tonight. Might be game over for us down this way. This was nice high impact event... but much less snowfall than expected due to the bands fast movement.
-
The sun is poking through already. I should probably stop looking at the models but they do show a shift to the NE then the bands settle back south for a good period of time. How far is the question but the movement is starting to stabilize so you never know. This was definitely a unique event. I think the NAM 3km is the winner in terms of accuracy. Although snowfall amounts will be lower than expected given the shifting bands. The big winners were those that were supposed to receive the least amount of snow.
-
Its moving pretty fast to the NE now. Snowing hard in Chagrin Falls. Looking at the visible satellite you can see the bands over the lake pushing to the NE from the SW. Ridging coming in this soon? This band may head all the way up the lakeshore if it continues on this pace.
-
The band has really weakened with little activity anywhere else. Wonder what will happen this afternoon. The dry air is probably doing its dirty work at this point. The models (nam 3km and HRRR) are bullish on more precip but I'm starting to doubt the amounts.
-
Wow... more in Solon that we got. That's surprising. Here's a radar link -http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=CLE-N0Q-0-6
-
Congrats all. Nice spread the wealth. Measured 5" so far. The meso models are showing a decent amount of precip to come... the nam handled this event pretty well so far although all were too far north with the band placement. We'll see what today brings. If the nam and wrf models are correct we are looking at .30 to .75. Even with the strong winds the highest totals have fallen close to the lake.
-
Wow that band is just awesome. I can barely see across the street. Can't ask for a better fetch across the lake. It looks pretty much stationary for now.
-
Winds have really picked up the past hour. It will be interesting too how far the bands push inland.
-
18z run of the NAM was pretty good. 3km has a nice 1" bullseye through the southeast part of Cuyahoga and southern Geauga. The 4km is a litte more stingy on precip with .50", and a little further north as well.
-
Nice forecast as usual. Your map isn't too far from CLE's latest... it will an interesting event to follow. The models show anywhere from .40 to .75 of precip in this area so with the high ratio's those amounts wouldn't be hard to reach... Provided the band doesn't set-up North of here again.
-
Surprised CLE hasn't upgraded the watches at this point. The mesoscale models continue to show a high impact event from the near west side through central/southern geauga county. Wonder if any ice was able to form last night on the western basin with temps in the single digits.
-
Noticeable shift south with precip on the 18z run. Reminderville jackpot . If there is a SW bias its good to be on the north side. Check out Lake Huron... those areas would be buried.
-
No doubt. After being skirted to the north last year and this year we could use a good one. The NAM performed pretty well with last weeks event so hopefully it has the same success. We even have a little buffer should there be a SW bias to the precip placement.
-
Here's total precip...
-
I know nothing about the NAM3km Para on Tropical tidbits but wow what a recent run. Here's the snowfall and precip... right around 2". Nice lake michigan connection.
-
I'm no expert... but I think the fetch and convergence. Our biggest events seem to be when a single band forms on a WSW flow then pushes inland as winds veer. Upstream connections will probably dictate where the band sets-up.
-
That's good news. What do use for looking at wind direction? I use the bufkit datawarehouse output. The 12z NAM shows a consistent 280-290 flow from 04 12/15 through 02 12/16. That wind direction is a pretty good signal for a single band. Also, now that the lake water has cooled off (especially out west), I wonder if the higher wind speeds will offset the land breeze component.
