NEOH

I will be traveling this coming Saturday through next Thursday so I'll miss most of the snow. Outside of the mud... I've enjoyed this mild stretch. It will be nice to see the snow again but if we are counting on LES I'd feel a lot better being around the Rt 6 corridor the way this season has played out.

Check out today's 12z GFS. That would be a perfect storm position for heavy synoptic snow in most of Ohio... but there is no cold air to be found.

CLE sums things up pretty well... Given that it is mid January, it is remarkable that the air mass is so warm that there is not much risk of snow. Some wet snow or a few sleet pellets may mix in Monday night into Tuesday, probably mostly in the hills of northeast OH and northwest PA.

Nothing like a 60 degree mid-January day! Looks like the pattern will change at the end of the month, and possibly offer storm potential.

I'll bet the under on getting to average around here... and at CLE as well. The lake should be ice free next week, but the water temps will be hovering around freezing. If we are going to get a significant LES event it would have to happen with the next cold shot as any sustained cold will form ice quickly again. When you take LES out of the equation and consider the lack of synoptic snow we receive it would take a special pattern to get to normal.

What an awful pattern for mid-January. Woke up to thunder and heavy rain around 5am this morning with temps in the mid 50's. We will need a few significant events to get anywhere close to normal out this way. As long as there is open water on the lake we'll have a chance. Temps are in the 30's near the western basin, and that area hasn't had as much rain so this warm-up probably didn't melt all of the ice out that way. Areas such and Euclid and Willoughby have probably exceeded their annual average snowfall already. Its pretty rare for those locations to see more snowfall than this area.

It was nice to pick up a little more snow before the warm up. We'll be looking at much different landscape tomorrow. If anything the warmer temps, wind and rain should do a number on the ice that formed on the lake. We'll have open water when the next cold shot arrives around the end of the month (possibly).

It will be interesting to see what happens tonight. The flow finally is favorable for those of us south of 322 but there is a lot of ice on the lake... Although it is probably just slushy. Really bad timing on the ice formation. I wonder if a band will set up just east of the ice which looks be from Lorain on west.

Isn't that amazing... the flow will finally become favorable but we will lack the wind strength to push the band inland. High res models are showing a good amount of snow near the lakeshore. Took a peak at the visible satellite and there is a lot of ice out west. I'd imagine with temps near 0 tonight the western basin will be closed off. For laughs... take a look at the long range GFS. The overrunning event it depicts for next weekend would be crazy.

Lake county should get hit hard tonight. The winds are so light there should be nice convergence near the lake shore.

We average around 90"-100" in this area... which doesn't seem feasible at this point. But who knows, maybe February and March will be rockin.

Forgot that this is your first winter back up "north". If this pattern keeps up you may have to wait for a 50" winter We'll get our synoptic system one of these days... its just a matter of time.

About an inch of fluff has come down... just had a nice burst of snow. Huge flakes under the heavier returns on radar.

Looks like another solid LES event for those from Rt.6 on northeast. NAM and WRF both have a lot of precip falling in that area. The slight shift north with the precip takes us out of the game completely around here... although we were never really in it. The consolation prize is that the bare ground will freeze so I won't have to deal with a muddy yard until the next warm up.

Surprised no advisories for Lake or Ashtabula. Radar looks great up there. Water levels have to be extremely low out west... Pretty much a perfect fetch for draining the shallow waters. The nam shows a decent amount of precip up near the lake/Geauga border.

Looks like the LES event this week will favor the areas that do best with a westerly (260-270) flow once again. Congrats to the usual suspects. At least locally, this has been a bummer start to the winter. While we had some snowcover in December for a change, we've missed out on the significant LES events in this area. The western basin should develop ice again fairly quickly.

Around 2" here. Ridging is pushing in from the west so that should do it... Outside of a few more snow showers. On to the next.

Had thunder snow a little after 8pm. The heavy band is just south of here...unreal how the heaviest bands miss this area the past two years. Ohweather has been underneath it for awhile. Thundersnow has such a unique sound.... A very low and long rumble to it.

Radar looks great out to the west. Moisture is the one thing we seem to lack during les events.... Nice to see that isn't the case this time. Just need everything else to come together.

Picked up just a half inch of slop last night. Temps just weren't cold enough. Hopefully the LES delivers tonight/tomorrow.

Pretty good set-up indeed. It has the potential to be our largest LES event at least locally in the Chagrin/South Russell area (we were skirted by the others). Relatively short duration but the parameters look good.

I couldn't believe how warm it was last night when I went outside. Max temp IMBY was 63. Bare ground a few piles left here. The good news is that any ice on the western basin took a beating as well. We've been in a synoptic snow wasteland for quite some time... hopefully our luck changes with the pattern.

It wasn't the most scenic but we had a white Christmas. Hope everyone had a good one. Drove north through Chardon up to Concord last night... lots of snow up that way. Route 6 and Auburn seemed to have the most.

CLE is sitting at -4.6 for the month. Pretty large negative departure considering how warm it has been this year. It has been a good December compared to previous years.

Down to 33 Imby with light rain. Looks like mix line is just to the southwest. Hopefully we can hang to snow cover. Highest temp today was 36.