NEOH
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Everything posted by NEOH
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That's amazing. Wish the radar was better in that area. Looks like the rich will get richer. We are dealing with heavy clouds in Geauga County... That's about it. Might be able to squeeze out of couple of inches tonight/tomorrow if we are lucky enough. It just doesn't seem possible to get a wnw wind direction.
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It will be interesting to see what happens later tonight. 290 would be an ideal flow... But with weak winds I think the band will have a hard time pushing this far inland. Who knows... Maybe we'll see an inch or two as the band decays and pushes off to the southwest with the turning winds. Ice has rapidly formed on the western basin so that fetch will be lost by tomorrow. Don't mean to sound so pessimistic but what a waste the cold has turned out to be locally.
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Nice band over the lake. The second secondary band that formed seems to be taking over. If only it would make it this far south. Thinking it may be a shutout for areas south of 322.
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1.7 round one, and 1.6 overnight.
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Thanks. Ouch! Painfully close. If those verify I can drive a couple miles north to see a foot of snow.
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Merry Christmas. Yeah, hopefully the band can shift south at some point. It won't take more than a cold and calm night to freeze the western basin. The wrf doesn't seem to be updating. Yesterday runs brought the band very close.
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Not overly optimistic about snowfall. Just about all of the guidance has the heaviest snow north over the lake. And, the lake effect behind the system looks to set up well northeast given the wind direction. We just can't get a decent wnw wind direction. Hope I'm wrong but 2-3" is my call at least locally.
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12z euro was a nice run... shows 4-5 inches of snow by/on Christmas. Not a bad look afterward as well.
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Could be an interesting Christmas eve/day. 12z guidance looking good for a white christmas.
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Interesting model trends for the Christmas eve storm. 12z NAM has a 999 low on the MD, PA, WV border... typically a good position for Northern OH. Just need the cold air to come in a little sooner. Yeah, its the NAM and just one model scenario... but we'll see what the others show later on.
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Nothing but patches and piles left this morning. I wouldn't rule out a synoptic system on Christmas day. LES seems destined for WNY again... but a long way out at this point so lots can change. Trent hasn't posted in a long time. Wonder if he moved away from the area.
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The snow should be gone in another day or two. Awful timing. Hopefully we'll see some positive trends in the models soon.
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Now that is just over a week since the cold set in here are the updated lake temps. Ice has formed near the shoreline around the western basin.
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The 12z WRF paints a snowy picture for lake, northern geauga and ashtabula. Once again the heaviest snows will be northeast of here, but they do show a little snow down this way.
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It will be interesting to see how far south the band comes. The wrf-arw is the southern most at this point.
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My total includes an inch with the first wave yesterday afternoon, and I measured another 4.6" this morning.
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5.6" total from the clipper. The radar looked good when I went to bed... wonder if the heaviest snow fell south of here.
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CLE upgraded the Northeastern counties to a WSW. Looks like the back edge is about to push through. A nice moderate snow with the first batch. We'll see what happens tonight.
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Yep, out with the LES and in with the synoptic. Snowing lightly in Chagrin under the weak returns. Must be mod to heavy under the better returns.
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We are overdue for a decent synoptic event... but knock on every piece of wood you can find. Just hope the low stays a little stronger before it starts to fizzle out.
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What are you thinking with the clipper, 4-6?
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The band really consolidated as its pushing off to the northeast with the backing winds. Picked up a quick inch in a short amount of time. Still coming down hard. It will be nice to get some synoptic snow tonight for a change. Relying on LES for snowfall is always tricky.
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Yeah. Not feeling good about anything significant at this point as time is running out. The limited fetch can't make up for the dry air and strong winds.
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The snow has shut off here in the Chagrin area. Looks like bands are trying to form on upstream connections. We'll see what the afternoon brings. It's awfully windy out there... lots of blowing snow.
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Right around 3" so far. Nice start.
