BUF sums up the model trends pretty well... although a WNW wind is better for us than WNY.
Over the past 24 hours model guidance has become decidedly less impressive on the lake effect setup,
with boundary layer flow more WNW, lesssynoptic scale moisture, and a faster ending on Monday. If these
model trends continue, the potential for significant lake effect snow may be off the table. That said,
there is plenty of time for model guidance to trend back in the other direction on these subtle
details with this event still 4 days away.