NEOH
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Everything posted by NEOH
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The 12z Euro throws Northeast Ohio a bone for the weekend. It's an ideal storm track for snow around here... cold air is the big question.
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Agreed. Looks like our snow cover stretch will come to an end today. We didn't have much but it lasted a long time. Yeah, so much for the epic storm. Hopefully we'll get our shot sometime later this Winter.
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Temp dropped to 8 IMBY Sunday morning. Was nice to finally see some sun yesterday though. These cold overnight temps are brutal on the lake water temps. If its going to be boring I wouldn't mind some milder weather to go with it.
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Measured about the same here. Still snowing lightly. We've just not been able to get decent set-up when we've had a NW wind direction. Temps are more than cold enough but moisture and shear have been the issue.
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Yeah... it will be fun to revisit this. The 06z gfs has the Thanksgiving 1950 storm look to it. If only!
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One of the better fantasy storms I've seen on the 12z run of the euro yesterday. 06z GFS now has a similar set-up for in the 12/15 time frame.
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It sure felt that way. What a dreary month. Looking good for 3-4" this afternoon/tonight. Hopefully the waa snows can develop a little further to the northwest and push through. Models have it developing overhead and moving southeast.
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I noticed the high-res models seem to be a little juiced lately. 12z nam scaled back quite a bit from 6z. We'll see what the WRF's show a little later.
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Kind of weird to see the snow falling after yesterday's warmth. I have to admit 60 felt nice. But now snowing pretty good in Chagrin. Looks like a couple of inches possible tonight.
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Bummer the LES never strengthened last night. Not often we get a perfect fetch of 290 for such a prolonged period. Had other parameters been better it could have been really good. Oh well... I guess its a good reminder that not every events pans out. Hopefully we'll have a few more shots while the lake is relatively warm.
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CLE mentioned that the trough has become diffuse. Looks like wherever the heaviest/convergence band sets up it will stay there awhile since the flow doesn’t shift much. Hoping that isn’t too far to the east.
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Things look on track for tonight. Good to see bands already over the lake... even with really low inversion. The colder temps and additional moisture should increase the strength later this evening.
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Measured 3.5" this morning. What a wet and heavy snow... looks great out there. Too bad the ground is so wet underneath. Hopefully the LES delivers later today. Nice to see the radar starting to blossom over the lake.
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Snowing pretty hard here... heavier stuff finally pushing through. Roads are covered surprisingly.
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Yeah, with marginal temps the soaked ground will hurt accumulations without heavy rates. It will be interesting to see how things progress tonight. Seemed like the afternoon models have kept the vort max/additional moisture further to the Northeast for tomorrow night. Hoping that's not a trend. WNY will do very well.
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Oh, we still get tortured in the snowbelt... just from a closer range. Areas just north of here can get 2+ feet while we get a couple of inches.
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I'm trying to curb my enthusiasm but everything seems to be coming together for a significant LES event. Hopefully the vort max OHWeather mentioned is a little further west than modeled.
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Models trends have been pretty good. Looks like winds will come around from a wnw direction... good news for those south of 322. Still might be a close call but looks better than yesterday.
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Not sure. It looks like the elongated low to the northeast will keep the winds due westerly. Models have been trending more favorably though. Just want to avoid a scenario where a trough sits to the north and we wait until it moves south turning winds to NW... right as high pressure build in. We’ve seen that happen more often than not.
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Exactly. That’s a lot of cold with not much to show for it besides a cold lake. Our les window is short in this area since we rely on the western basin for fetch. Not a great scenario.
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A pretty decent batch of snow is moving in off the lake. Might be a bit of an over performer if that sits around for a while.
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It was snowing pretty hard late yesterday afternoon... huge flakes. With temps hovering near freezing it didn't accumulate that well. This cold stretch hasn't produced much snow (at least locally) unfortunately. Would have rather stayed mild to keep some warmth in the lake for later in the season.
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I'd imagine we'll flip back to snow in an hour or two. Just looked outside and the ice is accumulating on the elevated surfaces. Temp is back down to 32/30.
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Just raining in Chagrin at 33/30. Definitely slick out there. The WTOD will never be denied around here.
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The models do look good. Maybe they are not handling the mix precip well.
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