NEOH

Snowing pretty hard here... heavier stuff finally pushing through. Roads are covered surprisingly.

Yeah, with marginal temps the soaked ground will hurt accumulations without heavy rates. It will be interesting to see how things progress tonight. Seemed like the afternoon models have kept the vort max/additional moisture further to the Northeast for tomorrow night. Hoping that's not a trend. WNY will do very well.

Oh, we still get tortured in the snowbelt... just from a closer range. Areas just north of here can get 2+ feet while we get a couple of inches.

I'm trying to curb my enthusiasm but everything seems to be coming together for a significant LES event. Hopefully the vort max OHWeather mentioned is a little further west than modeled.

Models trends have been pretty good. Looks like winds will come around from a wnw direction... good news for those south of 322. Still might be a close call but looks better than yesterday.

Not sure. It looks like the elongated low to the northeast will keep the winds due westerly. Models have been trending more favorably though. Just want to avoid a scenario where a trough sits to the north and we wait until it moves south turning winds to NW... right as high pressure build in. We’ve seen that happen more often than not.

Exactly. That’s a lot of cold with not much to show for it besides a cold lake. Our les window is short in this area since we rely on the western basin for fetch. Not a great scenario.

A pretty decent batch of snow is moving in off the lake. Might be a bit of an over performer if that sits around for a while.

It was snowing pretty hard late yesterday afternoon... huge flakes. With temps hovering near freezing it didn't accumulate that well. This cold stretch hasn't produced much snow (at least locally) unfortunately. Would have rather stayed mild to keep some warmth in the lake for later in the season.

I'd imagine we'll flip back to snow in an hour or two. Just looked outside and the ice is accumulating on the elevated surfaces. Temp is back down to 32/30.

Just raining in Chagrin at 33/30. Definitely slick out there. The WTOD will never be denied around here.

The models do look good. Maybe they are not handling the mix precip well.

Precip has started as a mix. Mostly ice pellets at this point. Wonder if we can flip to snow as the column cools or if it will remain a mix throughout. Already a light glaze out there so it could get ugly with the heavier precip moving in. 28/20 imby.

CLE seems sold on freezing rain/mixing. But just about every model has several inches or more on the east side of CLE. WAA seems to always ways to win around here but it’s hard to disregard models. Currently 26/20 imby.

Not sure what to expect. Temps look marginal... Maybe a slushy inch or so.

Surprised there wasn't a flare up of lake effect last night given the cold air mass and favorable wind direction. Not often you see that type of lake/air temp differential with nothing to show for it. Water temps are tanking in the western basin with 38 degrees showing up around Toledo. Still 54 on the eastern end of the lake.

Looks like the trough has stalled in the middle of the lake. With high pressure quickly building in its going to be tough for the band to move any further south than ashtabula county.

Light snow falling. Doesn't look like the bands will make it this far south. It was cold this morning with a low of 21. The bands over the lake don't to healthy at the moment.

Thanks for the dropping in with a forecast. I'm going to miss these this winter. For us on the southern fringes here's hoping the bands can shift a little further inland. Usually with a "weak" flow the winds have a hard time coming around to more of NW'erly direction. Winds will be rather strong so perhaps that might help. WRF's aren't too bad for 422 on north.

Yeah, definitely a surprise. I was up early and it was snowing hard. Given how warm the ground and pavement are I'm surprised it stuck so well. There's still snow in my parking lot but it has flipped to rain now.

Looks like winter out there this morning. It started snowing heavily around 6am. Grass, trees are covered... some streets have snow on them as well.

There's a consistent signal on about every model for accumulating snowfall this the weekend. It will interesting to see how things play out as the snowfall window looks fairly brief... but at the very least flakes will be flying. The gfs continues with the eastern track for the storm early next week. A blend of the gfs and euro would be ideal for our area.

Definitely not the best of weekends for fishing. Hopefully the river won't be too cloudy from the recent rains.

Thanks for dropping in. The cold shot does look transient over the weekend. Next week is still looking great... obviously lots of details still to be worked out.

Models continue to look good for the coming weekend. CLE's jumping on board the LES train... The region could see some wet snow mix with the rain as it begins Friday morning but any accumulation looks minimal to none. This storm system will shift quickly to the East Coast as a clipper system dives into the Great Lakes. This clipper crosses the region early on Saturday and will help to enhance any lake effect that has developed. Much colder air will arrive in the wake of the clipper with a change over to all snow for the snowbelt by early Saturday morning. We may see the first significant accumulations of the season. Another clipper type storm system may cross the lakes on Sunday. So stay tuned as we update the forecast through the week.