I had a low of 1 early this morning... Hard to believe it will be raining later today with this airmass in place. Warm air never seems to have a problem moving into Ohio however. Looks like winds stay southwesterly behind the arctic front. Would have been nice to get a LES event before the lake completely freezes over. WNY is the place to be.
.NEAR TERM /THROUGH TUESDAY/...
Update to the update... Fixed forecast for tonight with the timing with the cold front. Slowed timing of the falling temperatures, as
temperatures won`tstart crashing until after sunset. As a result, there will be a longer period of time with potential mixed
precipitation/rain and have reduced snow totals for parts of the forecast area as it will be too warm for snow.
CLE's long range was quite ugly as well. If the pattern change lasts a "couple of weeks" I'll be more than ready to move on to Spring.
A look at the global northern hemispheric circulation is beginning to show signs that the Arctic air from the North Pole will begin to
flow back toward Russia once again in a similar fashion as what occurred through December. This will aid in ejecting the cold air
mass expected Tuesday and Wednesday east of the area fairly quickly. This upper level pattern change will support the possibility of
stronger ridges building into North America as we head into the weekend. The North Atlantic and Arctic oscillations are indicating a
change to a strong positive phase over the next couple weeks and perhaps a warming trend.