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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. I wouldn't get too caught up in any one model run at this point. I'll give it until Friday before taking anything seriously.
  2. How dare you . People will be cooling drinks on Memorial day with the lake ice. Heck, I'm almost ready to sacrifice the snow for some warmth. Must be getting old. Nice steady light snow falling. Flake size has improved as well.
  3. I just can't see this storm cutting north of this area... Could be very wrong of course. The frozen lake will definitely help. At this point I wouldn't count on any lake enhacement given the ice cover. Not often we get a perfect track but we've done better than usual this winter in terms of synoptic snows. Even if the low tracks to YNG we'd get a nice thump.
  4. Seasonal snowfall is at 90.1". Looks like we are almost identical. Haven't been out to measure depth but I'd assume we are close. Yep, some light snows this week with bigger potential over the weekend. I'm almost ready to waive the white flag and say let's get a big one, then move on to a warm/dry March.
  5. I'd trade record low temps for snowfall amounts any day. This cold is ridiculous.
  6. -13 IMBY last night. That two nights in a row in the double digits below zero.
  7. Enjoy the snow. Good times driving in the hills of Athens.
  8. Made it down to -18 last night imby. Brutal stuff.
  9. CLE's total is absurd. You would have to think they will revise their total. Right around 7"' here. That band on the southwest side has been parked for a long time. Probably approaching double digits there. ice cover is hurting the east side right now.... Not sure the Huron band will connect to Erie.
  10. Since the winds kicked up its hard to measure.... I'll estimate 6-7" so far. Snow has stopped. The Lake Huron connection hasn't come together so we'll see what happens tonight. Not expecting much more but once winds line up from the NNw I'd imagine a decent band will take shape. Not sure how far west it will push. Great storm so far... Brutal outside.
  11. Yeah... Quickly flipped to parachutes. This will pile up quickly.
  12. Picked up 2" last night. Radar looking good. Snow keeps changing from fine flakes to larger ones. Nice disco ohweather. Considering we have a couple inches down already your map looks great. Looking forward to the whiteout as the front passes.
  13. Just saw that Buf has warnings for 6-12". Wasn't even expecting snow amounts so high, and so close to our area. Precip amounts don't vary that much between wny and northeast Ohio. Clearly not much collaboration between offices. We'll see what happens but if Buf is optimistic I can only think that CLe will be wrong in not issuing advisories.
  14. Some high clouds... but you get the picture. The ice has compacted but it's probably maxed out in terms of compaction. Who knows... LES always holds some suprises.
  15. Seems like a lock at this point. The crazy thing is that the ground beneath the snow imby is soft. Never froze prior to the snow cover. Hoping tomorrow over delivers. 2-3" seems like a good call.
  16. Down to -9 imby last night. I could do without the extreme cold. The weekend isn't looking much better... but at least snow will be falling. Nice disco ohweather. Looks like a few more inches of fluff on the glacier.
  17. Still plenty of time. Not feeling this one with every piece of guidance heading south east. That low to the north amongst other things isn't helping things. Hopefully the lack of blocking will help... We'll have to see how things come together over the weekend.
  18. Looks like CLE waved the white towel on next weeks potential -- .LONG TERM /MONDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/... THING WILL BE WARMING AT THE START OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS ON MONDAY GETTING WITHIN 20 DEGREES OF NORMAL MOST AREAS. FORTUNATELY IT LOOKS LIKE WINDS WILL BE FAIRLY LIGHT WITH HIGH PRESSURE RIGHT OVERHEAD. HAVE MADE SOME SIGNIFICANT CHANGES TO THE MONDAY NIGHT INTO WEDNESDAY PERIOD. BOTH THE 12Z GFS AND ECMWF HAVE THE LOCAL AREA UNDER AN AREA OF SUBSIDENCE BETWEEN SYSTEMS TO THE NORTH AND SOUTH MONDAY NIGHT AND TUESDAY. SOME LIGHT SNOW COULD SNEAK INTO THE SOUTHERN END OF THE AREA DURING THE DAY BUT HAVE REMOVED ALL MENTION FROM THE NORTH. SLIGHTLY BETTER CHANCES FOR SNOW EXIST TUESDAY NIGHT AND WEDNESDAY...ESPECIALLY IN THE EAST WHERE THE EFFECTS AND MOISTURE FROM THE LATEST STORM MOVING UP THE EAST COAST WILL BE MOST FELT. THINGS WILL DRY OUT BEHIND THIS SYSTEM AND DO NOT THINK THERE WILL BE MUCH LAKE EFFECT WEDNESDAY NIGHT AND THURSDAY. TUESDAY WILL BE THE WARMEST DAY OF THE PERIOD WITH HIGHS PERHAPS MAKING THE MID 20S BUT THE REMAINDER OF THE PERIOD WILL BE VERY COLD.
  19. Snow has picked up in Chagrin. Looks like a dust storm with the snow being so fine. Inversion must be really low as well... sun keeps peaking through. Old/dirty snow has been covered though.
  20. 1.2" overnight. We'll see what today brings. I'm almost willing to bet ice spans shore to shore in the Central basin at this point. Outside of the crack that forms east of the western basin there just isn't any signficant open water.
  21. Nice disco and forecast OHWeather. It will be interesting to see what happens. Hopefully we can establish a huron connection over the weekend. Winds definitely come around northerly enough to bring a band in the CLE area. Next week's storm is very interesting. Surprised CLE actually mentioned it in their disco. Not sold on a huge NW shift with the cold high bullying the storm to the east. Granted we were on the northern edge of guidance with the last storm, and wound up on the southern edge of the heaviest snows so anything can happen. At least we'll have a large synoptic storm to track the next few days.
  22. OHWeather. There is definitely potential which each time frame for at least a couple inches to cover the glacier. Since moisture seems adequate, seems like the deciding factor will be ice cover. The trough passages would be our best bet for maximized covergence... but short lived. Maybe we will get peak at the ice later today as clouds are starting to clear out.
  23. Light glaze of ice coating everything this morning. Anywhere from 8" - 11" on the ground. The glaze compacted the snow. This stuff won't be going anywhere for awhile. It took until 10:30 last night for temps to drop IMBY... while it looked like the immediate lakeshore cooled off around 7pm.
  24. 44/36 IMBY. Snow is melting but not rapidly. Winds just turned NNE'erly a few minutes ago. Have to wonder if the colder air will start seeping into the lakeshore. I see Erie is at 29.
  25. Ah, spring in southern Ohio. Down to 36/30 here. Melting isn't crazy but rain tomorrow will hurt. Hopefully we can squeeze a les event with the open water. Not holding my breath though..
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