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NEOH

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Everything posted by NEOH

  1. Thanks for the forecast OHWeather. Picked up around an inch last night. Snow is really picking up now and the radar looks great back to the west.
  2. These messy set-ups typically deliver poor results. That said, 2-4" seems reasonable but guidance has been backing down as you mentioned. I'm not putting to much stock in any particular model solution at this point though.
  3. It was all sleet and freezing rain last night... no snow at all. It will be interesting to see what happens tonight/Friday. A low tracking through WV into PA is usually a great track for Ohio. The models are all over the place with snowfall... no agreement at all. I'd be more optimistic but given the way this season has gone my expectations are low.
  4. Great disco from CLE LONG TERM /THURSDAY THROUGH SUNDAY/... By Thursday, a deep and elongated upper-level trough moves east across the Great Plains, producing strong southerly flow with a Gulf of Mexico connection. This will result in a moisture-rich low pressure system developing over the lower Mississippi Valley Wednesday night and steadily deepening as it progresses northeast across the Tennessee/Ohio Valley on Thursday and to the New England coast by Friday or Saturday, depending on which model you look at. Given the high moisture content, strong synoptic-scale forcing, and favorable surface low track southeast of our forecast area (something that could certainly change though), this has the potential to be our best snow-producer of the winter for areas outside of the snowbelt, an achievement that won`t be very difficult due to the lackluster winter so far. Snow and ice will both be on the table for Wednesday night through early Friday depending on the surface temperatures and vertical temperature. It`s important to note that while there is potential for a significant winter storm to impact the region, there is still a lot of uncertainty. Model guidance are still producing widely-varying low pressure tracks which could greatly alter the forecast. For now, it will be important to monitor the forecast for this time period and planahead if you have travel plans.
  5. I flew out of CLE earlier this morning. Night and day difference between the eastside and westside. There was barely a trace of snow when I got to the airport, while it looked like Winter in our area.
  6. That's a long stretch of snow cover for this Winter. We are used to LES fluff around here which goes away quickly... this paste has staying power. The ground beneath isn't even frozen.
  7. As of 1/30 CLE has a +8.6 temp departure for January, and the snowfall decifit is up to 18". Remarkably the past 4 days may be the longest stretch I've had this winter with snow cover. The paste that fell on Sunday and Monday is still on the ground and coating the trees. While the snow isn't deep it has looked like Winter at least.
  8. Thanks for sharing. Good stuff. Hard to believe that snowstorms actually happened in Ohio
  9. That area has been in the band quite awhile... I'm sure the fluff is adding up. Starting to snow lightly again in Chagrin.
  10. This has definitely been a strange LES event. The trough that was supposed to push through early yesterday afternoon took until the late evening to move south so areas near the lakeshore picked-up the heaviest snowfall. Picked up around 5" last night on top of what fell yesterday. Despite the low inversion the flake size is actually large. The moisture from lake huron definitely helps. Seems like there were isolated pockets of heavier snowfall... more so than usual with lake effect. The winds are fairly light so we'll probably see the heavier snows set-up closer to the lakeshore today. Finally looks like Winter with a nice snow pack in place.
  11. Picked up 4.5” overnight. Looks like another hour or 2 of snow before we mix. Definitely more than I expected.
  12. Looks like an inch or two of of LES tonight. Then maybe a couple of inches with the storm -- WAA always over-performs around here so the snowfall could certainly flip to mix/rain earlier than forecast. The LES Sunday thru Wednesday looks good from a wind direction standpoint.
  13. CLE's temp departure for the month is up to +12.8. While it felt nice this past weather it was just odd to be outside in short sleeves in January. Hopefully we can manage a few inches of snow this coming weekend.
  14. CLE's temp departure thru 1/9 is +9.3. This will likely go up with the warmth over the next couple of days. We are still ahead of last year with snowfall by an inch (wow last winter was awful as well). We should chip away at that temp departure later in the month provided the long range pans out. Enjoy the warmth and flooding rains over the weekend .
  15. We would be just as bad as CLE without lake effect. Imagine how different CLE's snowfall would look if the airport was located on the east side.
  16. Looking at the numbers CLE has had a long stretch of bad winters since 2010... the average snowfall from the 2010 - 2019 time frame has been 51.8" -- which is 16" below normal. That's really bad. At this point it will be hard to get to 51" this Winter given the long range outlook. Perhaps this is becoming the new normal.
  17. That was an intense squall this morning. Too bad it pushed south so quickly. Hopefully we'll pick-up a few additional inches today. Radar looks pretty good upstream.
  18. We are definitely in a string of bad winters. 2013/2014 was cold with slightly average snowfall. 2010/2011 was the last well above average winter IMBY - https://www.weather.gov/cle/Climate_Snowfall_2010-11
  19. CLE finished December with a +5.6 temp departure. That's absurdly warm. The snowfall deficit is at -10" for the season. I'm around 23" for the season. It would be uglier without the November LES event.
  20. Picked up a little over 3” today. Very wet but scenic. Looks like the lake effect may set up just north tonight but we’ll see. The 12z euro run was great for northern Ohio. Be great for half of that to verify.
  21. Nice to see the snow flying again. It has been almost two weeks. 3-6" in the forecast.
  22. CLE's temp departure is up to +4.3 for December, and -9.2" snowfall for the season. Definitely a December to forget.
  23. The remaining snow cover should be gone today... although it has been resilient. Have to admit the past few days have felt great.
  24. That's right around the total I came up with. Enjoy the snow cover while it lasts. Winter appears to be going into hibernation for awhile. I guess the positive is that the lake will remain open for when the cold returns.
  25. The snow this morning fell in about a half an hour. It dumped as the band move south around 6am. Still snowing nicely in Chagrin. This is a really good wind direction for the area so maybe we can cash in a few more hours before ridging starts to move in.
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