
Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, I agree. It all depends on the track of the initial low & then how quickly the primary low transfers its energy to the coast. The models will probably waffle back & forth for another couple of days with the track. Hopefully we are in a good spot to get a little snow by Saturday night. -
It would certainly help to avoid the dreaded SE Ridge showing up. If the pattern ends up as relatively flat, with a general west to east storm track, we could luck into a light to moderate snow event with the help of a well placed & timed High to our north. If the SE Ridge shows up, then we just get watch one cutter after another.
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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
That’s great! You & I will get accused of jinxing this winter! I also bought a snow blower a couple of weeks ago. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
There are some light snow flurries right now in Marysville! I was not expecting anything today. Maybe we can see a little more light snow tomorrow night? The pattern looks to be very active later this week & Thanksgiving week. Hopefully we can time something just right & get our first legit snow event to track this season! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 12z Euro Control run today has a Thanksgiving coastal snow storm treat for us as we prepare for our turkey feast ! Just as @MAG5035 said earlier, The pattern looks good for the second half of November. We should have chances to track for winter weather beginning later this week & into Turkey Day week. Oh yeah, here is the Euro Control Thanksgiving storm just to warm up our appetite for snow! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes sir ! The pattern looks ripe for some winter weather opportunities starting next week. The 18z Happy hour GFS delivered snow for next weekend! I would sign up for this & run ! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, my 25 minute drive turned into a 2 hour adventure back home. That storm turned out to be the most snow that we got in a single storm last season. The rest of the winter we had to nickel & dime our way to get to our 40 inch seasonal total in Harrisburg. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
CTP likes the chance of seeing a little snow tomorrow morning. The latest NAM agrees as well. I am hoping to score a few tenths of snow & maybe see the grass or car tops lightly covered. At least we should see some snowflakes in the air for maybe a couple of hours, which is good for the first half of November! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, absolutely frigid for the first half of November ! The 0z NAMs still like the idea of many of us getting a little snow on the scoreboard by Tuesday morning. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 6z NAM puts most of Schuylkill County in a good spot ! I’m just hoping to see if snow for a couple of hours & maybe get on the scoreboard with a couple of tenths of an inch at MDT. Maybe it will turn into a car topper & cover the grassy surfaces as well. -
Yes, I hope so as well! I’m from the thread just up the road from you guys in Central Pennsylvania. I love Winter weather & I have learned a lot from the great posters in your thread over the years. The positive & informative posting style, mixed with a good amount of personality, makes the posts of @Bob ChiII , @psuhoffman , & @showmethesnow , along with many others on here, a great read everyday in the fall & winter. I usually only lurk here, & just post in my own thread, but I just wanted to say thanks to the good posters in here. Also, in the spirit of @Jebman , I hope that we all have a great winter season & all get crushed with a cold, snow filled year !
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Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 18z NAM has upped the ante for our possible Tuesday snow event. It slowed the progression of the front & allowed the colder temps to infiltrate more quickly. Let’s hope this trend continues. This looks more like what the models were showing a few days ago for this time period. Hey @MAG5035 , what are your thoughts on this possible event ? -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 12z NAM & GFS both agree on many of us getting a dusting to an inch or 2 of snow early Tuesday. The GFS LSV jackpot looks to be right over the home of @pasnownut -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Great to see you back on here ! I saw my first flakes as well this morning! Hopefully next week we can score our first measurement of snow! The best part is that this is all preseason tracking. Any snow that we get during the next few weeks is a bonus. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Some of us might see our first flakes at least in the air on Thursday night. Hopefully this coming Tuesday delivers our first accumulation of snow. The models all show some type of storm in our region. There is plenty of cold air on the way. It will all come down to how much phasing takes place & the timing & the final storm track. Either way, it is great to be back doing some early season winter storm tracking in early November yet again! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
It sure would be great to score some early season snow again this year. As you said, there should be some extraordinary cold air around by this coming weekend. There appears to be a few chances at snow, so hopefully we all cash in & get on the board! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
This thread should be very busy this week! At the very least, many folks in CTP have a decent chance to see their first snowflakes flying this season. If the cold air press times up well with the precip, many of us could be in business for our first accumulation of snow very early in the season yet again. This pattern could also provide more wintry weather again next week along with some impressive cold air for this time of year. It’s time to get our winter weather game face on everyone! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The 12z Euro today delivered on the snow threat for Thursday night into early Friday with a storm tracking to our southeast while cold high pressure is moving in to our north & west. I would take this solution & run ! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You might be our thread’s version of @Jebman ! That man loves cold & snow more than just about anyone! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
You sir are brave. We have had several nights the last 2 weeks that went into the 30’s & 40’s. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Happy snow tracking season everyone! This morning certainly was chilly & frosty! We need to watch the storm around the end of this week. The ensembles & Ops are showing CTP on the southern edge of a little snow by next weekend. As of now, the models show the better chance for snow for NY state & parts of New England. Either way, the cold shots appear to be lining up for the first half of November. Hopefully we can score some early snow just like last year! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Hopefully the warm air is gone for good this year! Great to hear it is snowing in PA ! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
The average high at MDT today is still 60. The record high for today is 80, which was set in 1984. The temps today were not too far out of line. Later this week, we are going to cool off. We might not get to 50 this weekend. -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
Yes, it’s good to see it showing on the maps! It will be even better when it becomes reality sometime in the next 2 months! -
Fall/Early Winter 2019 Forecasts and Discussion
Blizzard of 93 replied to pasnownut's topic in Upstate New York/Pennsylvania
I like seeing snow storms showing up in the US outside of the mountains this early in the season. This week it looks like Nebraska, Iowa, Wisconsin & Minnesota are going to get a good early snowstorm. Some years, there is no cold to be found to allow it to snow so early. This year, so far, there will have already been some good snowstorms in the US. Heck, it even snowed yesterday in the Texas panhandle! The average high at MDT today is 61, so we still have a few weeks or so until even a below normal pattern can produce a chance of snow. Our time is coming soon!