Blizzard of 93

Congrats! I am just hoping to see some snow flakes here in the Harrisburg area!

We should have a few periods of -EPO which should give us a least a chance of winter weather.

I agree, I’m not anticipating some 2 week long cold pattern. We just need 2 days of cold with a well tracked & timed system. We have all of March to get it done.

I don’t think we are done. There are threats popping up starting later this week & beyond. For Example, I just posted last nights Euro for the chance later next week. I think that we will get at least 1 minor to moderate snow event before we close the shop for the season.

It also looks like some of us will have the chance at a snow shower by this afternoon. There is a decent line forming now to the north of I 80 that is dropping to the south. Maybe a “light coating” is possible for some of us ?

The 0z Euro was close to producing a nice winter storm next Friday. The look at 500mb was more impressive than what the surface produced. Verbatim, It did bring some snow to parts of the LSV , but brought more snow to NJ & New England. The Canadian also had a similar evolution last night & crushed southern New England with snow. Here is a look at the Euro at 500 & surface.

I might actually need to brush a little snow off of the windshield in the morning! This is only a “partial coating”. Hopefully I will be able to handle the snow removal!

Nice! Congrats! The squall line has made it now to me in Marysville! CTP extended their Special Weather Statement to include parts of the LSV.

I saw something strange when I got back to Marysville this evening.... SNOW FLURRIES ! I was quite startled...

We have 5 realistic weeks to score snow. Hopefully we can time up a lucky fluke event or two before true Spring arrives in April.

The 0z Euro provided that chance for a warning level event, & it’s “only” 10 days away. I would sign up for this right now. Enjoy for 12 hours until the next full Euro run!

Thanks ! I’m still tracking snow for another month until the bitter end. In the longer term, the 18z GEFS had one one of its better runs in recent days. Just about all of the snow for the Susquehanna Valley falls in week 2. Maybe we will get a few events to track in March? At this point, I would settle for 1 good CTP wide Winter storm Warning all snow event.

The 0z NAMs looked very similar to the 18z run that I posted above. Let’s see what the rest of the 0z runs bring tonight.

The 18z NAMs liked the idea of changing over much of CTP, including most of the LSV, over to snow by Thursday morning. Some of the global models have also shown this potential on & off over the last couple of days. Maybe this time it will actually come to fruition ?

We might have a chance at a dusting or “heavy coating”, as @Itstrainingtime prefers to call it, on Friday from a weak Clipper. Also, the long range 18Z GFS presented some opportunities for a few snow chances between March 6th & 10th. Who know, maybe we will get lucky & score at least once in March? Heck, at this point, I will take my potential heavy coating on Friday & like it.

The 0z Euro Control Run has a winter storm for us & it is only 12 days away ! This is the 1 that we have been waiting for. Enjoy it for around 6 hours until the 12z run comes out...

Yes, they must just be trying to confuse people with semantics. The official government records will record all snow from the Fall through the Spring.

The official stats for the National Weather Service have always been for the snow season running from first flakes in the fall to onion snows in the spring. The official snow recording season won’t end until this spring.

Every measurable amount of snow counts in the seasonal total at MDT, whether it comes in October or April, or anytime in between.

What about the remaining 10 to get to the 40 inches before we are done ?

I still like the @daxx idea that I expounded on above. I guess that no one liked the way that I broke down the 40 inches of snow... ? Please let me know how you guys would like to get the 40 inches broken down between now & April 9th ? This is all just for fun in case anyone can’t sense my sarcasm...

I’ll take that ! Yes, 40 inches spread out over 5 events ! Let’s divide the 40 inches up like this.. 5 inches on March 5th from a juiced up Clipper. 20 inches from a Miller A coastal HECS around March 13th. 5 inches from a late developing Miller B that then crushes New England on March 19th. 4 inches from another coastal storm that just misses a full phase on March 25th. The Grand Finale on April 7th with 6 inches from an April of 82 type of late storm. Lets book it !

I would like to get at least around 8 more inches of snow for my yard & also for MDT by the end of this season. The chart below from CTP has the Harrisburg snow totals since 1980. Currently MDT has 5.1 inches so far this season. Getting 8 more inches of snow, which would bring the the seasonal total to 13 inches. This would then have MDT beat some of the worst clunker years such as 1992, 1995, 1998, 2002 & 2012. I think MDT averages around 6 inches of snow in March & less than 1 inch in April, so getting 8 inches over the next 6 weeks is certainly possible. The last 3 years have brought double digit snow to MDT & the Harrisburg area in March. My best guess & hope & dream is that MDT gets 5 more inches to get double digit snow of 10 inches for the season.

I was looking back over some old threads of ours from March of the last few years to remind myself that we still have time to score snow yet. We still have a realistic 6 weeks to score snow to avoid a total failure snow season.

I was just joking around due to the frustration with the lack of snow. Enjoy the weather, it’s the only weather you’ve got....It is totally out of our control anyway ! Just like rooting for our favorite sports teams, they are going to win or lose despite how hard that root for them each game. It’s the same thing with our desire for snow. We unfortunately can’t just wish it into existence.