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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. @pasnownut the difference is the Arctic air gets to move in by Wednesday after this early week storm to set the stage for better CAD for Thursday. We have a good amount of room to maneuver. Heck the Para right now is targeting South of the MD line with the best snow. Right now there is a major model Op & Ensemble consensus for a solid front end thump of snow on Thursday. This is 3 days out, not 3 weeks!
  2. The ensembles are continuing to ramp up snow amounts for Thursday. Here is the 6z GEFS & 0z EPS . The trends are getting Better as the event approaches. We are only 3 days out!
  3. The 6z GFS is impressive as well and it gives room for adjustments in either direction.
  4. The 0z Euro was great with the front end thump of snow for the LSV on Thursday. This run keeps the LSV as snow until mid afternoon Thursday before the mixing gets underway in the southern tier. Here is the 4pm Thursday panel. The snow map is nice because it gives us room for a north shift to not hurt too much at this range in terms of snow totals.
  5. The 0z GFS & GFS Para look great for our front end snow thump early Thursday. I like where the LSV is sitting this run with the old GFS bullseye slightly north & the Para bullseye slightly south.
  6. The Wednesday night through Thursday event is still looking very good on the 18z GFS, Para & GEFS.
  7. You are right, with all of the cold air around, many of us could be in store for major icing tomorrow pm into Tuesday. Hopefully we are chiseling out of the ice on Tuesday as we are staring down an approaching major snow to ice event on Thursday. Busy week ahead!
  8. Here are the 12z EPS & Euro Control run snow maps for the Thursday into Friday event.
  9. The 12z EPS looks good for Thursday. Good area of High pressure to the north leading in to the arrival of moderate to heavy precip. The majority of the low clusters take the storm to the coast by Friday which would help to to keep us mostly in frozen precipitation.
  10. I almost forgot... the 12z Euro snow map for The late week event period only. If we could only lock it in ...now!
  11. By Thursday evening into Friday am the 12z Euro transfers to the coast keeping the vast majority of PA all in some form of frozen precip through the whole Event.
  12. Here are some more frames from the 12z Euro. The front end snow thump arrives with heavy precip overrunning that High pressure to the north. I included a close up as the mixing begins in the LSV after the snow thump.
  13. Yes indeed! @Itstrainingtime good feeling is very true on the 12z Euro ! I will post some maps soon.
  14. I like it, but those UKMET Pivotal maps count all frozen precip as snow. With that being said, many of us would be happy with half of that as snow!
  15. Here is the 12z Para GFS & 12z GEFS. The 12z Para has the snow max currently south of the old GFS, which is good to see at this time.
  16. The 12z GFS & Para, along with the GEFS, show a solid front end thump for Thursday. Here is the regular old 12z GFS for Thursday.
  17. The 6z GEFS & 6z Euro Control are on board as well for Thursday.
  18. The theme this Winter has been, “delayed...but not denied...”. Or “ Storm after the storm” Maybe this week will be another case of those themes?
  19. The 6z EPS is on board for a Thursday solid front end snow thump with a moisture laden storm to the south & strong high pressure to the north. The snow map is just for this late week period.
  20. Exactly, just about all of PA is well above normal snow through today’s date. Also, we should still have more chances soon for those that miss out on Tuesday.
  21. Here is a Valentine’s Day special map to warm your heart. This is the combined snow map through next Monday on the 0z Euro. We still have future potential to look forward to soon.
  22. Hey @pasnownut , here is another weak system early Next week that drops a couple inches of snow on us. Here is the snow map just for that period.
  23. Here is the 0z Euro snow map for just for the Thursday period.
  24. Just to cheer up @pasnownut here is the 0z Euro for Thursday showing the strong possible front end snow thump followed by a change to ice.
  25. Things have worked just fine to get us to well above normal snow through today’s date.... Things are working out well for Texas & Oklahoma, etc...so there is a historic amount of cold available, but just not for us this time due to the current set up. The Euro looks good for Thursday as well...
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