Blizzard of 93

Here is CTP’s comment on Thursday night’s event. After that, things are beginning to look a little more interesting. The extended models are suggesting that an area of low pressure will develop over the southeastern United States and impact some portion of the Mid-Atlantic region late Thursday into Thursday night. This is still several days away, and the forecasted track of this system will undoubtedly fluctuate between now and then. However, with chilly air in place, we could be looking at an impactful winter weather event somewhere in the Mid-Atlantic region late next week. There is still plenty of time to monitor how things will unfold with this event, so stay tuned.

This is fairly bold for CTP for 5 days out. Thursday Night Snow likely, mainly after 1am. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 25. Chance of precipitation is 60%.

Meanwhile, in the short term, the 3z SREF mean really juiced up for tomorrow’s chance.

The 0z Euro Control shows a nice compromise between the GFS southeast solution & the inland running 0z Euro Op.

0z GEFS & 0z Canadian look good for Friday.

The 0z GEFS & 0z Canadian are still looking great for Friday.

I agree, The pattern is progressive. There is no “kicker” system to influence the 1/3 storm. The next 24 hours are going to be very interesting.

Yes, this is the Kuchera map. 2 inches up to Harrisburg this run.

Here is the full view of the 0z GFS for Monday morning.

Question for everyone… What would stop this from coming further north? I don’t see a pressing High. I don’t see too much confluence. I don’t see an interfering Lakes low. We still have over 1 day to bring this another 50 or more miles north of the GFS is right.

Advisory level event for the LSV this run.

0z GFS trend is our friend in the LSV for Monday!

18z EPS is still looking good for the 6th/7th.

Yes! I got it set up a couple of days ago and today is the first precip to measure. This should keep me active here year round!

.67 here today in Marysville as of 8pm.

I’m more looking forward to the better chance for us on the 6th/7th, but I certainly wouldn’t mind bumping our way to an Advisory on Monday.

Slight bump north on the 18z Euro with the northern extent of the Monday precip. Still some work to do for the LSV.

Maybe the Monday storm will end up like the Major snowstorm last December? Within 3 days it went from a jackpot in MD/southern PA to a jackpot in northern PA/central New England. I don’t think this will happen this time, but it’s possible to end up with an Advisory event in southern PA if this continues as the GFS shows the current trend.

18z Euro doesn’t run until 7pm

Now we’re talking!

I’m good if this just ends up being a forum wide 3 to 6 inch all snow event. Lots of options still on the table, but this should be a fun week of tracking.

New page…this map deserves a bump!

New page so I’ll bump here…

This is too good not to post!