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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. At the end of the 6z GFS, there is another Winter storm potential with cold air pressing from the Midwest. Let’s see what 12z has to say.
  2. The 6z GFS also has a storm staying our South on the 3rd.
  3. The teleconnections, besides the very -PNA, are still favorable for bringing colder weather to the east. Until this changes, we will need the -PNA to relax at times to allow for the other drivers to bring some cold to the east. Here are the Euro ensembles showing the -AO, -NAO & -EPO through the end of 15 days.
  4. The High to the north is in a good spot to feed in cold enough air for Wintry precip.
  5. This is certainly something to watch and it’s only a few days away.
  6. The 0z GEFS & 0z Canadian ensembles both show the trough extending further to the east by day 10. The southeast ridge is also pushed further south at day 10 on both models.
  7. The 0z Euro, GFS & Canadian each show front end light snow & mix on Monday for CTP.
  8. The 18z Euro Control has this Monday potential as well.
  9. Harrisburg got kind of fringed with the December 09 storm with only near 10 inches. The 20 inch totals were closer to southern York & Lancaster. We also missed out on some of the late January snow that MD got just before the historic February storms.
  10. Looking over this chart, there have been a few stretches of 4 or 5 years in a row with below normal snow. I can’t imagine how this place would be if that happened again! We have been on a good run in most of the recent years!
  11. Harrisburg has been on a very good run for snow totals since 2013-14, with the exception of course of the dreaded Winter of 19-20. We have been on one of the better snow runs over the last 40 years.
  12. Thanks. I have posted a ton of H5 maps recently. I was looking at a different angle and found a positive trend to monitor as we soon roll into early January.
  13. We only get to track snow for a few months each year… Win or lose…I’m going to try to enjoy it.
  14. Let’s pile on the misery & never look for a way out! Great way to go about life!
  15. I thought that I used all of the disclaimers that I could possibly state… Heaven forbid we have a nice looking trend… Maybe they disappoint or maybe not…. Possibilities….
  16. Just looking at a positive trend today on all 3 ensembles for the first week of January. Let’s see which way they trend over the next few days.
  17. I like seeing good snow over CTP plus another area of heavier snow over central VA to the south.
  18. It’s good to see the “blue” extending south towards DC into northern VA on the CMC ensembles & the GEFS.
  19. The Euro, Canadian & GEFS today each had a noticeable jump in snow totals for their 15 & 16 day totals. The “blue” on the map made a nice push south in week 2. These are just tools that I use for trend purposes in the Winter. If this trend continues to build, we could be in the snow business during the first week of January.
  20. The GFS the last few runs in the first week of January looks active with chances of Winter weather. We just need to get the timing right with one of these cold Highs in Canada to force at least some front end chances.
  21. I looked too and I have a difficult time believing that a 1040 High in Quebec would be dislodged so easily to allow a low to cut so far west. We would probably get a solid front end thump of snow to ice with that look.
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