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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. The storm on the 22nd can not yet be written off. The 6z GFS is now taking it off the mid Atlantic coast out to sea, but it is much closer than recent days.
  2. The 6z GFS is full of Winter storm potential during the holiday weeks. We should have a few tracking chances from now until the end of the year.
  3. I’m sure the jackpot will end up in Cashtown or Rouzerville as usual!
  4. The 0z GFS then keeps the low under us on the 26th. This would make Christmas weekend that much merrier!
  5. The 0z GFS says Merry Christmas with some light snow early Christmas morning.
  6. This is certainly getting more interesting. There were some good looking solutions on various models back on Sunday and Monday for the 22nd timeframe. Maybe this storm will make a comeback?
  7. It’s just a matter of time before a storm goes our way with the blocking that’s developing.
  8. Yes, it’s good to see 12z Euro put a storm under us at this time. I think enough cold air would be around for some snow if this track were to verify.
  9. The models the last day or so have started to recognize & show influence from the blocking. This GFS run shows it well on the 26th. I will take my chances with this look. Not a major storm pattern for now, but I will take a few Advisory level events or front end snow to mix type of events to get this Winter going.
  10. Yes, most models have some type of system approaching our region around Christmas. The 0z GFS had a nice front end snow to mix arriving Christmas night. Long way to go, but the pattern is heading the right direction next week. Now we just need to identify the specific storm chances.
  11. Just for holiday fun & entertainment purposes and whatever other disclaimers need to be applied… Here is the 18z GFS. It has mixed precip Christmas night and then snow on New Year’s Eve day. It would certainly make the holidays more festive to be tracking Winter storm chances.
  12. My math for the Winter game is a simple 4 quarters -Dec.,Jan., Feb., & March. These of course are the 4 months when good snow is the most possible. Therefore, to me, we are currently just starting the second half of the 1st quarter of Winter.
  13. Yes, the pattern look on the ensembles still look good next week and beyond. Many teleconnections still look to be in our favor moving forward into prime climo snow season. Our snow time will come if this pattern look verifies.
  14. Yes, even if there is no real wind of note in the LSV, if you go to south Philly during the same day it is usually windy!
  15. The average high temperature for today’s date at MDT is 43…. So we “should” still have highs over 40 for a high at this time. I see your point. We have had several days near and over 50, with a few more to go before we return to more seasonal temps next week. MDT is 4.6 above normal average temperature through yesterday for the month so far.
  16. Indeed, I just took a look. Monday A chance of rain and snow. Partly sunny, with a high near 38. Chance of precipitation is 30%. Monday Night A chance of rain and snow. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 31. Chance of precipitation is 40%.
  17. The older that I get, I agree with you. I’ll take warm and dry if I can’t have the snow.
  18. Lol, I will see what I can find later on. There are still good signs that we are headed in the right direction next week and beyond.
  19. The 0z Euro has the storm but takes it out off of the coast instead of up, but it wouldn’t take many changes to potentially get a better result
  20. The 0z Canadian also has the storm early next week on the coast.
  21. The 0z GFS had another good looking run with the coastal storm potential for next Monday night & Tuesday.
  22. Yes, and so does the 18z GFS. Here is another view. Great low track to the sweet spot right off of the coast of OCMD. Still 1 week to go, but various Op runs of the main models over the last few days have had a storm in this time period. The main ensembles are showing support as well. Lots of time for changes in either direction, but I am certainly enjoying this Happy Hour run. Good way to brighten up a Monday evening!
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