Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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Long way to go. We will see lots of variations over the next 6 days. Heck we are 3 days away from NAM range!
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Canadian closer in view.
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Exactly, much better than Congrats no one, congrats DT in Richmond or congrats beaches. We are in the game. Hopefully we end up in the sweet spot.
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Good points, but yesterday at this time we only had models keeping this storm well to the south or no storm showing. It’s good that there is now a consensus that there should be a storm that comes up the coast. Like you said, plenty of time to work out the details. I like where we sit up here in CTP at this time.
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Yesterday, the models all keyed on the storm coming up the coast to get us in the game. Hopefully this continues today. If so, the rest of the week would be about nailing down the exact track to determine amounts & any precip type issues. Long way to go, but I like where we stand in CTP at this time for a Winter storm chance on the 7th.
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Good morning & Happy New Year’s Eve! The 6z GFS is giving us one hell of a wake up call for the January 7th chance!
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Blizzard of 93 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
At this range, it’s good to see that each of the 3 major global models at 0z now have us in the game with 1 week to go. -
0z Euro brings the 7th storm north as well. All 3 Globals at 0z have us in the game.
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Good news too is the Canadian also has the 7th storm, but to a lesser extent than the GFS.
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Long way to go, but I would gladly sign now!
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What a beautiful 0z GFS run! Great hour for you & @paweather with your football team winning & this GFS run.
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Let’s go! Please post more info…I’m at Red Robin with the family & just snuck into the bathroom to check the 18z GFS. Mrs. Blizz & the kids would get upset if I interrupted dinner to look up maps!
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The 12z EPS is very interesting for the 7th. We are in the game & have a specific chance to track. That’s all we can ask for with 7 days to go.
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Jan Medium/Long Range Disco: Winter is coming
Blizzard of 93 replied to stormtracker's topic in Mid Atlantic
The 12z EPS is very interesting. We are in the game & have a specific chance to track. That’s all we can ask for with 7 days to go. -
The 12z GFS for the 7th chance gets some light snow into southern PA this run, but brings good snow to MD & VA. This run the storm hits a wall off of the coast of VA beach. It would not take much to get at least southern PA into the good stuff with a few changes. 1 week to go, so we have time to watch & wait…
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12z GFS & Canadian both get some light snow to most of PA on the 4th mostly from a northern branch feature. The coastal is too far east at this time.
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The 6z GFS was close, as @Bubbler86 mentioned. If the storm doesn’t hit the wall, we could be in business on the 7th. That look with the low in Georgia, high in Quebec, with good precip back into Tennessee & Kentucky is generally something that works well at least for southern PA. We still have time for a a few small changes to make this work.
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January 7th is very much in play on the GFS & Canadian at 0z. The Canadian gets a good event to MD & southern PA this run. The GFS wasn’t far off from something more this run.
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0z GFS is wide right for the 4th.
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The 0z Canadian gets us into the game on the 4th.
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Lol, I don’t think that’s what he meant, but If so… I’m sure he’ll be back at 0z if It looks decent!
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The chance on the 7th is still on the table this run. The low has a ton of moisture available in the Gulf & more cold air is also available this run. The low slides off of the Carolina coast this run. Long way to go for this one, but we are still in the game.
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18z GFS is out of sync with the 4th storm & has a low passing to our north & south this run.
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We are in the game with 2 trackable events in the next 9 days that are now in Op run range for all models.
