Blizzard of 93
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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93
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There’s still a good consensus among the 3 global ensembles on the general pattern for the 5 day period at the end of their 12z runs today.
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There’s still a good consensus among the 3 global ensembles on the general pattern for the 5 day period at the end of their 12z runs today.
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The 0z Euro has thst sneaky wave next Saturday am that brings a CTP special holiday weekend light snow event to many of us.
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Hopefully this is our first chance of many this season.
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The 12z EPS continues to look good for late December and still agrees with the GEFS & GEPS. Here is the EPS 5 day mean for the day 10 to 15 period.
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Here is how the 12z EPS ends on day 15.
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The 12z EPS continues to look good for late December and still agrees with the GEFS & GEPS. Here is the EPS 5 day mean for the day 10 to 15 period.
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Good general agreement continues between the 12z GEFS & GEPS for late December. Here are their 5 day means for day 11 to 16. Hopefully we are tracking a Winter storm chance sometime in that window.
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Here is the 5 day mean for day 11 to 16 on the 12z GEFS. Good to continue to see general agreement with the Canadian ensemble as well
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This is the GEFS look for 12/29. Hopefully we are in the game for this chance.
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Nice 5 day mean for day 11 to 16 on the GEPS as well.
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The 12z GFS has that sneaky wave a few days before Christmas.
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The 12z RGEM gets light snow showers to the Susquehanna Valley on Tuesday with the better chance the further north & west in PA.
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It looks like it slows down its progression once into 8 & 1, which hopefully allows the pattern to stick around for awhile.
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Thanks and Dacula weather has a good daily MJO chart page as well.
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Good news on the MJO per @Weather Will “MJO progression supports colder temps as we enter 2024.”
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@sauss06 will come to your rescue!
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The 0z EPS also has cold enough air in place for this region by New Year’s Eve.
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The 0z EPS also has cold enough air in place for this region by New Year’s Eve.
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There is still good general agreement between the 3 major global 0z ensemble runs for the end of the month pattern evolution.
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There is still good general agreement between the 3 major global 0z ensemble runs for the end of the month pattern evolution.
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The end of the Op 6z GFS was getting ready to say Happy New Year with the improved pattern settling in.
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The ensembles all look great for late December. I fully expect to be shoveling snow in the coming weeks.
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I’m not dismissing CPC, but I don’t care if we are 1 degree above normal as long as I am shoveling a few decent snowstorms in my town.
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Go & read the good posters in the New England & Mid Atlantic thread. They are very much on board. Many pro Forecasters are on board as well. The good stuff is coming….
