Blizzard of 93

Indeed & the 12z GFS is brewing up something again later in the run towards the 8th.

It looks like the 12z Canadian would possibly be on board with this same time period if the run extended out 1 more day or so.

12z GFS says Merry Christmas & brings New Year’s snow by January 5th with an Advisory level type of event as depicted this run.

The 6z GFS also has chances on the 4th & 8th.

Merry Christmas everyone!

Please post in here whenever you would like. We welcome posters from other forums that contribute decent information & positively impact the conversation whenever possible.

18z GEFS pattern & temps still look good for the 7 day period for day 9 through 16.

18z GEFS pattern & temps still look good for the 7 day period for day 9 through 16.

Each of the 12z Canadian & Euro Op model runs-they end at day 10-ended with a cold look. The 18z GFS Op that ends at day 16 ended cold as well with another storm chance coming if the run extended a couple more days.

Lol, Apparently they don’t teach how to look at a weather model in western PA. We get a nice happy hour run event & yet still get bizarre posts. Maybe too much egg nog for him?

Dude, didn’t I ask you to give it a break on Christmas Eve on here…. Besides, everything is just fine with everything I’m seeing & most respected pros are seeing.

The 5 day 10-15 mean & the end of the 12z EPS continue the good look moving forward.

Here is a snapshot of just how undecided things are even at day 9 on the 12z Op runs… Long way to go even for even the first few days of the year to be decided.

Exactly, & the Canadian says “what storm?”. Long way to go…

Here is a snapshot of just how undecided things are even at day 9 on the 12z Op runs… Long way to go even for even the first few days of the year to be decided.

Exactly! Also, the GEPS looks a little different than the GEFS at the end of its run.

That would be @Itstrainingtime I look forward to when he does that again.

The end of the 12z GEPS improved over the 0z run with more of the broad coast to coast trough with a good look near Greenland.

The end of the ensemble runs all look cold enough at the end of their 15/16 day runs as well.

My point is that it’s workable Or serviceable. To put it simply, there are no oranges or reds stretching from Louisiana to Maine! We should have chances.

Things look good to me in the day 10-15 5 day means on all 3 globals in early January.

I see someone else lurking, again, please let’s not do this today or tomorrow…

Dude, it’s Christmas Eve… please…..

I see a pattern of chances once to early January. It’s not a KU look at this time, but more of an Advisory to lower end Warning type of look. This is again not a KU look, but far far far from a shut out look as well. I’m thinking we see good old type of 2-4, 3-6 inch snow events as the GFS Op has been showing off & on for that first week or so of January.

Here is something that I mention every year that I use just as a simple indicator tool to let me know the potential for snow in a given window of time. All 3 ensemble snow maps finally are getting the “blue” to DC or northern VA. The GEFS & GEPS the last 2 days have really extended the blue well south. The EPS finally joined them at 0z. Again, this to me is just an indicator especially when we are entering what should be a favorable period. There are no guarantees, but it’s good to see the ensemble snow maps responding to the favorable look of the upcoming pattern. Bottom line, we should have our chances, as some of the Ops have been showing off & on the last few days for the first week of January. Here are the latest 15/16 day snow maps for the EPS, GEFS & GEPS.