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Blizzard of 93

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Everything posted by Blizzard of 93

  1. Blizzard of 93
    The January 7th chance on the models also got a lot more interesting overnight. The 6z GFS really put us in the game this run, but temps are marginal as depicted. The 0z Canadian & Euro are colder & further southeast at this time. The Euro was not far off of being a good run for us. Long way to go, but it’s good to be back in the game.
  2. Blizzard of 93
    The old line from my handbook says, “the blend could be your friend” for the 4th.
  3. Blizzard of 93
    The January 4th potential is gaining steam again on the models. Temperatures look to be marginal, but with the right track & strength, this could put parts of CTP in the game for some Winter weather. The 0z Euro this run is marginal, but close to being a decent event for us. The 0z Canadian & 6z GFS are further southeast, but offer colder solutions.
  4. Blizzard of 93
    CPC even gives us a “slight risk” for snow for January 6th & 7th.
  5. Blizzard of 93
    Looks like CPC adjusted their 8-14 day Temperature Outlook. We are now “Near Normal” with their update today.
  6. Blizzard of 93
    Lol, you just need to wait 384 hours according to the 12z GFS.
  7. Blizzard of 93
    12z GEPS temps & precip for the 7th.
  8. Blizzard of 93
    The 12z GEPS still likes the January 7th possibility.
  9. Blizzard of 93
  10. Blizzard of 93
    The 6 hr precip at hour 240 is also a nice signal on the 6z GEFS.
  11. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS likes the period around the 7th for a Winter storm chance.
  12. Blizzard of 93
    6z GEFS snow map is also showing the potential for this window around the 7th.
  13. Blizzard of 93
    We’ve been trying to get the trolls to go, but it has been slow progress! Pittsburgh has improved today, but now other things are “Ruin”ing it…lol!
  14. Blizzard of 93
    Go time begins the end of next week & the party is not stopping until March.
  15. Blizzard of 93
    12z ensembles are still all systems go for week two.
  16. Blizzard of 93
    Come on, you need to show the GEPS snow mean as well. Over 5 inches of snow at MDT by day 16 is the best ensemble mean of the season.
  17. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, MU is on board! Speaking of that, I miss @Itstrainingtime , hopefully he says hello soon.
  18. Blizzard of 93
    Normal in January works just fine.
  19. Blizzard of 93
    It’s just a matter of time until we are tracking specific threats in early January. The week 2 looks on all 3 of the ensembles continue to show ridging up top in the Arctic & Greenland and then a broad trough from coast to coast that should give us chances of Winter storms.
  20. Blizzard of 93
    The 16 day run ends cold as well….
  21. Blizzard of 93
    Happy Hour GFS delivered again for most of PA near the end of the run.
  22. Blizzard of 93
    Yes, it looks to be cold enough for snow in this period. Here is the 12z EPS snow for just the 48 hours centered on January 7th.
  23. Blizzard of 93
    Exactly! Especially when the 12z EPS still continues to look good. The period around January 7th is showing as a good window of opportunity for a Winter storm chance. The signal is pretty strong for an ensemble run at this range.
  24. Blizzard of 93
    18z GEFS pattern & temps for day 9 through 16 continue to look workable. This should provide some chances.
  25. Blizzard of 93
    18z GEFS pattern & temps for day 9 through 16 continue to look workable. This should provide some chances.
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