superjames1992

I thought this was an arctic sea ice thread?

This storm is looking to ruin my trip to Scarowinds Saturday night. In other news, my old stomping lands of Tallahassee, FL look to get yet another tropical system (granges, this one is weak).

Hehe, the good news is we can still score. Last year was a torching winter, but this area and yours still ended up well above normal snowfall because of one big snowstorm. It just takes one. Likewise, we can have a cold winter and get unlucky and end up not getting much snow, too.

Winter cancel.

Accuweather predicts a snowy winter for the Northeast. Shocking! But a winter storm "could" hit some N/W areas of the Southeast. No, at least one wintry event of some sort is basically guaranteed in these parts (even if it's small), so it's not much of a "could", IMO.

Thankfully, as opposed to where I lived in Greensboro, I now live north of I-40. Unfortunately, i now live S/E of I-85. Game over! Winter cancel!!! I wish I was here for last year's one-footer. I haven't seen snow in a long while...

Helena, MT is forecasted to get 8-12" in a few days and the Marias Pass is forecasted 36-50". Not bad.

Despite this, I would say winters over the last 10 years or so have been much improved over the winters of the 2000s decade. I think Greensboro, at least, may be above the 1981-2010 average snowfall average despite the sizzling temperatures. Of course, it only take some storm around here. For example, Greensboro finished 50% above average in snowfall last year because of one storm, despite the rest of the winter being irredeemably terrible (aside from the surprise snowfall in April). I am looking forward to this winter after having lived in Florida the last three winters...

I think he posts under the username Brick Tamland.

Congratulations. We’ve got a budding weather savant.

It’s definitely important to remember a Florida landfall is well within range of a “typical forecast error” 48 hours out.

Hurricane intensity forecasts are always a crapshoot, though. Michael wasn’t supposed to get nearly as strong as it did right before landfall in the FL panhandle last year, either.

I have some extended stepfamily who lives in Man-O-War near Marsh Harbor in The Bahamas and decided not to evacuate. WTF??? Hope they survive...

Yes, but it was basically a guarantee that any year is going to be a top 5-10 melt season given the long-term trend. That’s what I mean by “new normal”.

Pretty crazy turnaround considering how bad things looked a few weeks back. I mean, historically the minimum is still going to be low, but we're not going to even come close to 2012 and it looks like it's not going to be too far out of the ordinary for our "new normal" in the arctic.

I think it was this one, actually?

Oh, nice! I didn’t realize you were up in this area now, too! Were you here for the big storm last year? I think your area probably got 12”+?

I moved here a couple months ago! I live in SW Durham not far from exit 270 on I-40, right off US-15-501. Looking forward to seeing some snow again this winter! Yeah, Sunday was worst (it got up to 99 here), but Saturday was supposed to top out at 100 and only got up to 95, which was cooler than a lot of days recently, LOL. Also, as I’ve spent the last three summers in Florida, none of this feels all that bad, haha. I’m glad we’re getting more seasonable temperatures the rest of the week, though (a bit below average, actually). 80s feel great...

The heat wave was kind of lackluster here. Saturday wasn’t even hot relative to recent days despite the excessive heat warming.

You can literally see the Carolina Crusher screaming up the coast...

89 in Anchorage today. Warm up there.

It's hot.

I saw Fayetteville hit the big 100 today.

Yeah, I just moved from Tallahassee to Durham this past weekend. I am excited to see snow again. I know the events that GSO gets that RDU does not are going to be painful, though! I grew up right off Piedmont Parkway (where my parents still live), so I am quite familiar with Skeet Club (I actually went to Southwest Guilford High School right near there).

You moved one year too late for last year's one-footer (and I moved away three years too early, LOL). Enjoy the Greensboro winters! My parents still live in N High Point (near the airport), so I guess I could always chase a snowstorm there depending on what looks most likely to get hit (but then there's always the issue of having to go to work...).