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superjames1992

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Everything posted by superjames1992

  1. superjames1992
    Oh yeah, sure, it just seems unlikely to me we see widespread negative single digits or highs in the single digits like I've seen on some model output.
  2. superjames1992
    Cold is almost always overdone with snowpack, IMO.
  3. superjames1992
  4. superjames1992
    It's German. Good improvement on the latest run there! I love the precip maximum in the mountains, including Boone. Very typical! The mountain folks (some) whine about it not being their storm, and such, and yet will probably outperform the western Piedmont, per usual!
  5. superjames1992
    18z DWD-ICON doesn't look too good, either. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=dwd_icon&run=18&stn=PNMPR&hh=078&map=na&stn2=PNM&run2=18&mod2=dwd_icon&hh2=078&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=fr&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
  6. superjames1992
    It wouldn't shock me, especially if the other modeling goes the way of the NAM tonight!
  7. superjames1992
    The Para NAM is a disaster. The 21z SREF doesn't look too hot, either. Luckily, we have so many models these days, I am sure we can cherry pick some that look good.
  8. superjames1992
    The 00z runs are getting off to a rockin' start!
  9. superjames1992
    This storm is making me miss Greensboro.
  10. superjames1992
    This is the South, man. Warm noses are always a problem! Hardly have I ever had a significant storm where we didn't taint (most recent being Fab Feb '15 aside from a few isolated sleet pellets).
  11. superjames1992
    Beware of the sneaky warm nose in the 750-800 mb range. You won't find these on the conventional maps, and will have to look at soundings. I've been bitten by that one too many times. Of course, that's a chore for closer in.
  12. superjames1992
    Boone is never out of the game. A magical tongue of precip may find its way up there yet, a la Christmas Day 2010.
  13. superjames1992
    EE Rule in effect! Storm cancel!
  14. superjames1992
    The DWD-ICON model will be coming into range soon.
  15. superjames1992
    MBY gets blanked in all scenarios, at least, LOL. I'm in San Juan right now, anyways. It's currently 81 with a wonderful sea breeze. If the 12z GFS miracle somehow verified, I might blow a gasket, though. GSO got 30" on that run. Did I move away one year too early???
  16. superjames1992
    Well, it can only go downhill from here after that 12z GFS run...
  17. superjames1992
    We're basically in nowcasting range, anyways. Throw the models out and go with your heart. The models are of no use within 168 hours.
  18. superjames1992
    LOL, I'm not sure if I would still use this username I made years ago if I had to do it all over again, but it is what it is now and I'm not changing it. Quite a descriptive username with my first name and year of birth, though, haha (I doubt that's a shocker to anyone). Yep, I'm in Tallahassee. Very antsy, though I'm at least glad it's not hot anymore, though last week was on the warm side (70s/80s).
  19. superjames1992
    I forecast snow for Miami! Given enough time (many years/centuries), it will happen!
  20. superjames1992
    The Brazilian Model will save us.
  21. superjames1992
    I'd still be fairly confident that Greensboro won't whiff, though. That seems to be exceedingly rare, historically. Of course, a 1-incher might be all that keeps it from being a total skunked, but I'd lean towards something before winter is done, still.
  22. superjames1992
    The DGEX is onboard!
  23. superjames1992
    I'm punting our December to Remember.
  24. superjames1992
    I'm glad we have a super forecaster on this board who can predict late January's weather with an entire month of lead time.
  25. superjames1992
    I didn't realize Talkweather was shut down. Dang.
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