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superjames1992

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Everything posted by superjames1992

  1. superjames1992
    He'd be a hell of an NBA player, though, and he'd be able to afford a vacation home in Aomori!
  2. superjames1992
    If GSO surpassses 9" I'm going to be kind of sad. I haven't seen a snow that big since 2002 (when I was really too young to appreciate it), and then I move away and the first year I'm away they get the Big One, and in a winter that was expected to be lousy, to boot. Meanwhile, I live in a place where half the people I meet haven't even experienced accumulating snowfall before. I need to move to Boston to make up for this! Don't get me wrong, I'm happy for my Triad peeps, though.
  3. superjames1992
    Remember all the talk about the high ratios we'd be seeing?
  4. superjames1992
    My final "call map". Big westward adjustment versus my previous attempt. The I-85 corridor looks the best, IMO, and NE NC/SE VA looks primed for a jackpot to me. The higher peaks in the mountains will probably get more than 6", but oh well.
  5. superjames1992
    This thread is really going to deliver tonight.
  6. superjames1992
    The HRRR is usually amped and warm, so I wouldn't worry about it.
  7. superjames1992
    LOL, you guys might need to head up to the farm in the Shenandoah Valley to hit the jackpot. (the one you guys went to for Snowquester in March 2013)
  8. superjames1992
    LOL, if the NW trend doesn't stop, that could be true! It'll be a Big Frosty special!
  9. superjames1992
    I'm sitting here on my beachfront hotel balcony in San Juan listening to the waves and refreshing model runs for a storm which I won't experience affecting a locale (NC) in which I no longer live (granted, my parents do and I go back somewhat often). I'm not sure what this says about me! Meanwhile, I'm becoming more and more jealous, wishing I was there, as modeling trends look better and better for GSO.
  10. superjames1992
    The German model doesn't handle General Winter very well. I'm going to side with the Russian model for winter weather, personally.
  11. superjames1992
    Yeah, the NAM would require switching the max along the I-85 corridor and slashing totals for ENC and RDU. Yikes.
  12. superjames1992
    My amateur Wilkes-inspired call map for NC drawn on my iPad...
  13. superjames1992
    http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?lang=fr&map=na&run=00&mod=dwd_icon&stn=TT850&comp=1&run2=00&mod2=dwd_icon&stn2=TT850&hh2=066&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=054 Looks like you'd be all-snow in southern Wake on the six-hour 850 mb panels, though you just know there's some warm noses at other layers in there ready to bring the taint. Here is the ICON meteogram for RDU:
  14. superjames1992
    That's the truth. Gulf convection and unmodeled, surprise warm noses are the best! The storm on the DWD-ICON is sure something, though it looks like a pretty big outlier right now. I think you're in a decent spot, though.
  15. superjames1992
    I wouldn't think surface temps themselves will be an issue, but sneaky warm layers elsewhere could be - 925 mb, 750-800 mb. It seems these levels are most prone to screwing us over in the South, based on my limited experience.
  16. superjames1992
    Oh yeah, sure, it just seems unlikely to me we see widespread negative single digits or highs in the single digits like I've seen on some model output.
  17. superjames1992
    Cold is almost always overdone with snowpack, IMO.
  18. superjames1992
  19. superjames1992
    It's German. Good improvement on the latest run there! I love the precip maximum in the mountains, including Boone. Very typical! The mountain folks (some) whine about it not being their storm, and such, and yet will probably outperform the western Piedmont, per usual!
  20. superjames1992
    18z DWD-ICON doesn't look too good, either. http://meteocentre.com/models/explorateur.php?mod=dwd_icon&run=18&stn=PNMPR&hh=078&map=na&stn2=PNM&run2=18&mod2=dwd_icon&hh2=078&comp=1&fixhh=1&lang=fr&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&mode=latest&stn2_type=prog&date_type=dateo
  21. superjames1992
    It wouldn't shock me, especially if the other modeling goes the way of the NAM tonight!
  22. superjames1992
    The Para NAM is a disaster. The 21z SREF doesn't look too hot, either. Luckily, we have so many models these days, I am sure we can cherry pick some that look good.
  23. superjames1992
    The 00z runs are getting off to a rockin' start!
  24. superjames1992
    This storm is making me miss Greensboro.
  25. superjames1992
    This is the South, man. Warm noses are always a problem! Hardly have I ever had a significant storm where we didn't taint (most recent being Fab Feb '15 aside from a few isolated sleet pellets).
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