superjames1992

We’re playing with fire here, but verbatim we got destroyed on the Happy Hour NAM. I’m sweating sleet pellets, though. The Wake County gradient depicted was classic and painful for those down there, though.

I'm surprised 2012 isn't higher.

Jammin’ January is back on!!l. Maybe.

We are running above the 2010s average for sea ice extent right now (above all years this decade except 2011 and 2014, from what I can tell), which is encouraging after the slow start to the refreezing season. I don’t think it much matters for next summer’s melt, but it sure beats still being at the second lowest extent on record, like we were at minimum this summer. Of course, 2011 was followed up by the record-setting 2012 melt, so it may not mean much, as I said.

Fab Feb will save us.

Nice warm day today. Reminded me of a normal winter day in Florida. Snow, what's that???

Glad to be back for the heartbreak and broken promises after three winters in Florida.

I am going to be sad when GSO gets a yuuuge winter this year while I don't get much. I wish I still lived there during wintertime, at least. Well, MBY got 11" last December, but that didn't help considering I lived in tropical Florida then....

Since I live 15 miles NW of KRDU, I plan on scaling up any model output snow totals for KRDU by 250% IMBY. What could go wrong?

I thought this was an arctic sea ice thread?

Helena, MT is forecasted to get 8-12" in a few days and the Marias Pass is forecasted 36-50". Not bad.

I think he posts under the username Brick Tamland.

Congratulations. We’ve got a budding weather savant.

It’s definitely important to remember a Florida landfall is well within range of a “typical forecast error” 48 hours out.

Hurricane intensity forecasts are always a crapshoot, though. Michael wasn’t supposed to get nearly as strong as it did right before landfall in the FL panhandle last year, either.

I have some extended stepfamily who lives in Man-O-War near Marsh Harbor in The Bahamas and decided not to evacuate. WTF??? Hope they survive...

Yes, but it was basically a guarantee that any year is going to be a top 5-10 melt season given the long-term trend. That’s what I mean by “new normal”.

Pretty crazy turnaround considering how bad things looked a few weeks back. I mean, historically the minimum is still going to be low, but we're not going to even come close to 2012 and it looks like it's not going to be too far out of the ordinary for our "new normal" in the arctic.

I think it was this one, actually?

89 in Anchorage today. Warm up there.

It's hot.

Yeah, I just moved from Tallahassee to Durham this past weekend. I am excited to see snow again. I know the events that GSO gets that RDU does not are going to be painful, though! I grew up right off Piedmont Parkway (where my parents still live), so I am quite familiar with Skeet Club (I actually went to Southwest Guilford High School right near there).

You moved one year too late for last year's one-footer (and I moved away three years too early, LOL). Enjoy the Greensboro winters! My parents still live in N High Point (near the airport), so I guess I could always chase a snowstorm there depending on what looks most likely to get hit (but then there's always the issue of having to go to work...).

I saw some snow along the way, including some pretty impressive snowfall in the higher elevations driving between Laramie and Cheyenne, but there wasn't any accumulating snowfall in Cheyenne while I was there, unfortunately (I think there was earlier in the day, but the sizzling mid-May sun angle had extinguished it by the time I got there).

I seem to have brought the oppressive Florida summertime heat with me. This weekend looks awful. I got moved up here this past weekend and start my new job next week. At least the weather is nice today. I'm back to my old Carolina Crusher avatar since I'm no longer begging for scraps in the FL panhandle. I need a nice snowstorm this winter; it has been too long. I'm looking forward to chasing storms again this winter. Perhaps I will re-up my WB and AmericanWX Model Center subscriptions, which I didn't see the need for in Florida.