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WinterWolf

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Everything posted by WinterWolf

  1. SST are great for development where it is. Or perhaps she’s just shot/peaked as others have said, and it’s degrading at this point. Still so much we just don’t know about these systems that make them so difficult to forecast...proof positive by the way it’s degrading currently. This certainly wasn’t forecast as recently as yesterday. Agree with Snowgoose....this is probably weaker than it’s current estimate at 8:00 pm.
  2. There wasn’t supposed to be any shear when it came into this area(at least not any that would disrupt the system at least), conditions looked very very good for strengthening/or at least maintaining it. So the modeling a couple days ago didn’t even foresee this shear issue on the system.
  3. Isn't it always amazing how there always seems to be that unmodeled fly in the ointment with all types of storm systems....so many moving parts to take into account...surprises always abound.
  4. Im staying on Long lake. Rode across Eagle Lake today. There is no Van Buren Lake that I know of?? And I’m very familiar with the area. Van Buren cove on Long lake..but no Van Buren lake.
  5. Nice!! Already put on 350, hoping for another 150 for tmrw before the snow sets in up here in the evening. This is gonba extend the season even longer up here, and for Jackman/Eustis as well!
  6. In St Agatha, 6-12 inches forecast For here. same for at home in my town in CT. So I’ll probably see the same here, as at home.
  7. This is a kind of situation where you check back here and there over the weekend, just to see if anything has shifted significantly, instead of looking at each run of the major models. I wouldn't be investing much time in this, it's almost definitely an Ocean Storm.
  8. Very Fluid and evolving situation for sure...interesting. Lots of "What if's" left to be answered.
  9. 6-8 days out is an eternity away....but I'm sure something saves the area from any direct impacts...so who knows at this early juncture..lots of factors at play for sure. One thing is for sure, the models will change a lot going forward.
  10. Great post! I agree on both points....and was thinking the same thing. The monitoring and technology has improved Vastly since the 50's, 60's, and 70's. Which in my opinion would make a huge difference in the results. And Jose is falling apart, and FAST.
  11. Not only powerful...but BIG in size!! Very ominous looking to say the least!
  12. Guys, what time do you think the rain starts tomorrow in Central CT??? Late afternoon? Noon?? Have a big event at school, and wondering if we get it in??? Or do we postpone til Friday?? But Friday isn't looking to good either in the morning????
  13. Tip, tried to private message you about a guy who is a big Disc Golf player here in CT. I told him I knew a guy on my weather forum who loves Disc Golf! But it says you can't receive PM'S ?? If you're interested in contacting this guy about the game, let me know. And maybe I can give you his info, if you're interested. WinterWolf.
  14. And Long Lake in Sinclair and St. Agatha still has Ice on much of the lake lol!!
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